What is Ms Joanna Morgan's strike rate?

Ms Joanna Morgan has won 133 of 1,769 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ms Joanna Morgan do best at?

Ballinrobe by strike rate: 11 wins from 63 runners (17.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ms Joanna Morgan?

Pat Smullen, with 224 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.9%).

What is Ms Joanna Morgan's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,768 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ms Joanna Morgan

1,769 runners in the lifetime window · 205 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2025

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

133–1,769

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=1,769

465 (26%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,768 · 0.72 incl. margin

−717.73

£1 level stake

n=1,769 at SP · −40.6%

£2.15m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,769 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 22.4% when favourite Pat Smullen: 12.9% from 224 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (17.5%, n=63), clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0.9% (n=112, Fair A/E 0.24). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −191.00 to a £1 stake over 288 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Pat Smullen rides 13% of the entries and beats the yard's average (12.9% vs 7.5%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (33.3%, n=33). 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Britannia Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2013, £74,700). The stable star of the record: Dbest (IRE) — 9 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−3.3

n=288 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −191.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.4%−6.1

n=72 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −55.00

Debutants · first career start

0.9%−6.6

n=112 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −104.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−3.2

n=94 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −68.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%−1.2

n=112 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −28.00

When favourite

22.4%

n=147 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −27.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.1%−1.4

n=457 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −184.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.8%+1.3

n=91 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −19.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 33.3% vs 7.5% · n=33

At Ballinrobe 17.5% vs 7.5% · n=63

With C&D winners 15.8% vs 7.5% · n=133

With Joseph O'Brien 17.1% vs 7.5% · n=41

With Christopher Geoghegan 16.7% vs 7.5% · n=30

With debutants 0.9% vs 7.5% · n=112

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,391 108 7.8% −485.75

Hurdle 281 18 6.4% −166.23

Chase 59 4 6.8% −43.25

NH Flat 38 3 7.9% −22.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 428 26 6.1% −237.09

Good 359 26 7.2% −161.50

Standard (AW) 329 25 7.6% −156.66

Good to Firm 280 23 8.2% −79.50

Heavy 186 13 7% −32.25

Good to Soft 154 9 5.8% −84.00

Firm 33 11 33.3% +33.27

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 312 23 7.4% −148.66

Leopardstown 184 11 6% −67.50

Curragh 176 10 5.7% −63.25

Navan 126 10 7.9% −22.60

Gowran Park 93 3 3.2% −77.50

Galway 79 2 2.5% −16.00

Naas 78 9 11.5% −8.00

Fairyhouse 70 3 4.3% −38.50

Ballinrobe 63 11 17.5% −5.17

Down Royal 62 6 9.7% −19.50

Cork 57 8 14% −24.67

Tipperary 55 6 10.9% −16.00

Roscommon 53 6 11.3% −27.13

Listowel 44 2 4.5% −25.00

Punchestown 41 4 9.8% −14.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 95 8 8.4% −23.25

Class 2 4 1 25% +17.00

Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 5 2 1 50% +2.50

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 7 1 1 100% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 168 36 21.4% 1.07 −35.89

2nd–3rd fav 324 49 15.1% 1.15 −42.34

4th–6th fav 481 25 5.2% 0.71 −247.50

7th+ in betting 796 23 2.9% 0.79 −392.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jigalo (IRE) 58 4 19 9 May 13

Xsquared (IRE)then Sabrina J Harty 43 5 15 5 Oct 14

Funatfuntasia (GB)from Michael Cunningham · then Michael J Browne 40 4 15 26 Aug 10

Antiquus (IRE)then James M Barcoe 37 3 10 10 Dec 14

Mutadarek (GB)from Eoin Griffin 33 3 11 4 May 11

Ancient Sands (IRE)then John E Kiely 32 7 15 27 Oct 14

Miss Gorica (IRE) 31 4 12 29 Aug 10

Snap Alam (IRE) 30 5 11 2 Aug 12

Beauthea (IRE)from H Rogers 30 2 11 4 Aug 11

Show Blessed (IRE) 29 4 13 17 Oct 10

Jawad (IRE) 27 1 6 3 Jul 11

Fourpenny Lane (GB) 27 4 15 26 Aug 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 205 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from H Rogers (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard; 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1304371259710411

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPat Smullen

13% of all rides
12.9% SR · A/E 1.16

RiderRWSR£1

Pat Smullen 224 29 12.9% −52.68

Wayne Lordan 159 9 5.7% −82.50

Davy Condon 119 2 1.7% −102.50

Rory Cleary 86 2 2.3% −72.00

W J Lee 78 5 6.4% −11.50

Declan McDonogh 69 8 11.6% +5.50

John Cullen 66 6 9.1% −22.75

D J Moran 62 4 6.5% −33.75

Gary Carroll 52 3 5.8% −13.00

Ronan Whelan 48 7 14.6% +8.25

Joseph O'Brien 41 7 17.1% +27.83

Chris Hayes 40 1 2.5% −27.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

193

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.97m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 30 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Beauty Flame (IRE) — Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2013 · Class 2

£74,700

Moran Gra (USA) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Irish Cambridgeshire (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2013

£60,000

Obama Rule (IRE) — Dance Design Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Curragh · Aug 2010 · Group 3

£45,500

Notable horses

Dbest (IRE) Jawad (IRE) Raise Your Heart (IRE) Orpailleur (GB) Ancient Sands (IRE) Jigalo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 15.9% · 13–82

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,793 runs since 2008 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Accordion (IRE) 6.8% · 4–59

Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).

Barathea (IRE) 3.6% · 2–55

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Mull of Kintyre (USA) 8% · 4–50

Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.

Kahyasi (IRE) 6.3% · 3–48

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,120 runs since 2008 (185 horses).

Namid (GB) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,336 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,336 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 13 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Oct 25 Roscommon Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Guinness Handicap7.5f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 9/1

19 Sep 25 Dundalk (AW) Timana (IRE)J: Adam Grant Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1

01 Sep 25 Roscommon Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Lidan Handicap7.5f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 17/2

21 Aug 25 Leopardstown Timana (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Unio Employee Benefits Handicap7f · Good · 13 ran 12th 50/1

10 Jul 25 Leopardstown Glencullen (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Irish Champions Festival Handicap (0-60)9f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 17th 8/1

24 May 25 Curragh Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: W J Lee QuinnBet Handicap7f · Good · 20 ran 9th 17/2

21 May 25 Gowran Park Glencullen (IRE)J: W J Lee Membership At Gowran Park Golf Club Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 5th 4/1J

07 May 25 Gowran Park Glencullen (IRE)J: W J Lee Save 33% Buying Tickets Online Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)8f · Good · 15 ran 4th 10/3F

25 Apr 25 Limerick Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: W J Lee Great National South Court Hotel Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 4th 11/1

16 Mar 25 Curragh Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Nua Healthcare Handicap6f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 15/2

03 Nov 24 Curragh Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan businessplus.ie Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 26 ran 4th 9/1

01 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Glencullen (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 9/2

30 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Timana (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (47-70)8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 11/1

22 Oct 24 Curragh Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Friarstown Stud Handicap6f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 5/1

17 Oct 24 Curragh Glencullen (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap (47-65)7f · Yielding To Soft · 27 ran 9th 15/2

14 Oct 24 Roscommon Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan www.roscommonracecourse.ie Handicap (50-80)7.5f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 11/4F

05 Oct 24 Curragh Glencullen (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap (47-65)8f · Good · 25 ran 5th 10/1

28 Sep 24 Curragh Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan SBK Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 13/2

27 Sep 24 Dundalk (AW) Glencullen (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

17 Sep 24 Punchestown Glencullen (IRE)J: Rory Cleary William Hill Proper Betting Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)9f · Good · 13 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms Joanna Morgan's strike rate?: Ms Joanna Morgan has won 133 of 1,769 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ms Joanna Morgan do best at?: Ballinrobe by strike rate: 11 wins from 63 runners (17.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ms Joanna Morgan?: Pat Smullen, with 224 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.9%).
What is Ms Joanna Morgan's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,768 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.