Richard Hawker
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (120 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10% (n=120, Fair A/E 2.25). Mr Robert Hawker rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.6%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (11.1%, n=45) and in Chase races (9.7%, n=93). The market has also underrated the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 2.14 across 75 runners (9.3% strike, +29.00 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 1.3% over 79 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.79 across 88 runners (2.3% strike, −63.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 381 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 381 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2007 to 21 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 21 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Richard Hawker's strike rate?
- Richard Hawker has won 21 of 380 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Richard Hawker do best at?
- Newton Abbot by strike rate: 3 wins from 50 runners (6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Richard Hawker?
- Mr Robert Hawker, with 83 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3.6%).
- What is Richard Hawker's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 379 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.