What is Andrew Haynes's strike rate?

Andrew Haynes has won 152 of 1,463 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andrew Haynes do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 13 wins from 82 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Andrew Haynes?

Nick Scholfield, with 110 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (14.5%).

What is Andrew Haynes's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 1,459 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Andrew Haynes

1,463 runners in the lifetime window · 164 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2011

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

152–1,463

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=1,463

390 (27%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=1,459 · 0.90 incl. margin

−346.30

£1 level stake

n=1,463 at SP · −23.7%

£691k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 370 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,463 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–May 38.6% when favourite Nick Scholfield: 14.5% from 110 Sent off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 2.7% (n=73, Fair A/E 0.72). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −59.77 to a £1 stake over 207 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Nick Scholfield rode 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.5% vs 10.4%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (20.1%, n=174). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.1% over 64 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Desperate Dan (GB) — 16 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−5.6

n=207 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −59.77

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.2%−0.2

n=59 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −20.37

Debutants · first career start

2.7%−7.7

n=73 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −58.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.3%−0.1

n=39 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −13.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.4%+0.0

n=48 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −12.92

When favourite

38.6%

n=127 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +10.54

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.9%−0.5

n=382 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −1.01

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.4

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Jamie Spencer 27.3% vs 10.4% · n=33

On last-time-out winners 21.1% vs 10.4% · n=161

Off a 0-7-day break 20.1% vs 10.4% · n=174

With Neil Callan 19.7% vs 10.4% · n=61

With debutants 2.7% vs 10.4% · n=73

Off a break of 180+ days 3.1% vs 10.4% · n=64

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,203 119 9.9% −366.96

Hurdle 196 26 13.3% −3.13

Chase 53 7 13.2% +34.79

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 481 44 9.1% −124.57

Good to Firm 376 48 12.8% −120.80

Good 293 26 8.9% −43.39

Good to Soft 103 9 8.7% −34.54

Soft 95 10 10.5% −14.00

Firm 93 14 15.1% +6.00

Heavy 22 1 4.5% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 166 12 7.2% −75.42

Wolverhampton (AW) 126 18 14.3% −3.15

Brighton 123 12 9.8% −80.94

Bath 121 13 10.7% −25.50

Kempton (AW) 111 8 7.2% −45.00

Yarmouth 82 13 15.9% −7.42

Southwell (AW) 60 3 5% −1.50

Folkestone 53 7 13.2% −22.46

Chepstow 44 4 9.1% +3.00

Lingfield 41 2 4.9% −17.00

Salisbury 37 5 13.5% +7.88

Leicester 28 3 10.7% −14.83

Warwick 27 3 11.1% +7.75

Uttoxeter 23 2 8.7% −3.67

Newton Abbot 22 5 22.7% +36.05

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 670 71 10.6% −205.66

Class 5 455 42 9.2% −119.00

Class 4 221 26 11.8% −50.18

Class 3 66 8 12.1% +3.54

Class 2 22 0 0% −22.00

Class 7 17 4 23.5% +18.00

Class 1 12 1 8.3% +29.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 153 56 36.6% 1.24 +17.29

2nd–3rd fav 312 43 13.8% 0.89 −67.59

4th–6th fav 421 39 9.3% 1.17 −27.00

7th+ in betting 577 14 2.4% 0.73 −269.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Desperate Dan (GB)from Jamie Osborne 59 15 31 31 May 11

Talamahana (GB)from Sylvester Kirk 46 0 10 2 Sep 11

Crystallize (GB) 40 4 10 21 Jul 11

Ever Cheerful (GB)from David Bridgwater 35 2 8 18 Feb 11

Seneschal (GB)from Charlie Mann · then Michael Appleby 34 5 9 24 May 10

Gaily Noble (IRE) 32 4 10 19 Oct 11

Piazza San Pietro (GB)from Jeremy Gask · then Zoe Davison 32 10 17 4 Sep 11

Miss Bootylishes (GB)then Paul Burgoyne 31 3 9 11 Feb 11

Caribbean Coral (GB)from John Quinn 31 2 11 22 Jul 10

Kings Topic (USA) 31 3 12 17 Jul 10

Generous Lad (IRE)from Jo Davis 29 0 4 23 Sep 10

Collect Art (IRE)from Michael Bell 27 6 16 14 Jul 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 164 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Evans (3) and Emma Lavelle (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Blake (9) and Mark Hoad (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1312161214101594624

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNick Scholfield

8% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.25

RiderRWSR£1

Nick Scholfield 110 16 14.5% +42.74

Robert Havlin 95 6 6.3% −30.00

Amy Baker 94 4 4.3% −43.50

P Nolan 94 12 12.8% +11.50

Stevie Donohoe 79 5 6.3% −48.00

Steve Drowne 66 7 10.6% −15.19

Seb Sanders 62 7 11.3% −7.50

Neil Callan 61 12 19.7% −6.47

Fergus Sweeney 55 3 5.5% −41.56

Tom Queally 48 8 16.7% +4.00

David Kinsella 37 3 8.1% −1.00

Jamie Spencer 33 9 27.3% +21.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

180

Archived wins

£860k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 62 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Border Castle (GB) — Samsung Scottish Champion Handicap Hurdle (Grade 2) Ayr · Apr 2008 · Class 1

£56,330

Little Miss Gracie (GB) — E.B.F. Fillies' Conditions Stakes Hamilton · Jun 2005 · Class 3

£9,025

Piazza San Pietro (GB) — bet365.com Handicap Haydock · Jul 2011 · Class 3

£8,410

Notable horses

Desperate Dan (GB) Seneschal (GB) Piazza San Pietro (GB) Timocracy (GB) Mafaheem (GB) Collect Art (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Piccolo (GB) 8.7% · 6–69

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Kyllachy (GB) 3% · 2–67

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Mujahid (USA) 14.9% · 10–67

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.

Danzero (AUS) 25.4% · 15–59

Progeny have won 13.8% of 275 runs since 2008 (18 horses).

Bertolini (USA) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Compton Place (GB) 25% · 10–40

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,893 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,893 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 28 October 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Crystal Sky (IRE)J: Fergus Sweeney Exclusive Breeders' Cup Coverage On ATR HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 25/1

28 Oct 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Highest Red (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney Enjoy The Party Pack Group Offer Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 20/1

25 Oct 11 Yarmouth Waldstein (GB)J: Robert Havlin British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 15th 200/1

24 Oct 11 Leicester Exchange (GB)J: Mr E Sibbick Amateur Jockeys' Association Insure Their Members Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 14th 16/1

21 Oct 11 Doncaster Zebrano (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney Bentley's Gentleman's Club Doncaster HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 19 ran 14th 66/1

19 Oct 11 Kempton (AW) Gaily Noble (IRE)J: Fergus Sweeney Book Your Christmas Party At Kempton Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1

19 Oct 11 Kempton (AW) Exchange (GB)J: Kieren Fallon Back And Lay At betdaq.com Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 16/1

12 Oct 11 Lingfield (AW) Exchange (GB)J: Tadhg O'Shea News International Classified Claiming Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 7/1

17 Sep 11 Newbury Orpen'arry (IRE)J: Ian Mongan Heatherwold Stud Handicap (Str)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 19 ran 18th 33/1

14 Sep 11 Yarmouth Crystal Sky (IRE)J: Martin Lane Danny Wright Memorial Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 7th 8/1

07 Sep 11 Kempton (AW) Crystal Sky (IRE)J: Neil Callan Racing at skysports.com HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 20/1

07 Sep 11 Kempton (AW) Exchange (GB)J: George Baker Betdaq Mobile Apps HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 33/1

04 Sep 11 York Piazza San Pietro (GB)J: Martin Lane Betfair Supports Go Racing In Yorkshire HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good · 20 ran 18th 33/1

02 Sep 11 Brighton Elite Syncopations (GB)J: Martin Lane Hunnisett Highland Chieftain HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 5th 14/1

02 Sep 11 Chepstow Novabridge (GB)J: Patrick Hills Acorn Group Apprentice Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 5th 12/1

02 Sep 11 Chepstow Talamahana (GB)J: Eddie Ahern Newport County Lottery HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 16 ran 16th 40/1

02 Sep 11 Brighton Dolly Colman (IRE)J: Luke Morris Derek Hunnisett Memorial Day HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 3/1

31 Aug 11 Hereford Timocracy (GB)J: Paddy Brennan Bet Live And In-Running At victorchandler.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 11/2

29 Aug 11 Chepstow Sammie Fallon (IRE)J: Robbie Fitzpatrick British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.b.f. Median Auction Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 100/1

29 Aug 11 Chepstow Kathryn Perry (IRE)J: Robbie Fitzpatrick actongroup.co.uk NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Haynes's strike rate?: Andrew Haynes has won 152 of 1,463 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Haynes do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 13 wins from 82 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andrew Haynes?: Nick Scholfield, with 110 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (14.5%).
What is Andrew Haynes's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 1,459 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.