What is Charlie Fellowes's strike rate?

Charlie Fellowes has won 359 of 2,969 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Charlie Fellowes do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 15 wins from 89 runners (16.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Charlie Fellowes?

Stevie Donohoe, with 752 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 92 (12.2%).

Is Charlie Fellowes in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Charlie Fellowes's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 2,953 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Charlie Fellowes

2,969 runners in the lifetime window · 397 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.9% of 257 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.0% over 364 racing days). As at 15 Nov 2026.

Last runner 8 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

359–2,969

Wins / Runs

12.1%

Strike rate

n=2,969

938 (32%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=2,953 · 0.86 incl. margin

−604.22

£1 level stake

n=2,969 at SP · −20.4%

£5.89m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). New recruits from other yards win at 16% first time out (92 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,969 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 35.2% when favourite Stevie Donohoe: 12.2% from 752 New recruits: 16.3% Headgear returns: 15.1% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Chester (3.8% over 52 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 16.3% (n=92, Fair A/E 1.25), but debutants struggle at 6.2% (n=305, Fair A/E 0.83). Stevie Donohoe rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.2%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 6.3% over 221 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Howden Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2023, £92,772). The stable star of the record: Carolinae (GB) — 7 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.5%−0.6

n=444 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +45.56

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.3%+4.2

n=92 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +8.13

Debutants · first career start

6.2%−5.9

n=305 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −157.82

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9%−3.1

n=201 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −52.72

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.1%+3.0

n=53 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +16.25

When favourite

35.2%

n=338 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −20.15

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%−2.1

n=220 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −70.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.3%−5.8

n=221 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −91.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.4% vs 12.1% · n=343

With Rob Hornby 2.7% vs 12.1% · n=37

With debutants 6.2% vs 12.1% · n=305

At Chester 3.8% vs 12.1% · n=52

In Class 1 6.3% vs 12.1% · n=221

In Group / Graded races 6.3% vs 12.1% · n=221

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,957 359 12.1% −592.22

Hurdle 11 0 0% −11.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,332 160 12% −370.97

Good 502 51 10.2% −116.12

Good to Firm 486 66 13.6% −55.21

Good to Soft 293 31 10.6% −96.90

Soft 273 39 14.3% +20.60

Heavy 75 11 14.7% +18.88

Firm 8 1 12.5% −4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 410 45 11% −97.31

Wolverhampton (AW) 231 30 13% −41.43

Lingfield (AW) 217 24 11.1% −106.03

Chelmsford (AW) 208 25 12% −51.03

Yarmouth 161 22 13.7% +7.25

Newcastle (AW) 156 23 14.7% −41.01

Ascot 143 14 9.8% +66.75

Doncaster 116 12 10.3% −54.59

Southwell (AW) 108 13 12% −32.16

Newmarket 107 8 7.5% −16.00

Nottingham 102 14 13.7% −38.69

Newbury 96 13 13.5% +4.70

Windsor 94 13 13.8% −8.77

Haydock 89 15 16.9% −1.67

Newmarket 72 8 11.1% −27.37

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,057 127 12% −383.18

Class 4 715 103 14.4% +1.57

Class 2 365 37 10.1% −8.58

Class 6 307 36 11.7% −100.01

Class 3 298 42 14.1% −16.72

Class 1 221 14 6.3% −91.30

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 384 129 33.6% 1.09 −19.57

2nd–3rd fav 792 123 15.5% 0.91 −135.65

4th–6th fav 1,037 88 8.5% 1.06 −147.00

7th+ in betting 756 19 2.5% 0.75 −302.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Buckland Beau (GB)from Hans Adielsson 52 5 18 30 Apr 19

Vadream (GB) 47 4 12 8 Nov 25

Chiefofchiefs (GB) 40 6 15 9 Oct 22

Accession (IRE)from Clive Cox 32 5 12 1 Jun 18

Carolinae (GB) 31 7 17 1 Sep 18

Holy Fire (GB) 30 2 9 30 Mar 26

Wynter Wildes (GB) 30 6 14 8 Jun 24

Prince Of Arran (GB) 30 3 11 4 Sep 21

Gorak (FR)from Richard Fahey 28 2 9 23 Aug 25

Pirate King (GB)from Harry Dunlop 26 4 7 7 Apr 23

Via Serendipity (GB)from Stuart Williams 26 4 7 1 Feb 23

Lady Of Aran (IRE) 25 3 10 16 Jan 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 397 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Clive Cox (2) and Hans Adielsson (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Rebecca Menzies (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111412121211131512111011

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStevie Donohoe

25% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Stevie Donohoe 752 92 12.2% −119.74

Kieran Shoemark 248 35 14.1% +3.21

Callum Shepherd 189 17 9% −79.06

Hayley Turner 138 13 9.4% +28.88

Jamie Spencer 124 16 12.9% −41.62

Paddy Bradley 115 16 13.9% +20.82

Harry Davies 110 13 11.8% −30.53

Mikkel Mortensen 85 9 10.6% −24.30

Martin Lane 72 7 9.7% +3.75

Louis Steward 61 11 18% +23.03

Aled Beech 57 5 8.8% −18.00

James Doyle 54 10 18.5% −7.59

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

359

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.89m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 41 wins

Atrium (GB) — Howden Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£92,772

Marbaan (GB) — Japan Racing Association Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2022 · Group 2

£85,065

Thanks Be (GB) — Sandringham Stakes (Fillies' Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2019 · Class 2

£56,025

Notable horses

Carolinae (GB) Atrium (GB) Chiefofchiefs (GB) Wynter Wildes (GB) Mayfair Spirit (IRE) Buckland Beau (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bated Breath (GB) 14% · 15–107

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,182 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.

Showcasing (GB) 9.7% · 6–62

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,666 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,567 runs since 2008 (871 horses).

Frankel (GB) 19% · 11–58

Progeny have won 18% of 7,548 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 271.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 25.9% · 14–54

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 11.5% · 6–52

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,160 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,193.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,969 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,969 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2014 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Ongombo (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 6/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Ghisa (IRE)J: Toby Moore Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Two Steps Twice (GB)J: Mikkel Mortensen AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 12/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Maliqui (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 16/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Ribenska (IRE)J: David Probert AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 11/4F

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Cosi Bello (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 2nd 7/4F

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tan Rapido (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 12/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Frumoasa (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Lightning Tiger (IRE)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 100/30

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Miss Faithfull (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Cologne's 65 Preis Von Europa British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 250/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Sydney Grace (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 40/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket China In Your Hand (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 28/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Treasurer (IRE)J: David Probert Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 1st 20/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Fort Mchenry (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 66/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Miss Guinevere (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Light Fingered (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Sense Of Reason (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sioux Moon (GB)J: Paddy Bradley bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 17/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Maliqui (IRE)J: Harry Davies Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Ghisa (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Charlie Fellowes's strike rate?: Charlie Fellowes has won 359 of 2,969 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Fellowes do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 15 wins from 89 runners (16.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Charlie Fellowes?: Stevie Donohoe, with 752 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 92 (12.2%).
Is Charlie Fellowes in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Charlie Fellowes's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 2,953 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.