What is Edward Creighton's strike rate?

Edward Creighton has won 32 of 764 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Edward Creighton do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 149 runners (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Edward Creighton?

Eddie Creighton, with 249 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (3.6%).

What is Edward Creighton's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 754 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Edward Creighton

764 runners in the lifetime window · 110 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2022

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

32–764

Wins / Runs

4.2%

Strike rate

n=764

119 (16%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=754 · 0.71 incl. margin

−350.70

£1 level stake

n=764 at SP · −45.9%

£230k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 764 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep Eddie Creighton: 3.6% from 249 Claiming riders: 5.1%

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (8.1%, n=149), clear of the yard's 4.2% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=121, Fair A/E 0.00). Eddie Creighton rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.6%, A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (10.7%, n=103). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 77 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prisx Equidia 10 Ans at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2009, £26,699). The stable star of the record: Bold Ring (GB) — 11 wins from 86 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

0%−4.2

n=121 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −121.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.4%−1.8

n=41 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −39.70

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.2

n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.6%+1.4

n=36 · A/E 1.86 · £1 −20.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5%+0.8

n=20 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +6.00

When favourite

40%

n=10 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +4.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.1%+0.9

n=274 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −117.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5%+0.8

n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.5% vs 4.2% · n=39

Off a 0-7-day break 10.7% vs 4.2% · n=103

With C&D winners 10.6% vs 4.2% · n=94

With Jennifer Ferguson 11.3% vs 4.2% · n=53

At Lingfield (AW) 8.1% vs 4.2% · n=149

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 4.2% · n=77

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 21.8% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 637 30 4.7% −232.50

Hurdle 71 2 2.8% −62.20

Chase 46 0 0% −46.00

NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 391 23 5.9% −135.00

Good to Firm 135 4 3% −97.50

Good 119 1 0.8% −115.00

Soft 54 3 5.6% −19.20

Good to Soft 41 0 0% −41.00

Firm 14 1 7.1% +67.00

Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 149 12 8.1% −9.50

Kempton (AW) 135 6 4.4% −77.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 58 2 3.4% −37.00

Brighton 41 1 2.4% −31.00

Southwell (AW) 39 2 5.1% −7.50

Folkestone 36 1 2.8% −32.50

Windsor 26 0 0% −26.00

Newbury 19 1 5.3% +7.00

Lingfield 19 0 0% −19.00

Yarmouth 16 0 0% −16.00

Nottingham 14 1 7.1% −1.00

Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00

Newton Abbot 12 1 8.3% −4.50

Fontwell 10 0 0% −10.00

Chelmsford (AW) 10 1 10% −3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 322 19 5.9% −27.00

Class 5 255 9 3.5% −185.20

Class 4 111 2 1.8% −77.50

Class 1 21 1 4.8% −17.00

Class 3 20 1 5% −9.00

Class 7 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 7 41.2% 1.51 +9.30

2nd–3rd fav 66 6 9.1% 0.58 −35.50

4th–6th fav 206 9 4.4% 0.74 −123.50

7th+ in betting 475 10 2.1% 0.87 −201.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bold Ring (GB)from David Arbuthnot 86 11 28 21 Oct 14

Florio Vincitore (IRE)then Brian Ellison 29 2 11 17 Oct 11

Come On Buckers (IRE)from David Evans 28 1 7 16 Sep 10

Diamond Johnny G (USA)from John Best 26 2 6 23 Sep 11

Princess Spirit (GB) 24 2 11 1 Oct 14

Flame Creek (IRE)from Noel Chance 23 2 3 14 Jul 09

Pressed For Time (IRE)from S Donohoe 21 3 6 2 Sep 10

Greek Islands (IRE)from Ed de Giles · then Neil Mulholland 18 0 6 15 Oct 14

Piccadilly Filly (IRE) 18 2 6 17 Sep 11

Clipperdown (IRE)from Walter Swinburn 17 0 4 10 Oct 09

Night Witch (IRE) 16 1 3 18 Aug 11

Saddlers Blaze (IRE)from Christopher Murray · then Georgie Howell 16 0 2 19 Jun 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 110 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Reid (2) and Chris Gordon (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for John Best (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

332431656492

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderEddie Creighton

33% of all rides
3.6% SR · A/E 0.68

RiderRWSR£1

Eddie Creighton 249 9 3.6% −171.00

Alan Creighton 94 1 1.1% −84.00

Jennifer Ferguson 53 6 11.3% +23.50

Jimmy Quinn 36 3 8.3% +21.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£275k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 8 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Piccadilly Filly (IRE) — Prisx Equidia 10 Ans (Prix de la Valee d'Auge) () Deauville (FR) · Aug 2009 · Listed

£26,699

Diamond Johnny G (USA) — Envirosips Handicap Chester · Jul 2010 · Class 3

£8,200

Flame Creek (IRE) — Pertemps Handicap Newbury · Apr 2008 · Class 4

£6,476

Notable horses

Bold Ring (GB) Flame Creek (IRE) Pressed For Time (IRE) Satco's Deception (IRE) Florio Vincitore (IRE) Diamond Johnny G (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bold Edge (GB) 12.8% · 11–86

Progeny have won 8.1% of 886 runs since 2008 (48 horses).

High Chaparral (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Fath (USA) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.

Omega Code (USA) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 4.7% of 106 runs since 2008 (3 horses).

Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,003 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,003 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 February 2005 to 19 July 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Jul 22 Ballinrobe Multeen River (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Mayo News Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 200/1

04 Jul 22 Roscommon Multeen River (IRE)J: Evan Dwan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 9th 150/1

04 Jul 22 Roscommon Dubai Dandy (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Knockcroghery Claiming Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 12th 80/1

10 Jun 22 Clonmel Multeen River (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Bulmers Summer BBQ Race Evening Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 18 ran 12th 66/1

06 Jun 22 Listowel Dubai Dandy (IRE)J: Mr M J Sweeney Join The Listowel Races Supporters Club Hunters Chase24f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran PU 28/1

26 Apr 22 Punchestown Dubai Dandy (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup25f · Good · 14 ran PU 125/1

27 Apr 21 Punchestown Dubai Dandy (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Kildare Hunt Club Fr Sean Breen Memorial Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup25f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 8th 66/1

20 Feb 20 Thurles Dubai Dandy (IRE)J: Mr S Connor Thurles Racecourse Hunters Chase25f · Soft · 11 ran PU 100/1

27 Dec 19 Limerick Dubai Dandy (IRE)J: Mr I P Donoghue Earl Of Harrington Memorial Maiden Hunters Chase22.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 25/1

10 Oct 19 Thurles Thegoodmind (IRE)J: P B Beggy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)8f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 11th 100/1

29 Sep 19 Curragh Thegoodmind (IRE)J: P B Beggy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden (Plus 10)8f · Heavy · 23 ran 22nd 66/1

27 Dec 18 Limerick Kalico Karma (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy 'David Fitzgerald - Take It Easee' Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 17 ran PU 100/1

26 Dec 18 Limerick The Lady Coady (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Guinness Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 17 ran PU 66/1

14 Nov 14 Lingfield (AW) Big Whiskey (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Ladbrokes HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 20/1

14 Nov 14 Lingfield (AW) Ms Eboracum (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn 32Red Casino NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 100/1

10 Nov 14 Kempton (AW) Famous Tales (GB)J: Chris Catlin Follow BetVictorRacing On Twitter Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 66/1

10 Nov 14 Kempton (AW) Admiral's Gold (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1

10 Nov 14 Kempton (AW) Just Because (GB)J: Robert Walsh Download The BetVictor App Now NurseryClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 66/1

04 Nov 14 Kempton (AW) Big Whiskey (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave 10 Free Mobile Bet At Titan.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 7/1

04 Nov 14 Kempton (AW) Ms Eboracum (IRE)J: R P Walsh 25 Free Bet At Titanbet.co.uk Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Edward Creighton's strike rate?: Edward Creighton has won 32 of 764 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Edward Creighton do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 149 runners (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Edward Creighton?: Eddie Creighton, with 249 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (3.6%).
What is Edward Creighton's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 754 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.