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Trainer profile

G Ahern

419 runners in the lifetime window · 68 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 72 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–419
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=419
70 (17%)
Placed
0.90
n=419 · 0.72 incl. margin
−254.60
£1 level stake
n=419 at SP · −60.8%
£223k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (75 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 419 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.7% Claiming riders: 4.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (9.8%, n=41), Wexford (9.1%, n=33) and Thurles (7.5%, n=40) — all clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.37 across 151 runners (2% strike, −135.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Our Katie (IRE) — 5 wins from 14 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%+2.2
n=75 · A/E 1.74 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.1%+2.6
n=28 · A/E 2.36 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
2.5%−2.0
n=40 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −33.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −1.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%+0.4
n=162 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −100.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Tramore 9.8% vs 4.5% · n=41
At Wexford 9.1% vs 4.5% · n=33
On Good going 2% vs 4.5% · n=151
At Cork 1.7% vs 4.5% · n=58
At Thurles 7.5% vs 4.5% · n=40
With horses switching code 2.1% vs 4.5% · n=94
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 190 6 3.2% −144.50
Chase 130 8 6.2% −66.60
Flat 67 4 6% −22.50
NH Flat 32 1 3.1% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 151 3 2% −135.50
Soft 122 8 6.6% −50.90
Heavy 68 4 5.9% −41.70
Good to Soft 48 2 4.2% −28.50
Standard (AW) 23 2 8.7% +9.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 58 1 1.7% −51.50
Limerick 42 1 2.4% −35.00
Tramore 41 4 9.8% +4.00
Thurles 40 3 7.5% −30.60
Tipperary 39 2 5.1% −19.50
Wexford 33 3 9.1% −2.00
Clonmel 25 1 4% −20.50
Dundalk (AW) 23 2 8.7% +9.00
Killarney 22 0 0% −22.00
Listowel 17 0 0% −17.00
Gowran Park 13 0 0% −13.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 2 1 50% +1.50
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 1 1 100% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 1.12 −4.10
2nd–3rd fav 47 7 14.9% 1.09 −5.00
4th–6th fav 92 7 7.6% 1.14 −20.50
7th+ in betting 272 3 1.1% 0.45 −225.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80% completed · 320 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 130 74.6% 2 5 26 0 0
Hurdle 190 83.7% 7 0 21 2 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Whoyakodding (GB) 47 3 14 14 Mar 21
Slainte And Thanks (IRE) 43 2 7 11 Jun 21
Must Be Dreaming (IRE)from M J Tynan 38 2 7 15 Aug 25
Nusra (IRE)from E J O'Grady 31 3 11 26 Nov 25
Sweet Destination (IRE) 17 1 4 17 Mar 19
Liss Eile (IRE)from John E & Thomas Kiely 16 0 0 16 Aug 26
Our Majella (IRE) 14 0 5 23 Apr 21
Our Katie (IRE) 14 5 9 15 Mar 15
The Rebel County (IRE)from Noel Meade 11 1 2 17 Jul 26
Petite Mike (IRE) 10 0 1 24 Jul 24
General Ryan (IRE)from R P Rath 10 0 2 19 Oct 23
Charlie Siringo (IRE)from Noel Meade · then Max Young 10 0 0 3 Sep 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barry Connell (6) and Paul O'Flynn (3); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
134626525100110
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDanny Mullins
11% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.97
RiderRWSR£1
Danny Mullins 44 3 6.8% −21.00
J J Slevin 32 1 3.1% −20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
20
Archived wins
£236k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Our Katie (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Novice Chase Thurles · Feb 2015
£13,975
Neighbours Wager (IRE) — Irish Independent EBF Mares Beginners Chase Limerick · Dec 2007
£12,438
Our Katie (IRE) — Croom Mares Hurdle Limerick · Mar 2014
£8,970

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beat All (USA) 6.4% · 3–47
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Arakan (USA) 4.7% · 2–43
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2008 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 5.3% · 2–38
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2008 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Finsceal Fior (IRE) 9.7% · 3–31
Progeny have won 7.6% of 565 runs since 2008 (47 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.4% from 140.
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,355 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Dr Massini (IRE) 25% · 5–20
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 427 · newest first

The latest 50 of 427 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 March 2007 to 16 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 May 26 Punchestown Call The Tune (IRE)J: Mr J Ahern Howden Cross Country Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is G Ahern's strike rate?
G Ahern has won 19 of 419 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does G Ahern do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 4 wins from 41 runners (9.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is G Ahern's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 419 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).