James M Barcoe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).
The record is strongest at Gowran Park (10.4%, n=48), clear of the yard's 5% baseline. It is weakest at Naas (0% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −96.00 to a £1 stake over 172 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kieran Callaghan rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.4%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (10.3%, n=39). The stable star of the record: Influential Lady (IRE) — 7 wins from 64 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 845 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 845 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 June 2013 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 20 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 1 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is James M Barcoe's strike rate?
- James M Barcoe has won 42 of 845 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James M Barcoe do best at?
- Gowran Park by strike rate: 5 wins from 48 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for James M Barcoe?
- Kieran Callaghan, with 109 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.4%).
- Is James M Barcoe in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is James M Barcoe's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 844 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.