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Trainer profile

James McAuley

1,464 runners in the lifetime window · 219 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2024
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
80–1,464
Wins / Runs
5.5%
Strike rate
n=1,464
292 (20%)
Placed
0.81
n=1,464 · 0.65 incl. margin
−585.49
£1 level stake
n=1,464 at SP · −40.0%
£1.03m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,464 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 19% when favourite Shane Foley: 8.7% from 183 New recruits: 5.7% Claiming riders: 5.6% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (12.5%, n=32), clear of the yard's 5.5% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.00). Shane Foley rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.7% vs 5.5%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1% over 99 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Habitat' Handicap at Curragh (May 2023, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Tawaazon (IRE) — 6 wins from 15 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−1.5
n=223 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −93.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.7%+0.2
n=158 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −55.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.5
n=53 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −53.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
1.4%−4.1
n=73 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −52.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5%−0.5
n=40 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −27.27
When favourite
19%
n=63 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −27.49
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%+0.1
n=550 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −198.64
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+8.8
n=7 · A/E 6.80 · £1 +10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Luke McAteer 12.1% vs 5.5% · n=58
At Sligo 12.5% vs 5.5% · n=32
With C&D winners 9.6% vs 5.5% · n=292
With debutants 0% vs 5.5% · n=53
With Rory Cleary 0% vs 5.5% · n=47
Off a break of 180+ days 1% vs 5.5% · n=99
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,305 76 5.8% −511.49
Hurdle 108 2 1.9% −46.00
Chase 36 2 5.6% −13.00
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 791 45 5.7% −369.19
Soft 213 17 8% +14.00
Good 209 11 5.3% −79.90
Good to Firm 83 2 2.4% −70.50
Heavy 82 3 3.7% −19.40
Good to Soft 76 2 2.6% −50.50
Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 753 44 5.8% −344.19
Bellewstown 83 7 8.4% +4.10
Navan 68 5 7.4% −11.50
Gowran Park 62 2 3.2% −43.25
Naas 60 3 5% −21.00
Fairyhouse 53 1 1.9% −32.00
Down Royal 44 2 4.5% −6.00
Curragh 41 3 7.3% +9.00
Leopardstown 39 1 2.6% −29.50
Sligo 32 4 12.5% −1.75
Limerick 24 1 4.2% +27.00
Laytown (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Galway 17 0 0% −17.00
Tipperary 16 1 6.3% −11.00
Downpatrick 16 0 0% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 6 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Class 5 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 73 12 16.4% 0.67 −37.49
2nd–3rd fav 171 19 11.1% 0.78 −59.50
4th–6th fav 432 27 6.3% 0.85 −84.00
7th+ in betting 788 22 2.8% 0.88 −404.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sister Lola (IRE)from Edward Lynam · then Adrian Sexton 47 2 13 27 Oct 23
Dalvey (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Noel C Kelly 42 4 10 13 Dec 23
Tai Sing Yeh (IRE)from J F Levins · then Denis Gerard Hogan 41 5 17 16 Feb 24
Beleaguerment (IRE)from John C McConnell 34 3 7 27 Jan 23
Enigma Code (UAE)then Miss Claire Simpson 33 3 8 17 Feb 12
Scarlet Dancer (IRE)from Richard Fahey · then John C McConnell 31 0 9 15 Aug 23
Eglish (GB)from Adrian McGuinness 23 0 6 20 Oct 23
Meishar (ARG)then Jane Chapple-Hyam 22 4 9 25 Feb 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 219 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Gerard Hogan (12) and Adrian McGuinness (4); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

33 have since run for another yard, most often for G A Kingston (4) and John C McConnell (4); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
647455765753
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Foley
13% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 1.03
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Foley 183 16 8.7% −38.50
Colin Keane 102 9 8.8% −31.17
J M Sheridan 98 8 8.2% −10.38
W J Lee 59 6 10.2% +0.00
Luke McAteer 58 7 12.1% +38.38
Dylan Browne McMonagle 53 2 3.8% −45.90
Sam Ewing 52 5 9.6% −13.62
James Ryan 52 1 1.9% −47.50
Gary Carroll 49 4 8.2% +26.00
Rory Cleary 47 0 0% −47.00
Michael Darcy 44 2 4.5% −16.00
Chris Hayes 44 2 4.5% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
81
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.05m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 24 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tawaazon (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Habitat' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2023
£29,500
Gaspar (IRE) — Phil Sweeney Memorial Chase Thurles · Jan 2008 · Grade 3
£20,832
Sister Rosetta (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Down Royal · Jun 2022
£13,865

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kodiac (GB) 4% · 4–99
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 9% · 7–78
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,036 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Acclamation (GB) 5.4% · 3–56
Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Slade Power (IRE) 4.3% · 2–47
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,942 runs since 2018 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 127.
Dansili (GB) 8.7% · 4–46
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Elusive Quality (USA) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,515 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,515 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 April 2007 to 16 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James McAuley's strike rate?
James McAuley has won 80 of 1,464 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James McAuley do best at?
Sligo by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James McAuley?
Shane Foley, with 183 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (8.7%).
What is James McAuley's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 1,464 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).