Neil King
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 180 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).
The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (31.8%, n=85), clear of the yard's 11.7% baseline. It is weakest at Ludlow (2.3% over 44 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.8% (n=104, Fair A/E 0.90). Trevor Whelan rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.8%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (17.9%, n=218). 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Trophy Handicap Chase at Kempton (Feb 2026, £85,425). The stable star of the record: Mercers Court (IRE) — 11 wins from 54 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,780 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,780 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Neil King's strike rate?
- Neil King has won 405 of 3,453 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Neil King do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 85 runners (31.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Neil King?
- Trevor Whelan, with 779 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 100 (12.8%).
- Is Neil King in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Neil King's Fair A/E?
- 1.04, from 3,448 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.