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Trainer profile

Noel Quinlan

751 runners in the lifetime window · 136 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2015
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
78–751
Wins / Runs
10.4%
Strike rate
n=751
201 (27%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=745 · 0.83 incl. margin
−174.01
£1 level stake
n=751 at SP · −23.2%
£422k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 150 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 751 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 44.4% when favourite Jack Quinlan: 8.4% from 119 Sent off the favourite in 10% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 2.9% (n=68, Fair A/E 0.44). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.52 and −38.47 to a £1 stake over 104 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jack Quinlan rode 16% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.4% vs 10.4%, A/E 0.81). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the E.B.F. Bahamian Bounty Boadicea Fillies' Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2011, £17,013). The stable star of the record was Bilidn (GB) — 5 wins from 14 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.8%−4.6
n=104 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −38.47
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.4%−6.0
n=68 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −60.18
Debutants · first career start
2.9%−7.5
n=68 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −20.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.5%−2.9
n=40 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8%−2.4
n=25 · A/E 0.35 · £1 +20.00
When favourite
44.4%
n=72 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +10.24
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.7%−2.7
n=181 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −70.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5%−5.4
n=20 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Pat Cosgrave 19.6% vs 10.4% · n=51
With Toby Atkinson 0% vs 10.4% · n=32
On last-time-out winners 18.3% vs 10.4% · n=82
With horses switching code 2.1% vs 10.4% · n=48
With debutants 2.9% vs 10.4% · n=68
With Chris Catlin 19.4% vs 10.4% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 614 66 10.7% −141.01
Hurdle 101 7 6.9% −27.25
Chase 24 4 16.7% −0.75
NH Flat 12 1 8.3% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 292 29 9.9% −106.17
Good 147 14 9.5% −33.41
Good to Firm 143 14 9.8% −69.15
Good to Soft 75 7 9.3% −14.00
Soft 66 8 12.1% +31.35
Heavy 21 5 23.8% +21.12
Firm 7 1 14.3% −3.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 105 11 10.5% −50.43
Kempton (AW) 91 8 8.8% −44.46
Lingfield (AW) 59 5 8.5% −33.45
Yarmouth 42 5 11.9% +49.25
Newmarket 40 2 5% −14.00
Southwell (AW) 32 4 12.5% +25.50
Nottingham 27 6 22.2% +24.48
Leicester 23 0 0% −23.00
Newmarket 19 1 5.3% −16.00
Doncaster 18 1 5.6% −13.50
Redcar 17 5 29.4% +10.70
Fakenham 16 3 18.8% +4.75
Stratford 15 2 13.3% −3.50
Worcester 13 0 0% −13.00
Huntingdon 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 284 28 9.9% −75.84
Class 6 238 30 12.6% +0.65
Class 4 144 10 6.9% −58.12
Class 3 32 4 12.5% −13.87
Class 1 21 1 4.8% −18.00
Class 2 20 1 5% −15.50
Class 7 9 2 22.2% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 86 35 40.7% 1.30 +6.99
2nd–3rd fav 175 25 14.3% 0.78 −40.50
4th–6th fav 214 8 3.7% 0.51 −102.50
7th+ in betting 276 10 3.6% 1.11 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fire In Babylon (IRE)from Michael Wigham · then Giles Bravery 25 4 8 26 Mar 15
Loucal (GB) 17 1 4 24 Jul 14
Our Gal (GB)from Michael Quinlan 16 3 5 17 Nov 12
Abriachan (GB)from Michael Quinlan 16 2 4 8 Aug 12
Peadar Miguel (GB)from Michael Quinlan · then Mark Loughnane 16 2 8 31 Mar 12
Golden Spear (GB)then A J Martin 15 2 4 7 Mar 15
Bilidn (GB)from Clive Brittain · then Ben De Haan 14 5 7 2 Nov 12
Diamond Belle (GB) 13 1 6 28 Nov 13
Park Lane (GB)from Paul Fitzsimons 13 2 6 4 Sep 13
Moyne Nineoseven (IRE)from P M Quinlan 11 1 5 25 Aug 14
Exclusion (USA) 11 1 2 13 Nov 13
Khawatim (GB)from Paul Midgley · then Mrs K Burke 11 3 4 22 Jun 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 136 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Quinlan (11) and John Joseph Hanlon (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

34 have since run for another yard, most often for Giles Bravery (3) and John Butler (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
24119614514176559
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Quinlan
16% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 0.81
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Quinlan 119 10 8.4% −58.25
Adam Kirby 74 10 13.5% −38.34
Stevie Donohoe 62 7 11.3% −6.87
Pat Cosgrave 51 10 19.6% +50.50
Toby Atkinson 32 0 0% −32.00
Adam Beschizza 31 3 9.7% −14.25
Chris Catlin 31 6 19.4% −9.01
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
78
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£422k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 24 wins
Blanche Dubawi (IRE) — E.B.F. Bahamian Bounty Boadicea Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Newmarket · Oct 2011 · Listed
£17,013
Its You Again (GB) — Prix de Moret-sur-Loing (Turf) Fontainebleau · May 2011
£14,655
Blanche Dubawi (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies' Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2011 · Class 3
£9,704
Notable horses
Bilidn (GB) Fire In Babylon (IRE) Our Gal (GB) Khawatim (GB) Boboli Gardens (GB) Blanche Dubawi (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kyllachy (GB) 15.8% · 6–38
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Celtic Swing (GB) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Araafa (IRE) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,147 runs since 2010 (88 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.8% from 176.
Danroad (AUS) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 7% of 584 runs since 2009 (41 horses).
Intikhab (USA) 19.2% · 5–26
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Montjeu (IRE) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 751 · newest first

The latest 50 of 751 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2011 to 8 April 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Apr 15 Nottingham Brosnan (IRE)J: Sam James totepool Princess Bella HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 33/1
08 Apr 15 Lingfield (AW) Ever Yours (IRE)J: Martin Harley Rudridge Ltd Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 7/1
06 Apr 15 Huntingdon Notnowsam (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Dalton Philips Juvenile Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 14/1
01 Apr 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Three Gracez (GB)J: Sam James Six April Fixtures At Chelmsford City HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 8/1
28 Mar 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Lil's Joy (IRE)J: Adam Beschizza Dubai World Cup toteplacepot Today Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 5/2
26 Mar 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Ever Yours (IRE)J: Adam Beschizza Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 22/1
26 Mar 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Fire In Babylon (IRE)J: Adam Beschizza Coral Connect HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 14/1
14 Mar 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Boboli Gardens (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Ladbrokes HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 7/1
13 Mar 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Ever Yours (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 18/1
13 Mar 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Bryant Park (USA)J: Alistair Rawlinson Coral Connect Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 7/2
07 Mar 15 Sandown Golden Spear (GB)J: Jack Quinlan William Hill Mobile Cheltenham Offers Juvenile Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 11/1
05 Mar 15 Southwell (AW) Mr Sundowner (USA)J: Pat Cosgrave 32red HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 17/2
04 Mar 15 Kempton (AW) Ever Yours (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave 32Red On The App Store Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 6/1
25 Feb 15 Kempton (AW) Boboli Gardens (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Watch Racing UK On 3 Devices HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 3/1
18 Feb 15 Lingfield (AW) Boboli Gardens (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Unibet Offer Daily Jockey/trainer Specials HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 3/1F
17 Feb 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Mr Sundowner (USA)J: Adam Beschizza 32red HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 14/1
13 Feb 15 Lingfield (AW) Zingiber (GB)J: Adam Beschizza 32red On The App Store Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 20/1
12 Feb 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Rio Falls (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Bet On toteplacepot Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 6/1
11 Feb 15 Kempton (AW) Ever Yours (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave 32Red Casino Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 25/1
05 Feb 15 Huntingdon Golden Spear (GB)J: Jack Quinlan 32Red Chatteris Fen Juvenile HurdleClass 2 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel Quinlan's strike rate?
Noel Quinlan has won 78 of 751 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Noel Quinlan do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Noel Quinlan?
Jack Quinlan, with 119 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.4%).
What is Noel Quinlan's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 745 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).