What is Patrick Griffin's strike rate?

Patrick Griffin has won 45 of 598 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Patrick Griffin do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 runners (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Patrick Griffin?

Adam Short, with 143 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (4.9%).

What is Patrick Griffin's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 596 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Patrick Griffin

598 runners in the lifetime window · 90 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 26 days ago 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

45–598

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=598

110 (18%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=596 · 0.98 incl. margin

−125.86

£1 level stake

n=596 at SP · −21.1%

£633k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). In Group and Graded company the record reads 11% (44 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 598 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May Adam Short: 4.9% from 143 Group/Graded: 11.4%

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 11.4% (n=44, Fair A/E 2.46), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.9% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.55). Adam Short rides 24% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4.9% vs 7.5%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Class 4 (13.6%, n=154) and beyond 3m (14.6%, n=48). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Super U - Grand Cross at Craon (FR) (Sep 2024, £34,000). The stable star of the record: Heist (IRE) — 8 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−1.6

n=153 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −56.37

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.9%−5.6

n=52 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −35.00

Debutants · first career start

2.8%−4.7

n=36 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +65.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.5%−5.0

n=40 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.4%−0.1

n=27 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=27 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +0.21

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6%−1.5

n=234 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −62.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.4%+3.9

n=44 · A/E 2.46 · £1 +28.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Brian Hughes 22.7% vs 7.5% · n=66

With C&D winners 18.9% vs 7.5% · n=37

With James Reveley 16.4% vs 7.5% · n=55

In Class 4 13.6% vs 7.5% · n=154

Beyond 3m 14.6% vs 7.5% · n=48

On Good to Soft going 13.6% vs 7.5% · n=88

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 312 16 5.1% −102.80

Chase 251 29 11.6% +11.94

Flat 22 0 0% −22.00

NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 222 16 7.2% +12.78

Soft 162 10 6.2% −35.30

Good to Soft 88 12 13.6% −11.24

Heavy 80 2 2.5% −71.10

Good to Firm 35 5 14.3% −10.00

Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 42 4 9.5% −15.50

Hexham 33 4 12.1% −19.37

Fairyhouse 29 1 3.4% −25.00

Ayr 26 3 11.5% −3.00

Kelso 26 5 19.2% +4.25

Downpatrick 24 1 4.2% −16.00

Down Royal 24 1 4.2% −16.50

Aintree 22 1 4.5% +29.00

Navan 22 0 0% −22.00

Thurles 18 0 0% −18.00

Musselburgh 18 2 11.1% +86.50

Limerick 18 1 5.6% −3.00

Punchestown 18 0 0% −18.00

Bangor-on-Dee 18 3 16.7% −4.75

Tipperary 16 2 12.5% +24.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 154 21 13.6% +30.04

Class 3 50 5 10% −2.50

Class 1 49 5 10.2% +23.10

Class 5 34 3 8.8% −21.00

Class 2 25 0 0% −25.00

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 34 11 32.4% 1.04 −0.04

2nd–3rd fav 71 20 28.2% 1.60 +23.18

4th–6th fav 160 8 5% 0.87 −60.00

7th+ in betting 331 6 1.8% 0.81 −89.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 234 17 7.3% −34.66

2m1f – 2m4f 200 14 7% −64.05

2m5f – 3m 96 7 7.3% −47.25

Over 3m 48 7 14.6% +40.10

1m2f – 1m4f 9 0 0% −9.00

6f – 7f 8 0 0% −8.00

1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 37 1 2.7% −22.00

2009 27 0 0% −27.00

2010 27 1 3.7% +74.00

2011 28 1 3.6% −24.50

2012 28 2 7.1% −14.00

2013 36 4 11.1% −20.00

2014 31 7 22.6% +2.46

2015 52 5 9.6% −22.12

2016 53 7 13.2% +83.50

2017 65 6 9.2% −28.00

2018 46 0 0% −46.00

2019 24 0 0% −24.00

2020 36 0 0% −36.00

2021 14 2 14.3% +26.50

2022 23 3 13% −3.50

2023 15 2 13.3% −6.10

2024 27 1 3.7% −20.80

2025 16 2 12.5% −9.30

2026 13 1 7.7% −9.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 246 22 8.9% +3.34

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

5-7 runners 138 20 14.5% −18.06

11-13 runners 120 5 4.2% −78.00

8-10 runners 116 7 6% −54.55

14-16 runners 101 6 5.9% +123.00

17+ runners 88 0 0% −88.00

2-4 runners 35 7 20% −10.25

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.4% completed · 563 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 251 76.9% 16 11 28 2 1

Hurdle 312 90.4% 5 3 22 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Maggio (FR)from Nigel Hawke 48 7 22 3 Jun 18

Heist (IRE)then Max Comley 40 8 14 18 Sep 20

Captain Hox (IRE)from A J Martin 24 3 6 26 Jan 19

Roi Mage (FR)from L Gabeur · then Mme F Griffin 22 4 9 10 Jul 26

Lisbon (IRE) 21 3 7 4 Oct 15

Portrait King (IRE)from M Phelan 20 0 3 15 Mar 18

Herja (IRE) 17 2 9 30 Sep 26

Twentypoundluck (IRE)then Paul Collins 16 1 7 16 Aug 14

Dica (FR)then Paul Collins 16 1 2 4 Jul 13

Sudski Star (IRE)then Harriet Graham 15 5 5 15 Apr 15

Clarricien (IRE)from E J O'Neill 15 0 1 27 Nov 09

Ford Of Wells (IRE)from Thomas Mullins 13 1 1 30 Jun 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 90 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S R B Crawford (3) and E McNamara (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Noel C Kelly (2) and Paul Collins (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

22999481419763

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Short

24% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Short 143 7 4.9% −81.50

Brian Hughes 66 15 22.7% +24.66

James Reveley 55 9 16.4% +36.85

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£637k

Prize money

2016

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Roi Mage (FR) — Prix Super U - Grand Cross (Listed Cross Country Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Craon (FR) · Sep 2024 · Listed

£34,000

Maggio (FR) — Betfred Handicap Chase (Listed) Aintree · Apr 2016 · Listed

£33,862

Roi Mage (FR) — Prix Super U - Grand Cross (Listed Cross Country Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Craon (FR) · Sep 2025 · Listed

£30,033

Notable horses

Heist (IRE) Maggio (FR) Sudski Star (IRE) Roi Mage (FR) Captain Hox (IRE) Lisbon (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Trempolino (USA) 14.6% · 7–48

Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,003 runs since 2008 (173 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.5% from 199. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5% from 119.

Galileo (IRE) 17.8% · 8–45

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,194 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.

Poliglote (GB) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.

Beneficial (GB) 3.7% · 1–27

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Cape Cross (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 638 · newest first

The latest 50 of 638 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2005 to 30 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Herja (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 2 ran 1st 3/1

31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Herja (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Cosy Group Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/2

28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Herja (IRE)J: Harry Sexton COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase18f · Good · 20 ran 2nd 16/1

10 Jul 26 Cork Roi Mage (FR)J: Harry Sexton RBC Brewin Dolphin Hurdle24f · Good · 9 ran 6th 66/1

21 Jun 26 Hexham Herja (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Matfen Hall Hotel Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 8/1

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Herja (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Wrexham Lager Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 11/2

04 May 26 Down Royal Herja (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Pepsi Max Hurdle24f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 16/1

20 Apr 26 Kelso Herja (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Adam Scott Celebratory Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

17 Mar 26 Down Royal Herja (IRE)J: Mark McDonagh Bluegrass High Performance Rated Novice Chase20.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 25/1

17 Mar 26 Down Royal Roi Mage (FR)J: Harry Sexton Bluegrass Racehorse Cube Chase26f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 2nd 12/1

05 Mar 26 Thurles Herja (IRE)J: E Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase18f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1

23 Feb 26 Ayr Go Frankie (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Join Racing TV Now Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 66/1

03 Feb 26 Fairyhouse Go Frankie (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe BetVictor Still Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 80/1

06 Dec 25 Aintree Roi Mage (FR)J: James Reveley William Hill Half A Mill Becher Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) (National Course)Class 1 · 26f · Soft · 13 ran PU 28/1

15 Oct 25 Wetherby Herja (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Boyle Sports, Home Of The Early Payout Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 4/1

25 Sep 25 Perth Herja (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Elston Supports UK Financial Advisers EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

07 Sep 25 Craon (FR) Roi Mage (FR)J: James Reveley Prix Super U - Grand Cross (Listed Cross Country Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)30f · Very Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/2

04 Sep 25 Sedgefield Herja (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Fairlight Studios At Sedgefield Racecourse Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 6/5F

05 Aug 25 Roscommon We're Back Again (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Railway Bar Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)15.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 9/4F

07 Jul 25 Roscommon We're Back Again (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Frenchpark Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Griffin's strike rate?: Patrick Griffin has won 45 of 598 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Griffin do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 runners (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Patrick Griffin?: Adam Short, with 143 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (4.9%).
What is Patrick Griffin's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 596 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.