What is Sarah-Jayne Davies's strike rate?

Sarah-Jayne Davies has won 56 of 1,353 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sarah-Jayne Davies do best at?

Taunton by strike rate: 6 wins from 42 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sarah-Jayne Davies?

William Kennedy, with 243 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (4.9%).

Is Sarah-Jayne Davies in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Sarah-Jayne Davies's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 1,352 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sarah-Jayne Davies

1,353 runners in the lifetime window · 198 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

56–1,353

Wins / Runs

4.1%

Strike rate

n=1,353

199 (15%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=1,352 · 0.69 incl. margin

−821.11

£1 level stake

n=1,353 at SP · −60.7%

£567k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,353 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance William Kennedy: 4.9% from 243

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (14%, n=50) and Taunton (14.3%, n=42) — all clear of the yard's 4.1% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −380.52 to a £1 stake over 533 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. William Kennedy rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.9%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.6%, n=59). The stable star of the record: Accessallareas (IRE) — 6 wins from 68 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.9%−1.2

n=306 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −222.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.1%−2.0

n=145 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −87.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.1

n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.1%−2.0

n=47 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −45.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.2%−0.9

n=63 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −46.67

When favourite

25%

n=28 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −8.27

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.2%−0.9

n=533 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −380.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.1

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17% vs 4.1% · n=53

Off a 0-7-day break 13.6% vs 4.1% · n=59

At Newton Abbot 14% vs 4.1% · n=50

At Taunton 14.3% vs 4.1% · n=42

With horses switching code 0% vs 4.1% · n=245

With C&D winners 8.9% vs 4.1% · n=90

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 629 41 6.5% −256.84

Hurdle 615 15 2.4% −455.27

NH Flat 69 0 0% −69.00

Flat 40 0 0% −40.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 642 25 3.9% −380.67

Soft 272 16 5.9% −148.77

Good to Soft 224 6 2.7% −161.50

Heavy 118 5 4.2% −65.67

Good to Firm 59 4 6.8% −26.50

Standard (AW) 38 0 0% −38.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ludlow 165 5 3% −90.00

Uttoxeter 133 4 3% −91.50

Worcester 126 4 3.2% −73.50

Bangor-on-Dee 105 6 5.7% −27.50

Hereford 104 1 1% −75.00

Stratford 90 3 3.3% −53.00

Market Rasen 68 6 8.8% −24.00

Ffos Las 59 3 5.1% −42.17

Southwell 56 3 5.4% −47.27

Newton Abbot 50 7 14% −8.25

Leicester 50 2 4% −30.50

Warwick 48 0 0% −48.00

Taunton 42 6 14.3% −7.67

Huntingdon 39 2 5.1% −24.75

Chepstow 29 0 0% −29.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 615 33 5.4% −310.84

Class 4 591 21 3.6% −382.27

Class 3 83 2 2.4% −64.00

Class 6 50 0 0% −50.00

Class 2 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 30 7 23.3% 0.81 −10.27

2nd–3rd fav 128 21 16.4% 0.99 −16.84

4th–6th fav 406 19 4.7% 0.80 −179.00

7th+ in betting 789 9 1.1% 0.54 −615.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 627 28 4.5% −361.94

2m1f – 2m4f 427 17 4% −297.00

2m5f – 3m 251 11 4.4% −114.17

Over 3m 27 0 0% −27.00

1m2f – 1m4f 16 0 0% −16.00

1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00

6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 6 0 0% −6.00

2012 13 1 7.7% −6.50

2013 81 9 11.1% +31.00

2014 109 5 4.6% −91.50

2015 99 7 7.1% −37.00

2016 100 3 3% −68.00

2017 95 3 3.2% −77.00

2018 82 5 6.1% −58.67

2019 106 4 3.8% −80.77

2020 78 3 3.8% −42.00

2021 83 1 1.2% −71.00

2022 76 1 1.3% −55.00

2023 94 0 0% −94.00

2024 113 5 4.4% −56.17

2025 110 2 1.8% −90.50

2026 108 7 6.5% −18.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 995 53 5.3% −497.61

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 524 21 4% −338.42

5-7 runners 370 25 6.8% −153.19

11-13 runners 292 7 2.4% −218.50

14-16 runners 111 1 0.9% −85.00

2-4 runners 39 2 5.1% −9.00

17+ runners 17 0 0% −17.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

74.5% completed · 1,244 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 629 73.3% 23 19 124 0 2

Hurdle 615 75.8% 13 7 124 1 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Accessallareas (IRE) 68 6 14 6 Dec 18

Pembroke House (GB) 59 3 21 16 Feb 22

Chankillo (GB)from Mark H Tompkins 45 3 20 9 Jul 17

Higgs (IRE) 43 4 16 2 Jun 25

Royal Act (GB)from Sam England 43 4 6 3 May 24

Est Illic (IRE)from Tom Symonds 30 2 7 14 Oct 26

Nine Nine Nine (GB)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 30 2 8 31 Mar 26

Passing Fiesta (GB) 28 1 3 8 Feb 18

Whos De Baby (IRE) 26 1 8 31 Aug 18

Zacony Rebel (IRE)from Toby Lawes 23 4 5 28 May 26

Capisci (IRE)from Alison Batchelor 23 3 8 12 Sep 16

Invincible Wish (IRE)from Matt Sheppard 21 1 4 7 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 198 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (2) and Harry Derham (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry Oliver (2); 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

227474445325

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderWilliam Kennedy

18% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

William Kennedy 243 12 4.9% −111.00

James Best 179 7 3.9% −111.67

Charlie Hammond 149 1 0.7% −140.00

Robert Dunne 70 3 4.3% −35.00

Tabitha Worsley 66 1 1.5% −57.00

Conor Ring 47 0 0% −47.00

Cillin Leonard 40 2 5% −20.50

Mr J Mahot 38 3 7.9% −19.25

James Banks 35 2 5.7% −24.50

Sam Twiston-Davies 30 1 3.3% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£567k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Zacony Rebel (IRE) — Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Huntingdon · Dec 2025 · Class 4

£11,102

Higgs (IRE) — Sky Sports Racing Coming In 2019 Novices' Hurdle Newton Abbot · May 2018 · Class 3

£7,928

Est Illic (IRE) — attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Doncaster · Dec 2020 · Class 3

£7,018

Notable horses

Accessallareas (IRE) Higgs (IRE) Royal Act (GB) Zacony Rebel (IRE) Pembroke House (GB) Chankillo (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Swift Gulliver (IRE) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 6.4% of 94 runs since 2008 (8 horses).

Terimon (GB) 5.1% · 3–59

Progeny have won 7.7% of 868 runs since 2008 (96 horses).

Scorpion (IRE) 7.5% · 4–53

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,327 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Tikkanen (USA) 8.3% · 4–48

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,014 runs since 2009 (170 horses).

Observatory (USA) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.

Royal Anthem (USA) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,350 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.9% from 529.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,355 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,355 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 May 2005 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Hereford Sir Vinnie Kent (IRE)J: James Best Paul Fergusons Jumpers To Follow EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran PU 300/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Cobbler's Boy (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 80/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Dynamite Defense (IRE)J: James Best Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 125/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter A Dublin Job (IRE)J: James Best Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 8th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Lady Of The Isles (IRE)J: James Best tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 300/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Just Call Me Mo (GB)J: Miss Jess Stewart BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 300/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Est Illic (IRE)J: Megan Bevan Enigma Flooring Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28f · Soft · 7 ran PU 50/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Dynamite Defense (IRE)J: James Best CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 18/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Disco Davis (FR)J: James Best Richard Davis Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 66/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Delta Legend (IRE)J: Megan Bevan Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Lizziemouth (GB)J: James Best Join Racing TV Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 500/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Lady Of The Isles (IRE)J: James Best Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 300/1

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter A Dublin Job (IRE)J: James Best Quinnbet Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 4th 28/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Ramaah (GB)J: James Best Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Disco Davis (FR)J: James Best Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 66/1

22 Sep 26 Warwick Est Illic (IRE)J: Megan Bevan Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 22/1

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter A Dublin Job (IRE)J: James Best QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 6th 18/1

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Delta Legend (IRE)J: James Best Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 200/1

10 Sep 26 Worcester Dynamite Defense (IRE)J: James Best CopyBet Bog Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 5th 40/1

10 Sep 26 Worcester Ramaah (GB)J: James Best PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 6th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sarah-Jayne Davies's strike rate?: Sarah-Jayne Davies has won 56 of 1,353 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sarah-Jayne Davies do best at?: Taunton by strike rate: 6 wins from 42 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sarah-Jayne Davies?: William Kennedy, with 243 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (4.9%).
Is Sarah-Jayne Davies in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sarah-Jayne Davies's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 1,352 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.