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Trainer profile

Tor Sturgis

351 runners in the lifetime window · 57 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2012
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
22–351
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=351
69 (20%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=351 · 0.66 incl. margin
−122.83
£1 level stake
n=351 at SP · −35.0%
£75,031
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). New recruits from other yards win at 9% first time out (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 351 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance New recruits: 9.1%
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (13.5%, n=52), clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.18). The yard also read well on Standard (AW) going (11%, n=155). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 57 runners, 6.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.21 across 73 runners (1.4% strike, −52.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Sunset Boulevard (IRE) — 5 wins from 25 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.7%−0.6
n=87 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −32.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+2.8
n=33 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.3
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
25%
n=20 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −2.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.2%−5.1
n=81 · A/E 0.18 · £1 −58.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Chris Catlin 14% vs 6.3% · n=43
At Kempton (AW) 13.5% vs 6.3% · n=52
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 6.3% · n=57
On Standard (AW) going 11% vs 6.3% · n=155
With claiming riders up 1.2% vs 6.3% · n=81
In Class 4 1.4% vs 6.3% · n=73
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 225 18 8% −56.08
Hurdle 89 4 4.5% −29.75
NH Flat 19 0 0% −19.00
Chase 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 155 17 11% +6.42
Good 65 2 3.1% −52.00
Good to Firm 57 0 0% −57.00
Good to Soft 41 3 7.3% +12.75
Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 52 7 13.5% +20.75
Wolverhampton (AW) 50 5 10% +2.67
Lingfield (AW) 45 5 11.1% −9.00
Fontwell 14 0 0% −14.00
Newbury 13 0 0% −13.00
Worcester 12 2 16.7% −3.75
Warwick 12 0 0% −12.00
Lingfield 10 0 0% −10.00
Folkestone 8 0 0% −8.00
Exeter 8 0 0% −8.00
Towcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Newton Abbot 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 6 0 0% −6.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Yarmouth 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 147 11 7.5% −69.83
Class 5 109 7 6.4% −31.00
Class 4 73 1 1.4% −52.00
Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 7 9 3 33.3% +43.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 30 7 23.3% 1.01 −6.08
2nd–3rd fav 55 6 10.9% 0.72 −24.25
4th–6th fav 99 4 4% 0.52 −43.50
7th+ in betting 167 5 3% 0.93 −49.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Watchmaker (GB)from William Knight · then Mike Hammond 31 2 8 3 Mar 11
Sunset Boulevard (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda · then Jim Best 21 3 9 26 Jun 10
Copper King (GB)from J W Hills 21 3 4 19 Feb 10
Cardinal James (IRE) 17 0 5 23 Sep 11
Lough Beg (IRE)from H Rogers 16 3 3 9 Aug 10
Transvestite (IRE)from J W Hills · then Nick Ayliffe 15 1 1 21 Jun 10
Dauntsey Park (IRE) 13 0 1 22 Jun 11
Century Dancer (GB) 12 1 2 6 Oct 11
Dabaratsa (FR)then Tim Vaughan 11 2 5 7 Aug 09
Watson's Bay (GB)from David P Myerscough · then Paul Howling 10 1 3 25 May 09
General Flumpa (GB)from Chris Wall 10 0 1 4 Sep 08
Set To Go (GB)from Natalie Lloyd-Beavis · then Brendan Powell 9 0 2 26 Jan 12
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J W Hills (2) and Jeremy Noseda (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Brendan Powell (4) and Matthew Salaman (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2446733950048
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Catlin
12% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.00
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Catlin 43 6 14% −17.08
Fergus Sweeney 30 3 10% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
35
Archived wins
£132k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 9 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Welsh Main (GB) — Come Racing On 6th November Handicap Chase Hereford · Oct 2005 · Class 4
£4,901
Transvestite (IRE) — William Hill Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2009 · Class 4
£4,727
Dedrunknmunky (IRE) — Mares' Novices' Chase Fontwell · Nov 2005 · Class 4
£4,662
Notable horses
Sunset Boulevard (IRE) Champagne Shadow (IRE) Copper King (GB) Lough Beg (IRE) Watchmaker (GB) Dabaratsa (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bering (GB) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 8.8% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 108. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 156.
Ishiguru (USA) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.
Montjeu (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Royal Applause (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Bishop of Cashel (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 7.7% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.8% from 105.
Close Conflict (USA) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 7.8% of 565 runs since 2008 (73 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 106.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 468 · newest first

The latest 50 of 468 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 October 2005 to 14 March 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Mar 12 Kempton (AW) Expensive Legacy (GB)J: Ross Atkinson Betdaq Multiples HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1
27 Feb 12 Plumpton Fulgora (GB)J: Sam Jones Sis Live Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 25/1
24 Feb 12 Warwick Fairey Delta (GB)J: Wayne Hutchinson DBS/EBF Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Qualifier)Class 6 · 16f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 20/1
17 Feb 12 Sandown Conigre (GB)J: Wayne Hutchinson Reclaims UK Helping Soldiers Novices' Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 28/1
28 Jan 12 Doncaster Fulgora (GB)J: Sam Jones Sky Bet Mobile For Android Doncaster Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 50/1
27 Jan 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Expensive Legacy (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Play Rainbow Riches At bluesq.com HandicapClass 7 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 33/1
26 Jan 12 Kempton (AW) Set To Go (GB)J: Ross Atkinson 32Red.com HandicapClass 7 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 13/2
19 Jan 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Set To Go (GB)J: Ross Atkinson Play Rainbow Riches At Bluesq.com HandicapClass 7 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 20/1
17 Jan 12 Folkestone Fairey Delta (GB)J: Wayne Hutchinson SIS Live Mares' Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 8/1
13 Jan 12 Huntingdon Smart Viking (IRE)J: Sam Jones equimarkhorseboxes.com Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 33/1
11 Jan 12 Doncaster Conigre (GB)J: Wayne Hutchinson Yorkshire Radio Supporting Yorkshire Racing Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 150/1
09 Jan 12 Taunton Fulgora (GB)J: Sam Jones Happy New Year Claiming HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 16/1
01 Jan 12 Exeter Effectsmenone (GB)J: Noel Fehily 2 Tickets For 10 On 12.02.12 Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 20/1
21 Dec 11 Ludlow Conigre (GB)J: Wayne Hutchinson Tanners Burgundy Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 50/1
21 Dec 11 Ludlow Ten Fires (GER)J: Kielan Woods Tanners Wines Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 33/1
21 Dec 11 Ludlow Fulgora (GB)J: Sam Jones Tanners Claret Juvenile Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 33/1
20 Dec 11 Taunton Red Rock (FR)J: Wayne Hutchinson Brand New ATR Predictor Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran F 14/1
13 Dec 11 Folkestone Aeronautica (IRE)J: Sam Jones Countryside Alliance Winter Family Day 2nd January Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 9 ran 5th 16/1
05 Dec 11 Lingfield (AW) Expensive Legacy (GB)J: Ross Atkinson totepool Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 100/1
23 Nov 11 Fontwell Red Rock (FR)J: Wayne Hutchinson Global Technologies Racing Ltd 'Composites' Fontwell Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tor Sturgis's strike rate?
Tor Sturgis has won 22 of 351 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tor Sturgis do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 52 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Tor Sturgis's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 351 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).