What is Brian Baugh's strike rate?

Brian Baugh has won 109 of 1,678 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Brian Baugh do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 10 wins from 60 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Brian Baugh?

J-P Guillambert, with 131 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (9.2%).

What is Brian Baugh's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 1,671 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Brian Baugh

1,678 runners in the lifetime window · 108 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2020 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

109–1,678

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=1,678

387 (23%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=1,671 · 0.74 incl. margin

−273.46

£1 level stake

n=1,678 at SP · −16.3%

£477k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,678 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Aug 16.7% when favourite J-P Guillambert: 9.2% from 131 Sent off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (16.7%, n=60) and Chepstow (12.7%, n=63) — all clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. Debutants struggle at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.81). J-P Guillambert rode 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.2% vs 6.5%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 72 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Scamperdale (GB) — 15 wins from 96 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5%−1.5

n=239 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +27.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.5%−4.0

n=40 · A/E 0.46 · £1 +1.00

Debutants · first career start

2.3%−4.2

n=43 · A/E 0.81 · £1 +24.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−2.9

n=28 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −23.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.4%−3.1

n=87 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −52.67

When favourite

16.7%

n=84 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −28.79

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.1%−1.4

n=372 · A/E 0.86 · £1 +15.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.5

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 6.5% · n=114

At Leicester 16.7% vs 6.5% · n=60

With Miss Serena Brotherton 15.9% vs 6.5% · n=44

With C&D winners 11.2% vs 6.5% · n=484

Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 6.5% · n=72

At Chepstow 12.7% vs 6.5% · n=63

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,589 108 6.8% −194.46

Hurdle 67 1 1.5% −57.00

NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Chase 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 881 54 6.1% −353.46

Good to Firm 309 26 8.4% +187.25

Good 253 17 6.7% +16.00

Good to Soft 106 6 5.7% −28.50

Soft 64 3 4.7% −49.25

Firm 48 3 6.3% −28.50

Heavy 17 0 0% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 669 40 6% −295.29

Southwell (AW) 117 7 6% −56.67

Haydock 69 3 4.3% −22.00

Chepstow 63 8 12.7% +26.25

Kempton (AW) 62 5 8.1% +3.50

Leicester 60 10 16.7% +105.25

Nottingham 57 4 7% +8.50

Bath 53 4 7.5% −27.50

Chester 37 2 5.4% −1.00

Warwick 36 3 8.3% −7.50

Redcar 36 0 0% −36.00

Doncaster 35 3 8.6% +6.00

Beverley 31 2 6.5% −14.00

Pontefract 31 3 9.7% −2.00

Carlisle 30 2 6.7% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 881 53 6% −220.92

Class 5 552 34 6.2% +10.96

Class 4 168 15 8.9% −30.00

Class 7 50 6 12% −13.50

Class 3 18 1 5.6% −11.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 115 23 20% 0.89 −14.54

2nd–3rd fav 232 34 14.7% 1.05 −40.42

4th–6th fav 502 31 6.2% 0.78 −178.50

7th+ in betting 829 21 2.5% 0.78 −40.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Comptonspirit (GB) 75 8 29 4 Aug 14

Scamperdale (GB)from Karen George 75 10 19 29 Apr 14

John Potts (GB) 72 8 22 24 May 16

Tanforan (GB)from Ms J S Doyle 69 7 19 16 Jun 14

Kielty's Folly (GB) 69 5 21 14 Jan 14

Piccolo Express (GB) 67 4 19 19 Sep 15

Tyfos (GB)from Mark Brisbourne 59 5 23 30 Sep 15

David's Beauty (IRE)from David Evans · then Michael Mullineaux 54 5 22 12 Oct 19

Consistant (GB) 53 6 19 25 Aug 16

Hilbre Court (USA)from Brian Meehan 50 4 12 23 Jul 12

Avoncreek (GB) 48 3 6 13 Sep 12

Kyle of Bute (GB)from John Dunlop · then Richard Ford 46 3 16 7 Jun 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 108 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Evans (3) and Jo Hughes (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Mullineaux (3) and Richard Ford (3); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

89426810103007

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJ-P Guillambert

8% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

J-P Guillambert 131 12 9.2% +16.00

Graham Gibbons 112 10 8.9% +155.66

William Carson 74 4 5.4% −44.62

Kelly Harrison 69 8 11.6% −17.75

Andrew Elliott 59 4 6.8% −6.00

Duran Fentiman 50 2 4% −14.00

Russ Kennemore 44 4 9.1% −12.50

Billy Cray 44 2 4.5% −15.00

Miss Serena Brotherton 44 7 15.9% −7.75

Jodie Mogford 43 1 2.3% −33.00

Tom Eaves 40 1 2.5% −35.50

Andrew Mullen 36 0 0% −36.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

130

Archived wins

£559k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tyfos (GB) — Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Chester · Sep 2014 · Class 4

£7,763

Scamperdale (GB) — Best Odds Guaranteed At Totesport.com Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Dec 2009 · Class 4

£6,308

Scamperdale (GB) — Hollow Lane Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2011 · Class 3

£5,828

Notable horses

Scamperdale (GB) Comptonspirit (GB) Tanforan (GB) John Potts (GB) Consistant (GB) Kielty's Folly (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Compton Place (GB) 11.5% · 18–157

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Piccolo (GB) 7.5% · 9–120

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Bertolini (USA) 7.4% · 7–95

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 9.5% · 9–95

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).

Kyllachy (GB) 4.4% · 4–91

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Mujahid (USA) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,168 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,168 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 3 January 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) North Korea (IRE)J: William Carson betyourway At Betway Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 40/1

27 Dec 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Dabbersgirl (GB)J: Liam Keniry Ladbrokes 'Play 1-2-Free' On Football Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 250/1

05 Dec 19 Kempton (AW) Dabbersgirl (GB)J: Liam Keniry racingtv.com Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 9th 100/1

03 Dec 19 Wolverhampton (AW) North Korea (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Claiming StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 100/1

16 Nov 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Dabbersgirl (GB)J: Tom Eaves Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 200/1

06 Nov 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Dabbersgirl (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Ladbrokes 'Play 1-2-Free' On Football Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 200/1

05 Nov 19 Southwell (AW) North Korea (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Betway Heed Your Hunch HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 50/1

12 Oct 19 Wolverhampton (AW) North Korea (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 50/1

12 Oct 19 Wolverhampton (AW) David's Beauty (IRE)J: Kieran Schofield Compare Bookmaker Sites At bonuscodebets.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 33/1

30 Sep 19 Bath David's Beauty (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan starsports.bet HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 20/1

22 Sep 19 Hamilton David's Beauty (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Barbara Ann Letham & Son Jonathan Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 17/2

14 Sep 19 Bath North Korea (IRE)J: Raul Da Silva SDS Intellistorm HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 15 ran 7th 50/1

12 Sep 19 Chepstow David's Beauty (IRE)J: Luke Morris Kier Construction HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 16/1

12 Aug 19 Catterick North Korea (IRE)J: James Sullivan Racing Again 19th August HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 8/1

11 Aug 19 Leicester David's Beauty (IRE)J: J F Egan Thurmaston HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 12/1

05 Aug 19 Carlisle Whispering Soul (IRE)J: Laura Coughlan Glo & Go Tanning Lounge Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders)Class 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 80/1

20 Jul 19 Haydock David's Beauty (IRE)J: Luke Morris Join RacingTV Now Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 13/2

18 Jul 19 Chepstow North Korea (IRE)J: J F Egan Call Star Sports On 08000 521321 HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 14/1

18 Jul 19 Chepstow Shesadabber (GB)J: J F Egan Cavendish Maine HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 16/1

06 Jul 19 Carlisle David's Beauty (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Gretna Gateway Dream HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian Baugh's strike rate?: Brian Baugh has won 109 of 1,678 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brian Baugh do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 10 wins from 60 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Brian Baugh?: J-P Guillambert, with 131 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (9.2%).
What is Brian Baugh's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 1,671 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.