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Trainer profile

Craig Lidster

1,090 runners in the lifetime window · 132 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
99–1,090
Wins / Runs
9.1%
Strike rate
n=1,090
284 (26%)
Placed
1.01
n=1,086 · 0.86 incl. margin
−111.48
£1 level stake
n=1,090 at SP · −10.2%
£1.14m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,090 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 24.2% when favourite William Pyle: 10.7% from 252 Claiming riders: 9.2% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Pontefract (17.6%, n=51), clear of the yard's 9.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −54.20 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. William Pyle rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (16.4%, n=67). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 30 runners, 9.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Blufferonthebus (IRE) — 6 wins from 48 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−5.1
n=125 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −54.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.1
n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00
Debutants · first career start
3%−6.1
n=99 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −35.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
2.6%−6.5
n=38 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −36.09
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
14.3%+5.2
n=28 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +34.50
When favourite
24.2%
n=66 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −23.03
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.2%+0.1
n=326 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −104.06
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 19.4% vs 9.1% · n=93
At Pontefract 17.6% vs 9.1% · n=51
With new recruits 0% vs 9.1% · n=33
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 9.1% · n=30
Off a 0-7-day break 16.4% vs 9.1% · n=67
With debutants 3% vs 9.1% · n=99
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,068 98 9.2% −95.48
Hurdle 18 1 5.6% −12.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 400 38 9.5% −61.81
Good 255 17 6.7% −70.20
Good to Firm 180 21 11.7% −11.25
Good to Soft 129 10 7.8% −56.72
Soft 100 11 11% +62.50
Heavy 26 2 7.7% +26.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 194 25 12.9% +56.46
Southwell (AW) 108 6 5.6% −50.75
Beverley 92 12 13% −9.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 76 4 5.3% −55.68
York 59 4 6.8% −16.25
Catterick 52 8 15.4% +4.50
Pontefract 51 9 17.6% +103.75
Redcar 47 2 4.3% −40.59
Carlisle 44 4 9.1% −14.50
Thirsk 42 2 4.8% −30.00
Ripon 40 2 5% −13.50
Chester 39 3 7.7% +34.00
Doncaster 39 2 5.1% −19.50
Musselburgh 33 4 12.1% −4.58
Hamilton 24 1 4.2% −21.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 357 33 9.2% +19.83
Class 6 338 35 10.4% −39.11
Class 4 246 23 9.3% −11.25
Class 2 72 4 5.6% −42.75
Class 3 65 4 6.2% −26.20
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 79 18 22.8% 0.81 −27.53
2nd–3rd fav 213 35 16.4% 1.01 −38.95
4th–6th fav 394 28 7.1% 0.96 −69.00
7th+ in betting 404 18 4.5% 1.47 +24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Blufferonthebus (IRE) 48 6 18 20 Oct 26
Dickieburd (GB)then Ivan Furtado 33 3 11 3 Oct 24
Triple Force (GB)from Ann Duffield 26 4 14 19 Sep 26
Billyb (FR)from Ann Duffield 24 3 9 8 Oct 26
Alreet Cha (IRE) 24 1 8 25 Oct 25
Arduis Invicta (IRE) 23 3 8 22 Oct 26
Caesars Pearl (IRE) 23 2 6 15 Aug 25
Maynora (GB) 19 1 3 16 Oct 26
Ubetterseethis (GB) 19 1 8 14 Oct 26
Polly The Rocket (GB) 19 1 6 4 Oct 24
Alfa Whiteburd (IRE)then Ivan Furtado 18 4 6 9 Dec 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 132 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ann Duffield (2) and Phillip Makin (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Ivan Furtado (11); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
13651051081388149
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Pyle
23% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.04
RiderRWSR£1
William Pyle 252 27 10.7% −60.56
Sam James 176 19 10.8% −43.37
Tom Eaves 112 11 9.8% +35.80
Shane Gray 62 3 4.8% −45.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
99
Archived wins
£1.14m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 35 wins
Alfa Kellenic (GB) — British Ebf Fillies' Handicap (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2024 · Class 2
£51,540
Alfa Kellenic (GB) — Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup Handicap Ayr · Sep 2024 · Class 2
£33,501
Alfa Kellenic (GB) — British Ebf Supporting Racing With Pride Fillies' Handicap York · Jun 2024 · Class 2
£18,039

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Profitable (IRE) 6.5% · 4–62
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,449 runs since 2021 (358 horses).
Havana Grey (GB) 18.3% · 11–60
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.
Land Force (IRE) 10% · 5–50
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,473 runs since 2023 (156 horses).
Ribchester (IRE) 12.5% · 6–48
Progeny have won 9% of 2,778 runs since 2021 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 119. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 215.
Kessaar (IRE) 8.7% · 4–46
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,099 runs since 2022 (97 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 107.
Aclaim (IRE) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,552 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,090 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,090 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 November 2021 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Another Festival (GB)J: Tom Eaves AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 50/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Blufferonthebus (IRE)J: Sam James Outcider Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 27 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Craig Lidster's strike rate?
Craig Lidster has won 99 of 1,090 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Craig Lidster do best at?
Pontefract by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 runners (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Craig Lidster?
William Pyle, with 252 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (10.7%).
Is Craig Lidster in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Craig Lidster's Fair A/E?
1.01, from 1,086 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).