What is Dean Ivory's strike rate?

Dean Ivory has won 443 of 4,569 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dean Ivory do best at?

Nottingham by strike rate: 17 wins from 137 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Dean Ivory?

Robert Winston, with 716 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 106 (14.8%).

Is Dean Ivory in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Dean Ivory's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 4,541 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Dean Ivory

4,569 runners in the lifetime window · 298 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

443–4,569

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=4,569

1,171 (26%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=4,541 · 0.91 incl. margin

−934.02

£1 level stake

n=4,569 at SP · −20.4%

£5.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,569 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 32.5% when favourite Robert Winston: 14.8% from 716 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 3.3% (n=210, Fair A/E 1.10). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 10.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +9.00 to a £1 stake over 165 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −353.54 to a £1 stake over 809 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robert Winston rides 16% of the entries and beats the yard's average (14.8% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2017, £340,260). The stable star of the record: Tropics (USA) — 14 wins from 77 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.4%−3.3

n=628 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −106.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.2%−2.5

n=69 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −27.00

Debutants · first career start

3.3%−6.4

n=210 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −1.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.9%−2.8

n=159 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −51.92

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.3%+0.6

n=165 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +9.00

When favourite

32.5%

n=326 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +28.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.4%−3.3

n=809 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −353.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%−1.4

n=132 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −56.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Richard Hughes 25.7% vs 9.7% · n=35

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 9.7% · n=449

With Pat Cosgrave 19.5% vs 9.7% · n=82

With Franny Norton 21.6% vs 9.7% · n=37

With Paul Booth 1.4% vs 9.7% · n=70

With debutants 3.3% vs 9.7% · n=210

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,531 441 9.7% −911.77

Hurdle 27 2 7.4% −11.25

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,731 276 10.1% −531.23

Good 607 47 7.7% −143.00

Good to Firm 563 51 9.1% −167.16

Soft 306 32 10.5% −47.22

Good to Soft 272 33 12.1% +9.59

Heavy 69 3 4.3% −47.00

Firm 21 1 4.8% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton 978 86 8.8% −130.37

Lingfield (AW) 625 64 10.2% −135.92

Chelmsford (AW) 569 60 10.5% −135.86

Wolverhampton (AW) 443 54 12.2% −106.08

Windsor 404 27 6.7% −235.63

Yarmouth 158 16 10.1% −74.92

Nottingham 137 17 12.4% +50.08

Newmarket 115 14 12.2% −8.00

Southwell (AW) 109 12 11% −16.00

Brighton 100 11 11% −14.42

Doncaster 100 8 8% −50.00

Ascot 96 8 8.3% −33.00

Newbury 94 8 8.5% +16.00

Newmarket 80 6 7.5% +18.83

Lingfield 78 3 3.8% −46.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,620 177 10.9% −149.39

Class 5 1,371 121 8.8% −402.85

Class 4 838 68 8.1% −220.10

Class 3 324 30 9.3% −90.79

Class 2 251 35 13.9% +11.86

Class 1 132 11 8.3% −56.75

Class 7 33 1 3% −26.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 408 129 31.6% 1.27 +47.38

2nd–3rd fav 871 152 17.5% 1.13 −17.40

4th–6th fav 1,454 104 7.2% 0.90 −310.00

7th+ in betting 1,836 58 3.2% 0.93 −654.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,279 242 10.6% −370.19

1m – 1m1f 971 84 8.7% −198.75

1m2f – 1m4f 629 61 9.7% −102.71

Under 6f 568 48 8.5% −213.13

1m5f – 2m 100 6 6% −42.99

2m1f – 2m4f 10 0 0% −10.00

2m5f – 3m 10 2 20% +5.75

Over 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 219 14 6.4% −130.87

2009 194 16 8.2% −54.00

2010 291 31 10.7% +4.00

2011 233 24 10.3% −38.25

2012 248 18 7.3% −144.70

2013 244 39 16% +55.00

2014 266 23 8.6% −114.50

2015 261 36 13.8% +57.03

2016 322 35 10.9% −115.61

2017 388 38 9.8% −24.88

2018 360 39 10.8% −55.27

2019 366 42 11.5% +47.28

2020 271 16 5.9% −80.62

2021 174 9 5.2% −116.50

2022 167 18 10.8% −14.79

2023 185 19 10.3% −59.75

2024 157 16 10.2% −28.09

2025 126 6 4.8% −59.50

2026 97 4 4.1% −60.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,466 372 10.7% −484.25

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 1,660 151 9.1% −300.08

8-10 runners 1,587 152 9.6% −460.83

5-7 runners 582 77 13.2% −140.36

14-16 runners 529 42 7.9% −52.25

17+ runners 168 11 6.5% −2.50

2-4 runners 43 10 23.3% +22.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Soaring Spirits (IRE)from Roger Varian 86 9 17 7 Oct 21

Tropics (USA) 77 14 26 15 Jan 22

Hereford Boy (GB) 68 6 21 15 Feb 13

Lancelot Du Lac (ITY) 67 13 24 16 Nov 20

Nezar (IRE)from John Quinn 62 5 21 29 Sep 21

Stake Acclaim (IRE) 57 7 20 20 Sep 22

Lujeanie (GB)then Peter Crate 57 6 18 30 Jan 13

Sirius Prospect (USA) 56 10 19 3 Sep 16

Fighting Temeraire (IRE) 55 8 17 14 Mar 23

Russian Ice (GB) 55 5 18 3 Feb 15

Ellemujie (GB) 55 4 16 21 Nov 12

Links Drive Lady (GB)from Mark Rimmer 54 9 22 17 Nov 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 298 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 25 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mick Channon (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Winston

16% of all rides
14.8% SR · A/E 1.25

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Winston 716 106 14.8% −33.01

Jack Duern 295 19 6.4% −136.00

Jim Crowley 190 27 14.2% +4.75

Robert Havlin 181 18 9.9% −69.87

George Downing 171 8 4.7% −34.50

Sophie Ralston 152 13 8.6% −25.62

Adam Kirby 147 20 13.6% −9.50

Jimmy Quinn 145 14 9.7% −44.75

Shane Kelly 143 19 13.3% −18.50

Joey Haynes 124 7 5.6% −8.50

Martin Dwyer 124 15 12.1% −17.80

Charlie Bennett 113 7 6.2% −61.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

529

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.60m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 42 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Librisa Breeze (GB) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2017 · Group 1

£340,260

Lancelot Du Lac (ITY) — Qatar Stewards' Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Goodwood · Aug 2017 · Class 2

£155,625

Librisa Breeze (GB) — Totescoop6 Challenge Cup Heritage Handicap Ascot · Oct 2016 · Class 2

£112,050

Notable horses

Tropics (USA) Lancelot Du Lac (ITY) Tangramm (GB) Varsovian (GB) Hereford Boy (GB) Sirius Prospect (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Shamardal (USA) 15.6% · 28–180

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Dark Angel (IRE) 6.6% · 10–151

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,925 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Tamayuz (GB) 10.4% · 13–125

Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,187 runs since 2012 (401 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 7.3% · 8–110

Progeny have won 10% of 19,707 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Mayson (GB) 10% · 9–90

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,387 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Iceman (GB) 11.8% · 10–85

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2010 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,572 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,572 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lilywhite Hart (GB)J: John Egan ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 12/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wild Act (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 8th 20/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Splash (GB)J: Robert Havlin First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 10/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lilywhite Hart (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 6th 40/1

22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Audere (GB)J: John Egan Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1

15 Sep 26 Yarmouth Lilywhite Hart (GB)J: John Egan "GRC 30" Anniversary Of Yarmouth" Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

15 Sep 26 Yarmouth Splash (GB)J: David Egan SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 8/1

09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Dor's Dazzler (GB)J: J F Egan Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 10th 100/1

01 Sep 26 Brighton The Spotlight Kid (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Download The Matchbook App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 9th 15/2

01 Sep 26 Brighton Maryland Star (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill #Matchbooklovesracing "confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Who Have Not Won A Race In 2026)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 8th 11/1

27 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Audere (GB)J: J F Egan Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 80/1

27 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Maryland Star (GB)J: J F Egan Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 20/1

26 Aug 26 Kempton (AW) Mr G Force (IRE)J: Thomas Greatrex Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 7th 66/1

26 Aug 26 Newbury Lilywhite Hart (GB)J: J F Egan Pump Technology Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th 66/1

21 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Splash (GB)J: Robert Havlin See You On The Rowley Mile Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 12/1

16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Mr G Force (IRE)J: J F Egan Grace & Dotty Maiden Stakes (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 12/1

16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) The Spotlight Kid (GB)J: Rob Hornby Fraser Plus Designer Outlet East Midlands Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 16/1

05 Aug 26 Yarmouth Lilywhite Hart (GB)J: J F Egan British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 100/1

03 Aug 26 Windsor Moonlit Cloud (GB)J: David Egan Talk Sport Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 9/1

03 Aug 26 Windsor Maryland Star (GB)J: J F Egan Talk Sport Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 9 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Dean Ivory's strike rate?: Dean Ivory has won 443 of 4,569 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dean Ivory do best at?: Nottingham by strike rate: 17 wins from 137 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Dean Ivory?: Robert Winston, with 716 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 106 (14.8%).
Is Dean Ivory in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Dean Ivory's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 4,541 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.