What is Denis Gerard Hogan's strike rate?

Denis Gerard Hogan has won 519 of 7,293 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Denis Gerard Hogan do best at?

Kilbeggan by strike rate: 22 wins from 212 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Denis Gerard Hogan?

D G Hogan, with 1,341 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 111 (8.3%).

Is Denis Gerard Hogan in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.1% since 2008.

What is Denis Gerard Hogan's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 7,290 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Denis Gerard Hogan

7,293 runners in the lifetime window · 730 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 15.3% of 733 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 12 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

519–7,293

Wins / Runs

7.1%

Strike rate

n=7,293

1,687 (23%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=7,290 · 0.78 incl. margin

−2,962.89

£1 level stake

n=7,293 at SP · −40.6%

£7.57m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 7,293 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 29% when favourite D G Hogan: 8.3% from 1,341 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 1.5% (n=342, Fair A/E 0.47). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 2.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.42 and −343.00 to a £1 stake over 435 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. D G Hogan rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Paddy And Maureen Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown (Feb 2026, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Macgiloney (IRE) — 11 wins from 69 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.5%−3.6

n=958 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −593.79

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.1%−5.0

n=435 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −343.00

Debutants · first career start

1.5%−5.6

n=342 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −236.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.3%−3.8

n=304 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −216.84

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.5%+0.4

n=465 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −116.72

When favourite

29%

n=403 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −33.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%−0.3

n=3,266 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −1,326.82

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%+0.7

n=245 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −136.18

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 14.4% vs 7.1% · n=526

With Chris Hayes 15.2% vs 7.1% · n=66

With C&D winners 12.3% vs 7.1% · n=648

With debutants 1.5% vs 7.1% · n=342

With Brian Cawley 15.1% vs 7.1% · n=53

With new recruits 2.1% vs 7.1% · n=435

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,067 289 7.1% −1,702.10

Hurdle 2,424 163 6.7% −972.28

Chase 590 52 8.8% −161.69

NH Flat 212 15 7.1% −126.82

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 2,021 147 7.3% −760.19

Soft 1,957 123 6.3% −917.45

Standard (AW) 1,401 107 7.6% −582.57

Heavy 952 77 8.1% −214.77

Good to Soft 649 44 6.8% −351.78

Good to Firm 312 21 6.7% −135.13

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 1,355 99 7.3% −588.69

Cork 449 20 4.5% −288.90

Limerick 434 32 7.4% −175.27

Curragh 383 24 6.3% −185.00

Galway 372 24 6.5% −138.62

Gowran Park 362 18 5% −226.58

Fairyhouse 295 21 7.1% −57.88

Leopardstown 291 16 5.5% −140.77

Naas 259 13 5% −134.67

Thurles 253 22 8.7% −37.00

Navan 252 15 6% −146.56

Killarney 248 19 7.7% −107.12

Tipperary 229 17 7.4% −106.67

Roscommon 215 11 5.1% −102.40

Kilbeggan 212 22 10.4% +26.13

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 238 18 7.6% −132.43

Class 5 29 6 20.7% −1.13

Class 2 26 0 0% −26.00

Class 4 22 2 9.1% −3.50

Class 6 19 4 21.1% +2.25

Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 525 136 25.9% 1.12 −68.26

2nd–3rd fav 1,184 171 14.4% 1.03 −186.13

4th–6th fav 1,957 145 7.4% 1.03 −494.50

7th+ in betting 3,627 67 1.8% 0.63 −2,214.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 1,766 103 5.8% −894.81

6f – 7f 1,341 98 7.3% −538.02

2m1f – 2m4f 1,068 79 7.4% −513.31

1m – 1m1f 1,065 71 6.7% −465.97

1m2f – 1m4f 973 61 6.3% −457.17

2m5f – 3m 571 56 9.8% +4.08

Under 6f 429 46 10.7% −77.19

Over 3m 80 5 6.3% −20.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 9 0 0% −9.00

2010 30 5 16.7% −0.25

2011 90 10 11.1% +37.75

2012 176 15 8.5% −77.35

2013 222 16 7.2% −110.62

2014 289 23 8% −61.57

2015 357 24 6.7% −161.88

2016 372 24 6.5% −193.75

2017 361 26 7.2% −126.75

2018 570 38 6.7% −290.82

2019 861 64 7.4% −361.76

2020 653 49 7.5% −269.86

2021 679 43 6.3% −214.76

2022 672 42 6.3% −250.82

2023 435 30 6.9% −141.92

2024 482 24 5% −301.14

2025 518 47 9.1% −153.04

2026 517 39 7.5% −275.35

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,386 343 7.8% −1,388.04

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 2,542 162 6.4% −1,017.55

11-13 runners 1,739 129 7.4% −673.54

17+ runners 1,385 53 3.8% −792.75

8-10 runners 1,162 117 10.1% −422.00

5-7 runners 433 56 12.9% −31.30

2-4 runners 32 2 6.3% −25.75

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Macgiloney (IRE) 69 11 23 20 Aug 25

Inis Meain (USA)from J S Bolger 69 8 24 29 Aug 18

Church Mountain (IRE) 68 8 14 26 May 26

Burren View Lady (IRE)from Tim Easterby 67 7 13 10 Jun 19

Atlas (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan · then T G McCourt 64 4 13 1 Aug 21

Darkened (IRE)from John M Oxx · then Noel C Kelly 62 5 19 26 Jan 24

Young Dev (IRE) 54 7 21 26 Apr 24

Luke's Benefit (IRE)from L Young 52 9 15 19 Mar 15

Gopsies Daughter (IRE) 51 5 12 4 Jul 20

Ocean Glandore (IRE) 50 6 16 6 Sep 21

Eiri Na Casca (IRE)then Ray Hackett 49 7 14 18 Oct 18

Hell Left Loose (GB)from David Peter Nagle 48 6 11 5 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 730 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 26 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John M Oxx (3) and Richard Hannon (3); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for James McAuley (4) and Ray Hackett (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 17 5.9% · −1.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

Lifetime base7.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6106468988677

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderD G Hogan

18% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

D G Hogan 1,341 111 8.3% −425.60

J M Sheridan 1,068 82 7.7% −429.67

Daniel King 563 53 9.4% −136.42

Joe Doyle 454 34 7.5% −97.24

Seamie Heffernan 319 15 4.7% −204.50

Shane Mulcahy 305 10 3.3% −189.50

Killian Leonard 201 14 7% −64.62

Sean D Bowen 181 7 3.9% −73.25

Mr P J Cawley 122 9 7.4% −41.00

Donagh Meyler 108 7 6.5% −6.04

Philip Donovan 84 3 3.6% −41.50

Kevin Darcy 82 2 2.4% −75.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

519

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.57m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 64 wins

Cousin Kate (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Paddy And Maureen Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Leopardstown · Feb 2026 · Listed

£59,000

Tithonus (IRE) — Tote Scurry Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jul 2017

£59,000

Tithonus (IRE) — Tote Rockingham Handicap Curragh · Jul 2017

£59,000

Notable horses

Macgiloney (IRE) Make A Challenge (IRE) Luke's Benefit (IRE) Inis Meain (USA) Church Mountain (IRE) Tithonus (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dansili (GB) 9.1% · 15–165

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Dark Angel (IRE) 7.7% · 12–156

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Milan (GB) 10.6% · 16–151

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,888 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 6.1% · 9–148

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 9.6% · 14–146

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Scorpion (IRE) 7.2% · 9–125

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,326 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,293 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,293 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 September 2009 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Justenzia (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irishinjuredjockeys.com Claiming Race8f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 13/8F

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Easter Snow (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Matchbook 50/50 Series Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 150/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Walkineezy (IRE)J: Daniel King Matchbook 50/5 Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 28/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Queen Of Astolat (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Matchbook 50/50 Series 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 66/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Tatateo (IRE)J: Daniel King Matchbook Betting Exchange Rated Novice Steeplechase16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 16/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Justenzia (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett BAR 1 Betting 'Acca Boost' Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 11/2

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Venetian (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 16/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Burning Like Fire (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Start Your Free Trial On Racing Tv Now Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 125/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Premier Princess (IRE)J: Daniel King Winter Festival 28th & 29th November 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Our Soldier (IRE)J: Daniel King Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Steeplechase28f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 11/2

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Majestic King (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 8th 6/1J

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Frankie John (IRE)J: Daniel King Paddy Power Betting Shops Irish EBF Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Palmezzano (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap12f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tyraxes (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 50/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Medieval Night (IRE)J: Jared Huggan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 16/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Snow Light (GB)J: Jared Huggan Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 100/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cape Blue Point (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 150/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Expound (GB)J: J M Sheridan Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 20/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Fan Club (GB)J: Chris Hayes Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Venetian (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Denis Gerard Hogan's strike rate?: Denis Gerard Hogan has won 519 of 7,293 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Denis Gerard Hogan do best at?: Kilbeggan by strike rate: 22 wins from 212 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Denis Gerard Hogan?: D G Hogan, with 1,341 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 111 (8.3%).
Is Denis Gerard Hogan in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.1% since 2008.
What is Denis Gerard Hogan's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 7,290 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.