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Trainer profile

Ian O'Connor

201 runners in the lifetime window · 57 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–201
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=201
17 (9%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=198 · 0.85 incl. margin
−126.17
£1 level stake
n=201 at SP · −62.8%
£76,819
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.3%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (8.3%, n=36) and off a 15-30-day break (7.7%, n=52). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 53 runners, 4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=65 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −65.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.3%−1.7
n=44 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −34.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.0
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.3%+1.3
n=151 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −76.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Gearoid Brouder 8.2% vs 4% · n=49
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 4% · n=53
On Heavy going 8.3% vs 4% · n=36
With horses switching code 0% vs 4% · n=39
Off a 15-30-day break 7.7% vs 4% · n=52
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 4% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 97 2 2.1% −82.50
Flat 86 6 7% −25.67
Chase 12 0 0% −12.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 73 3 4.1% −37.50
Good 59 2 3.4% −44.50
Heavy 36 3 8.3% −11.17
Good to Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Standard (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Killarney 26 0 0% −26.00
Cork 24 1 4.2% −3.00
Listowel 20 1 5% −15.67
Limerick 19 1 5.3% −10.50
Tipperary 13 0 0% −13.00
Galway 12 2 16.7% +5.00
Dundalk (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Clonmel 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Roscommon 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Sligo 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 16 4 25% 1.91 +8.33
4th–6th fav 28 2 7.1% 1.06 −9.50
7th+ in betting 155 2 1.3% 0.66 −123.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jazz Lady (IRE)from Thomas Cooper 18 2 3 25 Nov 21
Bere Haven (IRE)from Jennie Candlish 16 0 1 19 Jul 20
You'llfindandsee (IRE)from Thomas Cooper 13 1 1 21 Sep 25
Park Rules (IRE)then Iain Jardine 8 0 0 3 Jan 26
Ramiro (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy · then Brian Ellison 8 3 3 23 Sep 21
Walk Away Harry (IRE)from C Byrnes · then Charles Coakley 7 0 0 3 Jan 26
Definiteadare (IRE)from Thomas Cooper · then Charles Coakley 6 0 0 1 Jan 23
Costaweefortune (IRE)then Charles Coakley 6 0 0 1 Jan 23
Brothers In Arms (IRE)from John C McConnell 6 0 0 8 Sep 20
Gangsters Paradise (IRE) 6 0 1 13 Sep 19
Ellaat (GB)from C Byrnes · then Charles Coakley 5 0 1 23 Nov 25
Old Colonial (GB) 5 0 0 22 Jul 20
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 43 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Thomas Cooper (8) and C Byrnes (3); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Charles Coakley (8) and James Andrew Fahey (4); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000000888600
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGearoid Brouder
24% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 1.77
RiderRWSR£1
Gearoid Brouder 49 4 8.2% −4.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
8
Archived wins
£76,819
Prize money
2019
Best season · 3 wins
Jazz Lady (IRE) — A Year To Remember At Galway Handicap (50-80) Galway · Oct 2019
£7,683
Like A Diamond (IRE) — Driftwood Restaurant Rosses Point Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1) Sligo · Aug 2018
£7,084
Ramiro (IRE) — Dooradoyle Handicap (50-80) Limerick · Jul 2021
£6,785
Notable horses
Ramiro (IRE) Jazz Lady (IRE) Like A Diamond (IRE) You'llfindandsee (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Red Jazz (USA) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,870 runs since 2008 (130 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171.
Papal Bull (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,584 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 172. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,001 runs since 2008 (699 horses).
Famous Name (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,512 runs since 2008 (102 horses).
Born To Sea (IRE) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,287 runs since 2008 (311 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 970. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 867. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.
Coastal Path (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,211 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.8% from 500. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.1% from 495.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 201 · newest first

The latest 50 of 201 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 August 2017 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Boston Rajj (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 3/1J
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Freyas Charm (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 13th 100/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Boston Rajj (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 22/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) My Elusive Mate (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 10th 150/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) My Mate Tony (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder Killarney Student Raceday Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 100/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Boston Rajj (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 5th 66/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Mags (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap8f · Yielding · 16 ran 14th 80/1
10 Jun 26 Limerick Mags (IRE)J: G B Noonan Twilight Summer Racing At Limerick Handicap8f · Yielding · 15 ran 15th 80/1
01 Jun 26 Listowel What Path (FR)J: Mr J Dunne Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase23.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 5th 9/2
11 May 26 Killarney What Path (FR)J: Mr J Dunne Thorn Plant Hire Hunters Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 14/1
02 May 26 Punchestown What Path (FR)J: Mr R Sugrue Howden Cross Country Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran SU 25/1
23 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Drish Melody (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irishinjuredjockeys.com Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 150/1
03 Jan 26 Cork Park Rules (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Beginners Chase20f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 125/1
03 Jan 26 Cork Walk Away Harry (IRE)J: Calum Hogan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Beginners Chase20f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 8th 33/1
15 Dec 25 Naas Walk Away Harry (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 14th 28/1
05 Dec 25 Dundalk (AW) Drish Melody (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 33/1
23 Nov 25 Cork Ellaat (GB)J: Thomas O'Connor Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 4th 40/1
30 Oct 25 Thurles Park Rules (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (0-100)15.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 13th 40/1
06 Oct 25 Killarney Drish Melody (IRE)J: Shane Foley Ross Castle Handicap (0-60)8f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 9/2
26 Sep 25 Listowel Star Ophelia (IRE)J: Kevin A Murphy Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 16th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 17 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ian O'Connor's strike rate?
Ian O'Connor has won 8 of 201 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Ian O'Connor in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ian O'Connor's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 198 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).