John Berry
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (319 runs).
The record is strongest at Brighton (20.5%, n=83), clear of the yard's 10% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +9.83 to a £1 stake over 250 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. J F Egan rides 7% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.1%, A/E 0.87). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (28.9%, n=38) and in NH Flat races (20.9%, n=43). The stable star of the record: Roy Rocket (FR) — 9 wins from 68 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,575 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,575 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 30 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is John Berry's strike rate?
- John Berry has won 133 of 1,324 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John Berry do best at?
- Brighton by strike rate: 17 wins from 83 runners (20.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for John Berry?
- J F Egan, with 99 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.1%).
- Is John Berry in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is John Berry's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 1,320 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.