What is Lisa Williamson's strike rate?

Lisa Williamson has won 117 of 2,772 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lisa Williamson do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 6 wins from 58 runners (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Lisa Williamson?

Elisha Whittington, with 127 runners since 2008 — 5% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (0.8%).

Is Lisa Williamson in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Lisa Williamson's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 2,759 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Lisa Williamson

2,772 runners in the lifetime window · 229 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 9 days ago 90% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

117–2,772

Wins / Runs

4.2%

Strike rate

n=2,772

432 (16%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=2,759 · 0.72 incl. margin

−1,069.73

£1 level stake

n=2,772 at SP · −38.6%

£905k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,772 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 35.4% when favourite Elisha Whittington: 0.8% from 127 Claiming riders: 4.3% Sends off the favourite in 2% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (9.7%, n=124) and Ffos Las (10.3%, n=58) — all clear of the yard's 4.2% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.52 and −95.00 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Elisha Whittington rides 5% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0.8% vs 4.2%, A/E 0.24). The stable star of the record: Red Stripes (USA) — 10 wins from 160 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.3%−1.9

n=351 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −269.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−4.2

n=93 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −93.00

Debutants · first career start

0.8%−3.4

n=121 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −95.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.8%−0.4

n=78 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −18.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.1%−1.1

n=97 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −66.17

When favourite

35.4%

n=48 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +5.53

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.3%+0.1

n=1,478 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −651.81

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Jack Mitchell 18.2% vs 4.2% · n=33

On last-time-out winners 12.6% vs 4.2% · n=119

With Amy Ryan 13.3% vs 4.2% · n=30

At Lingfield (AW) 9.7% vs 4.2% · n=124

At Ffos Las 10.3% vs 4.2% · n=58

With Raul Da Silva 10.6% vs 4.2% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,508 112 4.5% −900.81

Chase 120 4 3.3% −33.92

Hurdle 109 1 0.9% −100.00

NH Flat 35 0 0% −35.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,438 70 4.9% −623.10

Good 432 14 3.2% −106.17

Good to Firm 358 17 4.7% −237.17

Good to Soft 257 6 2.3% −183.50

Soft 183 9 4.9% +174.21

Heavy 81 1 1.2% −71.00

Firm 23 0 0% −23.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 758 26 3.4% −299.05

Chelmsford (AW) 202 17 8.4% −84.50

Southwell (AW) 196 13 6.6% −73.75

Chester 162 1 0.6% −157.50

Haydock 151 5 3.3% +46.88

Lingfield (AW) 124 12 9.7% −32.80

Newcastle (AW) 83 1 1.2% −64.00

Kempton (AW) 75 1 1.3% −69.00

Bath 67 3 4.5% −30.50

Nottingham 65 5 7.7% +11.08

Catterick 63 1 1.6% +138.00

Uttoxeter 62 3 4.8% +26.00

Ffos Las 58 6 10.3% +23.33

Musselburgh 47 2 4.3% −32.00

Redcar 46 0 0% −46.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,433 61 4.3% −720.85

Class 5 755 37 4.9% −186.62

Class 4 437 13 3% −73.09

Class 7 73 4 5.5% −28.67

Class 3 59 2 3.4% −45.50

Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 61 19 31.1% 1.23 +2.53

2nd–3rd fav 235 34 14.5% 0.94 −52.76

4th–6th fav 679 37 5.4% 0.81 −179.50

7th+ in betting 1,797 27 1.5% 0.63 −840.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

Under 6f 1,094 76 6.9% −83.84

6f – 7f 939 27 2.9% −541.97

1m – 1m1f 250 4 1.6% −182.88

1m5f – 2m 182 5 2.7% −63.67

1m2f – 1m4f 170 4 2.4% −63.12

2m1f – 2m4f 71 1 1.4% −68.25

2m5f – 3m 50 0 0% −50.00

Over 3m 16 0 0% −16.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 149 5 3.4% −112.92

2009 163 4 2.5% −77.75

2010 110 7 6.4% −37.25

2011 159 8 5% −30.50

2012 146 7 4.8% −58.05

2013 113 0 0% −113.00

2014 144 6 4.2% −104.50

2015 166 11 6.6% −87.00

2016 159 5 3.1% −100.00

2017 173 8 4.6% −62.50

2018 210 6 2.9% −115.00

2019 211 7 3.3% −172.67

2020 161 3 1.9% −143.00

2021 178 7 3.9% +9.13

2022 106 6 5.7% −39.00

2023 111 3 2.7% −12.00

2024 130 13 10% −14.05

2025 112 7 6.3% −56.17

2026 71 4 5.6% +256.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,128 103 4.8% −715.18

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,095 50 4.6% −217.25

11-13 runners 940 30 3.2% −477.60

5-7 runners 481 32 6.7% −148.71

14-16 runners 187 1 0.5% −177.00

17+ runners 38 0 0% −38.00

2-4 runners 31 4 12.9% −11.17

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Red Stripes (USA)from Brian Meehan 160 10 47 23 Jan 23

Red Walls (GB) 122 10 33 28 Sep 26

Celerity (IRE)from David Evans 92 1 9 11 Aug 22

Brandy Station (IRE)from Tony Coyle 69 8 21 14 Dec 24

Your Gifted (IRE)from Patrick Morris 69 6 19 12 Feb 18

Ryan Style (IRE) 69 4 19 15 Dec 16

Chester Deelyte (IRE) 68 3 12 11 Jan 17

Bertie Blu Boy (GB)from Paul Green 66 10 20 21 Jun 18

Red Derek (GB) 59 2 19 26 Oct 26

Isabella Ruby (GB) 59 2 7 18 Mar 22

Secret Asset (IRE)from Jane Chapple-Hyam 53 3 9 10 Jan 19

Sugar Hill Babe (IRE) 48 7 20 24 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 229 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Patrick Morris (3) and Brian Meehan (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

564665342354

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderElisha Whittington

5% of all rides
0.8% SR · A/E 0.24

RiderRWSR£1

Elisha Whittington 127 1 0.8% −120.00

Derek Laverty 103 4 3.9% −74.92

Cam Hardie 91 0 0% −91.00

Shirley Teasdale 90 2 2.2% −37.00

Tom Eaves 86 8 9.3% +21.75

Kevin Lundie 81 7 8.6% −32.50

Jordan Uys 69 5 7.2% +6.00

Rob Hornby 62 2 3.2% −51.50

Harrison Shaw 60 3 5% −17.50

Gavin Ashton 57 3 5.3% −40.67

Raul Da Silva 47 5 10.6% +12.00

Gabriele Malune 45 2 4.4% +1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

135

Archived wins

£1.03m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 13 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bertie Blu Boy (GB) — Bet Toteexacta Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2015 · Class 3

£9,057

Ryan Style (IRE) — Trafford Centre Summer Fashion Handicap Chester · Jun 2010 · Class 3

£8,831

Sugar Hill Babe (IRE) — PricedUp.Bet Fillies' Handicap Nottingham · May 2025 · Class 4

£7,328

Notable horses

Red Stripes (USA) Red Walls (GB) Bertie Blu Boy (GB) Smooth Silesie (IRE) Brandy Station (IRE) Sugar Hill Babe (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Heeraat (IRE) 5.3% · 10–189

Progeny have won 8% of 2,999 runs since 2018 (194 horses).

Leroidesanimaux (BRZ) 6.3% · 10–160

Progeny have won 9.2% of 920 runs since 2009 (60 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.2% from 151.

Desert Style (IRE) 5.1% · 7–137

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,544 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 339. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 232.

Fast Company (IRE) 8.2% · 8–98

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,601 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Captain Gerrard (IRE) 1.1% · 1–94

Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,054 runs since 2013 (175 horses).

Casamento (IRE) 1.1% · 1–92

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,630 runs since 2016 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,151 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,151 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Loco Lobo (GB)J: Connor Planas Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick The Stony Baker (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Racing To School EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 200/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Red Derek (GB)J: Jack Garritty Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 11/2

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sugar Hill Babe (IRE)J: Harry Davies Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 50/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Melody (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 300/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Arising Hill (GB)J: Callum Pritchard Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 500/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Sugar Hill Babe (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 28/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Melody (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 500/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Loco Lobo (GB)J: Miss Ella Fryer Racing Again 17th October Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 125/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Independent Angel (GB)J: James Sullivan Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 200/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Golden Mabel (GB)J: Luke Morris Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 40/1

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Walls (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 66/1

26 Sep 26 Ripon Golden Mabel (GB)J: Luke Morris Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) The Stony Baker (IRE)J: Seamus Cronin Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 500/1

22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Independent Angel (GB)J: Jack Doughty Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 100/1

19 Sep 26 Chester Red Ashley (GB)J: Seamus Cronin Vault Money Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 25/1

19 Sep 26 Chester Independent Roze (GB)J: Jack Doughty Vault Money Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 66/1

15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Melody (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 500/1

11 Sep 26 Chester Lc Tiffen (GB)J: Molly Gunn HRS Cladding Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 18/1

11 Sep 26 Chester The Stony Baker (IRE)J: Sean Kirrane Neaves & Co EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Lisa Williamson's strike rate?: Lisa Williamson has won 117 of 2,772 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lisa Williamson do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 6 wins from 58 runners (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lisa Williamson?: Elisha Whittington, with 127 runners since 2008 — 5% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (0.8%).
Is Lisa Williamson in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lisa Williamson's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 2,759 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.