What is Mike Sowersby's strike rate?

Mike Sowersby has won 70 of 1,678 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mike Sowersby do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mike Sowersby?

Aaron Anderson, with 200 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (4%).

Is Mike Sowersby in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mike Sowersby's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 1,677 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mike Sowersby

1,678 runners in the lifetime window · 186 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 8 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

70–1,678

Wins / Runs

4.2%

Strike rate

n=1,678

244 (15%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=1,677 · 0.73 incl. margin

−788.37

£1 level stake

n=1,678 at SP · −47.0%

£569k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,678 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Aaron Anderson: 4% from 200

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (9.4%, n=32), clear of the yard's 4.2% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 1.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −100.00 to a £1 stake over 144 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Aaron Anderson rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4%, A/E 1.29) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 63 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Moon Melody (GER) — 6 wins from 83 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.2%−2.0

n=312 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −180.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.4%−2.8

n=144 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −100.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.2

n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −39.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.2

n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

1.4%−2.8

n=72 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −59.00

When favourite

14.3%

n=14 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −8.37

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.9%−0.3

n=1,020 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −445.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Brian Hughes 11.2% vs 4.2% · n=125

On last-time-out winners 9.9% vs 4.2% · n=71

With C&D winners 9% vs 4.2% · n=156

With Mr E D Linehan 9.3% vs 4.2% · n=54

At Newcastle (AW) 9.4% vs 4.2% · n=32

In NH Flat races 0% vs 4.2% · n=63

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,015 41 4% −554.50

Chase 372 23 6.2% −116.37

Flat 228 6 2.6% −54.50

NH Flat 63 0 0% −63.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 866 40 4.6% −330.12

Good to Soft 272 6 2.2% −167.00

Soft 226 12 5.3% −118.25

Good to Firm 181 6 3.3% −102.50

Heavy 65 3 4.6% −19.00

Standard (AW) 59 3 5.1% −42.50

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Market Rasen 328 10 3% −232.37

Sedgefield 184 12 6.5% −11.00

Southwell 180 13 7.2% −24.00

Catterick 157 6 3.8% −106.50

Uttoxeter 150 10 6.7% −50.00

Wetherby 134 1 0.7% −125.00

Huntingdon 75 2 2.7% −61.50

Hexham 72 5 6.9% −13.50

Doncaster 59 0 0% −59.00

Beverley 57 2 3.5% −26.00

Cartmel 47 2 4.3% −7.50

Redcar 39 0 0% −39.00

Newcastle (AW) 32 3 9.4% −15.50

Newcastle 24 0 0% −24.00

Pontefract 16 1 6.3% +110.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 825 42 5.1% −316.00

Class 4 603 24 4% −379.12

Class 6 169 2 1.2% −33.00

Class 3 71 2 2.8% −50.25

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 5 22.7% 0.95 −5.62

2nd–3rd fav 146 16 11% 0.74 −55.25

4th–6th fav 481 34 7.1% 1.07 −116.50

7th+ in betting 1,029 15 1.5% 0.62 −611.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 520 22 4.2% −297.12

2m5f – 3m 425 23 5.4% −130.50

1m5f – 2m 360 9 2.5% −279.00

Over 3m 200 13 6.5% −65.75

1m2f – 1m4f 103 3 2.9% +54.00

1m – 1m1f 42 0 0% −42.00

6f – 7f 26 0 0% −26.00

Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 88 3 3.4% −40.00

2009 110 1 0.9% −104.50

2010 78 3 3.8% −40.50

2011 118 6 5.1% −20.00

2012 93 5 5.4% −46.50

2013 103 4 3.9% −54.00

2014 84 6 7.1% −21.37

2015 106 8 7.5% −49.00

2016 96 5 5.2% −45.75

2017 57 3 5.3% −28.25

2018 65 3 4.6% −36.50

2019 76 2 2.6% −62.00

2020 51 0 0% −51.00

2021 88 2 2.3% −67.00

2022 73 0 0% −73.00

2023 71 1 1.4% −50.00

2024 95 3 3.2% +76.00

2025 105 6 5.7% −24.00

2026 121 9 7.4% −51.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,240 68 5.5% −393.37

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 638 27 4.2% −347.75

11-13 runners 470 12 2.6% −161.50

5-7 runners 316 21 6.6% −104.25

14-16 runners 181 5 2.8% −132.00

17+ runners 43 0 0% −43.00

2-4 runners 30 5 16.7% +0.13

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

75.6% completed · 1,387 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 372 77.7% 12 10 60 1 0

Hurdle 1,015 74.8% 20 10 221 0 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sycho Fred (IRE)from Richard Phillips 73 5 15 28 Dec 13

Moon Melody (GER)from Michael Bell 65 6 17 27 Aug 15

Tennessee Bird (GB) 52 2 11 9 Jan 17

Carmela Maria (GB)from Stuart Williams 48 4 11 1 Jan 15

Tregaro (FR)from Paul Nicholls 46 6 12 19 Nov 16

Larkhall (GB)from Charlie Longsdon 45 2 12 17 Aug 19

Agent Louise (GB) 44 4 8 20 Feb 20

Crosby Jemma (GB)from John Weymes 35 3 10 22 Jul 11

Arboretum (GB) 31 3 6 28 Nov 20

East Eagle (IRE)from Tom Weston 27 4 9 13 Oct 26

Quite Sparky (GB)from David O'Meara · then Geoffrey Harker 26 0 2 21 Sep 14

Simply Lucky (IRE)from Dan Skelton 25 1 3 30 Mar 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 186 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 49 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew McNamara (5) and Ian Williams (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

217435728415

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAaron Anderson

12% of all rides
4% SR · A/E 1.29

RiderRWSR£1

Aaron Anderson 200 8 4% −61.00

Ryan Day 140 7 5% −81.00

Brian Hughes 125 14 11.2% +39.13

Adam Nicol 101 5 5% −46.75

Campbell Gillies 72 3 4.2% −43.00

Fearghal Davis 60 0 0% −60.00

Mr E D Linehan 54 5 9.3% −4.00

Charlie Maggs 48 4 8.3% −17.50

William Maggs 48 3 6.3% −26.00

Gavin Sheehan 46 2 4.3% −25.50

Cam Hardie 43 3 7% −10.50

Danny McMenamin 39 1 2.6% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£650k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Feast Of Fire (IRE) — A & S (Electrical Services) Handicap Chase (For The Queen's Royal Lancers Challenge Cup) Uttoxeter · Oct 2015 · Class 4

£6,330

Tregaro (FR) — Renew Holdings Plc Handicap Chase Sedgefield · Sep 2014 · Class 3

£6,330

Crosby Jemma (GB) — Bet On World Cup At Totesport.com Handicap Hurdle Hexham · Jun 2010 · Class 3

£5,855

Notable horses

Moon Melody (GER) Tregaro (FR) Sycho Fred (IRE) Carmela Maria (GB) Agent Louise (GB) East Eagle (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Buster King (IRE) 6.8% · 5–73

Progeny have won 11% of 154 runs since 2008 (6 horses).

Montjeu (IRE) 9.2% · 6–65

Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.

Medicean (GB) 10.9% · 7–64

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Danbird (AUS) 3.3% · 2–61

Progeny have won 6.8% of 751 runs since 2009 (49 horses).

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 5.4% · 3–56

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Alflora (IRE) 8.3% · 4–48

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,137 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,137 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Lynxman (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Sedgefield Christmas Jumper Raceday 22nd December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 8th 33/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Contemplation (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Green Howards Museum Richmond Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 4th 66/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Simiyann (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 8th 8/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Matoury (GB)J: Joshua Thompson Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 7th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Wetherby Arcimboldo (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Best Odds Guaranteed At Bet365 Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 66/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Contemplation (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Book Boxing Day At Market Rasen Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 200/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Ballygeary (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 2/1F

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Simiyann (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 80/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Dr Seb (FR)J: Charlie Maggs Ginetta Clothing British Menswear Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 33/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Lynxman (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Visit racingtv.com Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 250/1

13 Oct 26 Southwell East Eagle (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Golf And Gallop Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/2

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Ballygeary (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 8/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Sweet Cicely (GB)J: Joshua Thompson Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 8th 200/1

05 Oct 26 Pontefract Simiyann (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Always Trying Racing Syndicate Handicap StakesClass 5 · 18f · Good · 6 ran 5th 28/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Dior Noir (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good · 9 ran 9th 150/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Panelli (GB)J: Cam Hardie Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 9th 40/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Matoury (GB)J: William Maggs Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 7th 7/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Lynxman (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Site Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 250/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Sweet Cicely (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 300/1

15 Sep 26 Redcar Panelli (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 6th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 13 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mike Sowersby's strike rate?: Mike Sowersby has won 70 of 1,678 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mike Sowersby do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mike Sowersby?: Aaron Anderson, with 200 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (4%).
Is Mike Sowersby in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mike Sowersby's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 1,677 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.