Rebecca Bastiman
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).
The record is strongest at Musselburgh (13.5%, n=163), clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=175, Fair A/E 0.73). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −75.38 to a £1 stake over 262 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Daniel Tudhope rode 13% of the entries and beats the yard's average (13% vs 7.5%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.5%, n=111). The stable star of the record was Royal Brave (IRE) — 9 wins from 65 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Feb–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,375 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,375 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2015 to 26 February 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Rebecca Bastiman's strike rate?
- Rebecca Bastiman has won 103 of 1,375 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rebecca Bastiman do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 22 wins from 163 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Rebecca Bastiman?
- Daniel Tudhope, with 185 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (13%).
- What is Rebecca Bastiman's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 1,361 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.