What is Robert Stephens's strike rate?

Robert Stephens has won 120 of 1,450 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robert Stephens do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 14 wins from 102 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Robert Stephens?

Tom O'Brien, with 271 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (12.5%).

Is Robert Stephens in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Robert Stephens's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,445 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Robert Stephens

1,450 runners in the lifetime window · 155 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

120–1,450

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=1,450

389 (27%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,445 · 0.83 incl. margin

−265.16

£1 level stake

n=1,450 at SP · −18.3%

£1.01m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,450 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 31% when favourite Tom O'Brien: 12.5% from 271 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Worcester (13.7%, n=102), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −127.54 to a £1 stake over 335 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tom O'Brien rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.5% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (27.9%, n=43). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.5% over 173 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sedgefielders Salute Rubstic Durham National Handicap Chase at Sedgefield (Oct 2019, £18,768). The stable star of the record: Port Noir (GB) — 12 wins from 99 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.4%−2.9

n=314 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −41.12

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.4%−2.9

n=93 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −49.00

Debutants · first career start

9.2%+0.9

n=65 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +3.38

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.4%−0.9

n=54 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −15.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%+0.0

n=48 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +9.00

When favourite

31%

n=58 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −4.23

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.7%−2.6

n=335 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −127.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.5%+2.2

n=19 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 27.9% vs 8.3% · n=43

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 8.3% · n=124

With C&D winners 13.4% vs 8.3% · n=217

At Worcester 13.7% vs 8.3% · n=102

Off a break of 180+ days 3.5% vs 8.3% · n=173

With Tom O'Brien 12.5% vs 8.3% · n=271

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 677 60 8.9% +66.70

Hurdle 569 43 7.6% −272.12

NH Flat 112 10 8.9% −2.62

Chase 92 7 7.6% −57.12

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 446 30 6.7% −113.12

Standard (AW) 418 43 10.3% +68.62

Good to Soft 178 18 10.1% −48.37

Soft 163 10 6.1% −103.17

Good to Firm 152 13 8.6% −30.37

Heavy 78 3 3.8% −64.75

Firm 15 3 20% +26.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 183 20 10.9% +50.00

Chepstow 142 6 4.2% −111.25

Kempton (AW) 107 12 11.2% +59.33

Worcester 102 14 13.7% +5.13

Ffos Las 97 6 6.2% −59.50

Lingfield (AW) 64 7 10.9% −0.96

Newton Abbot 58 6 10.3% −20.00

Uttoxeter 56 3 5.4% −7.00

Exeter 49 6 12.2% −8.75

Bath 43 5 11.6% +14.00

Stratford 36 4 11.1% −21.87

Chelmsford City (AW) 30 3 10% −17.75

Taunton 27 2 7.4% −14.00

Newbury 26 0 0% −26.00

Wincanton 26 3 11.5% −7.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 476 35 7.4% −41.21

Class 4 441 32 7.3% −239.03

Class 6 383 36 9.4% +53.21

Class 3 94 12 12.8% −11.13

Class 2 32 3 9.4% −13.00

Class 1 21 2 9.5% −11.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 74 21 28.4% 1.00 −8.57

2nd–3rd fav 274 40 14.6% 0.92 −81.09

4th–6th fav 543 45 8.3% 1.09 −33.50

7th+ in betting 559 14 2.5% 0.80 −142.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Port Noir (GB)from Grace Harris 99 12 35 23 Oct 26

Espresso Freddo (IRE)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt · then Adrian Wintle 64 5 21 12 Nov 22

Tudors Treasure (GB) 43 5 13 20 Nov 23

Bumble Bay (GB) 38 2 8 30 Oct 19

Mere Anarchy (IRE)from Kim Bailey 35 3 11 19 Nov 21

Sneaky Blinder (FR)from Tom Ward 30 5 8 12 Oct 26

Secondo (FR)from Roger Charlton 28 3 10 21 Nov 20

Yes Daddy (IRE)from Tim Vaughan 27 2 10 6 Aug 18

Ruler Of The Nile (GB)from David Simcock · then Marjorie Fife 27 1 7 14 Mar 18

Beltor (GB)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt 26 5 6 12 May 21

Breccia (GB)from William Haggas 25 3 6 26 Jun 25

Wot You Wearing (IRE)then Fergal O'Brien 25 3 8 13 Apr 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 155 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Mark Prescott Bt (4) and Roger Charlton (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Wintle (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

99785612812849

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom O'Brien

19% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.17

RiderRWSR£1

Tom O'Brien 271 34 12.5% −53.37

Ciaran Gethings 160 8 5% −93.99

Sean Houlihan 77 4 5.2% −26.75

Luke Morris 54 4 7.4% −29.12

Darragh Keenan 46 4 8.7% +19.00

Micheal Nolan 39 2 5.1% −3.00

David Probert 37 4 10.8% +2.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

120

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.01m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 12 wins

The Caller (GB) — Sedgefielders Salute Rubstic Durham National Handicap Chase Sedgefield · Oct 2019 · Class 2

£18,768

Beltor (GB) — BetBright Cheltenham Festival Fund Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Kempton · Feb 2015 · Grade 2

£17,085

Knight Templar (GB) — Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing 'Introductory' Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2024 · Class 2

£15,609

Notable horses

Port Noir (GB) Knight Templar (GB) Espresso Freddo (IRE) Tudors Treasure (GB) Sneaky Blinder (FR) Beltor (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Harbour Watch (IRE) 12.1% · 12–99

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 322. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.

Fast Company (IRE) 5.3% · 5–95

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,593 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Dr Massini (IRE) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.

Yeats (IRE) 8.3% · 4–48

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,820 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Trade Fair (GB) 5.3% · 2–38

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,230 runs since 2008 (113 horses).

Nayef (USA) 2.9% · 1–34

Progeny have won 10% of 5,634 runs since 2008 (518 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,450 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,450 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 June 2013 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Port Noir (GB)J: Luke Morris Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Selling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 66/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Sneaky Blinder (FR)J: William Carson Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Bound For Glory (GB)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow One Cool Dreamer (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Dragonbet Daily Extra Place Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 50/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Knight Templar (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 10/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Katana (FR)J: William Carson Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 7th 250/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Barachiel (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan attheraces.com/marketmovers Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 125/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Port Noir (GB)J: Luke Morris Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1

29 Sep 26 Bath One Cool Dreamer (IRE)J: William Carson Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 5 · 13f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 80/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Happy Birthday Alex, From The Bridge Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 11/1

12 Sep 26 Bath No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Andersons Commercial & Domestic Drainage Specialists Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good · 5 ran 4th 22/1

09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Barachiel (IRE)J: Luke Morris Unibet/breeders Backing Racing Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 150/1

04 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Into Battle (IRE)J: Mason Paetel Industry Leading In-play Markets At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 6/1

04 Sep 26 Worcester Bound For Glory (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Bog Now For Saturday's Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/1

02 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: David Probert Unibet/ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 4th 150/1

30 Aug 26 Goodwood Knight Templar (GB)J: David Probert City Of Chichester Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 28/1

27 Aug 26 Ffos Las Sneaky Blinder (FR)J: Rossa Ryan Roly Poly Events Race Of Hope Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 14/1

26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) One Cool Dreamer (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 20/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Bound For Glory (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Stephens's strike rate?: Robert Stephens has won 120 of 1,450 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Stephens do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 14 wins from 102 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Robert Stephens?: Tom O'Brien, with 271 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (12.5%).
Is Robert Stephens in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Robert Stephens's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,445 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.