What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's strike rate?

Dominic Ffrench Davis has won 172 of 2,298 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dominic Ffrench Davis do best at?

Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 77 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Dominic Ffrench Davis?

Ben Ffrench Davis, with 159 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.7%).

Is Dominic Ffrench Davis in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 2,276 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Dominic Ffrench Davis

2,298 runners in the lifetime window · 253 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

172–2,298

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=2,298

528 (23%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=2,276 · 0.84 incl. margin

−511.43

£1 level stake

n=2,296 at SP · −22.3%

£1.94m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,298 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 7.9% 27.7% when favourite Ben Ffrench Davis: 5.7% from 159 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=90, Fair A/E 0.61). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +97.73 to a £1 stake over 353 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −27.00 to a £1 stake over 110 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ben Ffrench Davis rides 7% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.89). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.2%, n=164). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Lincoln at Doncaster (Mar 2024, £77,310). The stable star of the record: Justcallmehandsome (GB) — 14 wins from 126 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%+0.4

n=353 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +97.73

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.6%−3.9

n=83 · A/E 0.67 · £1 +64.00

Debutants · first career start

7.6%+0.1

n=157 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +12.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.3%−4.2

n=90 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −54.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.6%−3.9

n=110 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −27.00

When favourite

27.7%

n=94 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −19.67

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%−0.6

n=773 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −134.57

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−3.7

n=52 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −41.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Kevin Stott 21.6% vs 7.5% · n=51

On last-time-out winners 17% vs 7.5% · n=165

Off a 0-7-day break 15.2% vs 7.5% · n=164

With Billy Cray 13.7% vs 7.5% · n=139

With David Egan 13.7% vs 7.5% · n=51

With first-time headgear 3.3% vs 7.5% · n=90

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,939 155 8% −357.06

Hurdle 249 12 4.8% −113.67

Chase 57 3 5.3% −12.20

NH Flat 53 2 3.8% −28.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 873 67 7.7% −95.07

Good 503 37 7.4% −44.79

Good to Firm 365 23 6.3% −222.45

Good to Soft 239 17 7.1% −56.75

Soft 209 20 9.6% −44.87

Heavy 77 7 9.1% −24.50

Firm 32 1 3.1% −23.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 299 28 9.4% −23.50

Kempton (AW) 218 10 4.6% −142.82

Lingfield (AW) 195 14 7.2% +62.00

Windsor 124 7 5.6% −84.50

Bath 124 7 5.6% −35.00

Newbury 109 11 10.1% +5.83

Chelmsford (AW) 77 8 10.4% −10.75

Southwell (AW) 74 6 8.1% +11.00

Salisbury 73 3 4.1% +15.50

Chepstow 70 6 8.6% −35.50

Brighton 64 5 7.8% +2.00

Goodwood 61 5 8.2% −32.63

Fontwell 56 4 7.1% −5.67

Sandown 50 5 10% +10.38

Nottingham 45 3 6.7% −22.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 781 64 8.2% −79.44

Class 6 737 44 6% −321.17

Class 4 510 39 7.6% −138.20

Class 2 102 11 10.8% −10.25

Class 3 94 10 10.6% +72.63

Class 1 52 2 3.8% −41.00

Class 7 16 2 12.5% +10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 119 31 26.1% 0.98 −25.17

2nd–3rd fav 358 57 15.9% 1.00 −16.26

4th–6th fav 745 54 7.2% 0.99 −143.00

7th+ in betting 1,074 30 2.8% 0.93 −327.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 658 42 6.4% −108.70

1m2f – 1m4f 435 38 8.7% −90.12

1m – 1m1f 417 29 7% −106.00

1m5f – 2m 301 21 7% −104.17

Under 6f 267 28 10.5% −56.07

2m1f – 2m4f 127 7 5.5% −63.70

2m5f – 3m 73 4 5.5% −28.67

Over 3m 20 3 15% +46.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 156 12 7.7% −35.75

2009 141 11 7.8% +13.00

2010 182 13 7.1% −43.75

2011 145 6 4.1% −87.50

2012 95 4 4.2% −52.25

2013 113 8 7.1% −30.50

2014 83 6 7.2% +42.25

2015 70 3 4.3% −58.65

2016 101 11 10.9% −8.37

2017 89 3 3.4% −64.00

2018 126 13 10.3% −10.67

2019 64 6 9.4% +2.00

2020 70 4 5.7% −32.17

2021 89 3 3.4% −69.50

2022 107 9 8.4% −37.17

2023 210 26 12.4% −41.90

2024 213 21 9.9% +109.75

2025 130 9 6.9% −69.75

2026 114 4 3.5% −36.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,610 128 8% −213.63

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 817 63 7.7% −187.60

11-13 runners 804 45 5.6% −176.25

5-7 runners 377 50 13.3% +28.41

14-16 runners 208 5 2.4% −163.67

17+ runners 57 1 1.8% −23.00

2-4 runners 35 8 22.9% +10.68

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Brandywell Boy (IRE) 112 10 25 10 Jun 14

Justcallmehandsome (GB) 98 10 20 20 Jan 14

Admirable Duque (IRE) 90 12 23 20 Nov 14

If I Were A Boy (IRE)from Sylvester Kirk 69 6 22 30 Dec 15

Boy George (GB) 58 8 24 8 Oct 26

James Park Woods (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 52 3 11 1 Sep 26

Anonymous John (IRE)from David Evans 42 4 9 25 Aug 21

Captain Kallis (IRE) 40 2 12 25 Oct 10

Monday Club (GB) 38 2 15 15 Feb 19

Blessed Place (GB) 38 5 10 22 Jul 11

Jelly Monger (IRE) 33 2 7 6 Sep 18

Call My Bluff (IRE) 32 6 13 4 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 253 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charlie Mann (2) and David Loughnane (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8391189969577

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBen Ffrench Davis

7% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.89

RiderRWSR£1

Ben Ffrench Davis 159 9 5.7% −98.20

Billy Cray 139 19 13.7% +73.75

Mark Grant 130 6 4.6% −59.67

Liam Keniry 130 9 6.9% −34.75

J F Egan 119 7 5.9% −29.00

Josh Baudains 91 8 8.8% −12.25

James Doyle 76 4 5.3% −39.90

Rob Hornby 59 3 5.1% −39.50

Kevin Stott 51 11 21.6% +2.50

David Egan 51 7 13.7% +23.50

Callum Shepherd 42 4 9.5% −2.20

Richard Thomas 36 1 2.8% −28.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

204

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.14m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 26 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mr Professor (IRE) — William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Doncaster · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£77,310

Persian Dreamer (USA) — Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By bet365) (Fillies' Group 2) Newmarket · Jul 2023 · Group 2

£56,710

Mirabeau (GB) — British EBF 100,000 Final (Colts And Geldings) York · Oct 2024 · Class 2

£50,960

Notable horses

Justcallmehandsome (GB) Blessed Place (GB) Brandywell Boy (IRE) Admirable Duque (IRE) Boy George (GB) If I Were A Boy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Danetime (IRE) 8.9% · 10–112

Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.

Handsome Ridge (GB) 10.2% · 10–98

Progeny have won 10.2% of 98 runs since 2008 (1 horse).

Selkirk (USA) 13.3% · 12–90

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.

Equiano (FR) 12% · 10–83

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,543 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Compton Place (GB) 9.1% · 7–77

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Strategic Prince (GB) 5.6% · 4–71

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,496 runs since 2011 (144 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 141.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,762 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,762 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Call My Bluff (IRE)J: John Egan Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 40/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Havana Halo (GB)J: Rob Hornby AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mirabeau (GB)J: Rob Hornby AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 40/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Man From Havana (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Disability Inc Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 28/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Claytons Kolatonic (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 6th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Thepassingcyclone (GB)J: Harry Cobden Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester It's A Dream (GB)J: Olivia Tubb Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse - Book Now Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 50/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket The Golden Snitch (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Man From Havana (GB)J: Seamus Cronin CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Havana Halo (GB)J: Rob Hornby Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 40/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Call My Bluff (IRE)J: David Allan Phil Bull Trophy Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Isabella Of Aragon (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 33/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Call My Bluff (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 80/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Enter Sandman (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Cavani Champion Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Boy George (GB)J: Jason Watson Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 13/2

06 Oct 26 Brighton Havana Halo (GB)J: Jack Doughty Matchbook Monthly Bet- Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 22/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Ashford Hill (GB)J: Isobelle Chalmers Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 33/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Thepassingcyclone (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Free Tips On attheraces.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 100/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Claytons Kolatonic (GB)J: Sam James Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 12/1

29 Sep 26 Bath It's A Dream (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's strike rate?: Dominic Ffrench Davis has won 172 of 2,298 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dominic Ffrench Davis do best at?: Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 77 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Dominic Ffrench Davis?: Ben Ffrench Davis, with 159 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.7%).
Is Dominic Ffrench Davis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Dominic Ffrench Davis's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 2,276 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.