What is John McConnell's strike rate?

John McConnell has won 522 of 7,475 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John McConnell do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 36 wins from 307 runners (11.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John McConnell?

Siobhan Rutledge, with 838 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (5.3%).

Is John McConnell in form?

In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 12%. That is above the baseline of 7% since 2008.

What is John McConnell's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 7,469 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John McConnell

7,475 runners in the lifetime window · 739 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 9.9% of 607 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 5 Nov 2026.

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

522–7,475

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=7,475

1,546 (21%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=7,469 · 0.79 incl. margin

−3,177.14

£1 level stake

n=7,475 at SP · −42.5%

£6.61m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 390 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). The yard is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 7,475 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 32.8% when favourite Siobhan Rutledge: 5.3% from 838 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (23.4%, n=47) and Perth (20.4%, n=49) — all clear of the yard's 7% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3.4% (n=328, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −923.68 to a £1 stake over 1,537 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 3 winners from 25 runners in the last 14 days (12%, 5pts above the 7% baseline). Siobhan Rutledge rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Class 4 (26.4%, n=148) and in Class 5 (29.6%, n=71). 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Magners Plate Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2023, £67,524). The stable star of the record: Go Another One (IRE) — 14 wins from 45 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.1%−1.9

n=1,537 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −923.68

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.4%−3.6

n=328 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −237.12

Debutants · first career start

6%−1.0

n=414 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −196.10

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5%−2.0

n=361 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −180.64

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.8%−2.2

n=289 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −155.99

When favourite

32.8%

n=406 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −51.39

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%−0.1

n=3,807 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −1,648.39

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%+0.1

n=211 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −95.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 26.4% vs 7% · n=148

In Class 5 29.6% vs 7% · n=71

With Sean Bowen 26.2% vs 7% · n=61

At Wolverhampton (AW) 23.4% vs 7% · n=47

On last-time-out winners 15.8% vs 7% · n=518

At Perth 20.4% vs 7% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,765 256 5.4% −1,977.69

Hurdle 1,987 189 9.5% −929.98

Chase 442 40 9% −190.88

NH Flat 281 37 13.2% −78.59

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 2,083 179 8.6% −701.53

Soft 1,858 115 6.2% −910.75

Standard (AW) 1,843 110 6% −756.22

Good to Soft 734 61 8.3% −390.23

Heavy 616 37 6% −304.61

Good to Firm 325 18 5.5% −105.55

Firm 16 2 12.5% −8.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 1,757 97 5.5% −734.92

Bellewstown 422 29 6.9% −257.42

Navan 392 15 3.8% −211.67

Leopardstown 326 14 4.3% −174.50

Fairyhouse 309 11 3.6% −181.50

Downpatrick 307 36 11.7% −62.36

Down Royal 303 22 7.3% −122.34

Gowran Park 303 14 4.6% −159.42

Curragh 264 2 0.8% −244.00

Galway 239 10 4.2% −118.50

Naas 235 6 2.6% −174.42

Punchestown 216 8 3.7% −143.00

Limerick 177 14 7.9% −38.50

Cork 170 15 8.8% +1.18

Kilbeggan 168 12 7.1% −83.49

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 235 18 7.7% −85.00

Class 4 148 39 26.4% −45.52

Class 6 94 13 13.8% −38.17

Class 2 93 11 11.8% −40.85

Class 3 85 13 15.3% −24.84

Class 5 71 21 29.6% +23.30

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 497 146 29.4% 1.03 −87.31

2nd–3rd fav 1,025 185 18% 1.18 −46.83

4th–6th fav 1,576 111 7% 0.95 −452.00

7th+ in betting 4,377 80 1.8% 0.67 −2,591.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 1,625 103 6.3% −501.89

1m5f – 2m 1,257 95 7.6% −624.62

1m – 1m1f 1,216 60 4.9% −683.29

6f – 7f 1,214 44 3.6% −748.92

2m1f – 2m4f 1,058 108 10.2% −379.10

2m5f – 3m 649 88 13.6% −202.15

Under 6f 308 17 5.5% +60.50

Over 3m 148 7 4.7% −97.67

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 137 12 8.8% −24.75

2009 112 7 6.3% −76.50

2010 151 4 2.6% −97.00

2011 250 9 3.6% −167.50

2012 204 12 5.9% −110.00

2013 228 15 6.6% −144.88

2014 194 13 6.7% −90.00

2015 139 3 2.2% −100.25

2016 151 5 3.3% −130.38

2017 156 18 11.5% −47.24

2018 272 29 10.7% +3.18

2019 437 33 7.6% −119.46

2020 558 51 9.1% +33.19

2021 737 52 7.1% −349.25

2022 858 80 9.3% −272.19

2023 891 55 6.2% −539.02

2024 830 56 6.7% −344.24

2025 691 44 6.4% −358.34

2026 479 24 5% −242.51

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,833 291 6% −1,779.18

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 2,778 135 4.9% −1,213.14

11-13 runners 1,863 138 7.4% −800.85

17+ runners 1,144 34 3% −642.00

8-10 runners 1,090 111 10.2% −379.32

5-7 runners 531 84 15.8% −137.39

2-4 runners 69 20 29% −4.44

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bellick (GB) 75 6 20 24 Jul 24

Blue Ridge Lane (IRE)from Paul Stafford 69 6 19 20 Mar 15

Itsalonglongroad (GB)then Ian O'Connor 59 7 17 23 Mar 22

Stanhope (GB)from Damian Joseph English 57 4 13 22 Oct 25

Maricruz (IRE) 54 4 10 11 Jun 23

Wild Shot (GB)from Noel C Kelly 52 6 14 15 Oct 24

Kartayaz (IRE)then G A Kingston 52 4 12 15 Aug 24

Zahee (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 50 4 14 21 Feb 25

Room To Roam (IRE)from Peter Fahey 50 2 11 16 Jan 25

Blankiedoodie (GB) 47 5 12 21 Feb 22

Anna Bunina (FR)from Jedd O'Keeffe 46 6 14 12 Mar 25

Go Another One (IRE) 45 14 23 2 May 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 739 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 26 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David O'Meara (2) and Noel C Kelly (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard; 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 25 12% · +5.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12%

Lifetime base7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6686665118677

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSiobhan Rutledge

11% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.98

RiderRWSR£1

Siobhan Rutledge 838 44 5.3% −326.51

Donagh O'Connor 499 23 4.6% −247.96

Ben Harvey 421 53 12.6% −102.57

Alex Harvey 412 43 10.4% −125.83

Shane Foley 352 22 6.3% −143.50

Gary Carroll 292 23 7.9% +98.38

Simon Torrens 247 26 10.5% −105.05

Ross Coakley 223 7 3.1% −134.75

Cillian McConnell 210 10 4.8% −96.50

Mark Bolger 184 15 8.2% −77.63

Brian Hayes 157 9 5.7% −119.02

Rory Cleary 145 5 3.4% −82.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

529

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.71m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 80 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Seddon (IRE) — Magners Plate Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2023 · Class 1

£67,524

Hereditary Rule (IRE) — HSS Hire Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade A

£59,000

Seddon (IRE) — Fitzwilliam Sports Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade B

£59,000

Notable horses

Go Another One (IRE) Intense Approach (GB) Itsalonglongroad (GB) Fennor Cross (IRE) Bellick (GB) Blue Ridge Lane (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lawman (FR) 7.4% · 15–202

Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,427 runs since 2011 (730 horses).

Iffraaj (GB) 6.3% · 9–143

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,987 runs since 2010 (1,092 horses).

Mahler (GB) 15.6% · 19–122

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since 2014 (787 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Fast Company (IRE) 11.2% · 13–116

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,601 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 4.5% · 5–110

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,884 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Kodiac (GB) 3.9% · 4–102

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,597 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,597 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Thompson Gunner (IRE)J: Jessica O'Gorman Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 8/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lisnadill (GB)J: Nicola Burns Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 66/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Allroadsleadtorome (GB)J: Simon Torrens Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 25/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Agent Tequila (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 1st 13/2

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Melody D'Arc (FR)J: Alex Harvey Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 50/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Amina (GER)J: Alex Harvey Paddy Power 'How Many Days 'Til Christmas?' Irish EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 24.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 5th 25/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Intense Approach (GB)J: Conor Smithers Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 12 ran 1st 9/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Bye Bye Now (IRE)J: Nicola Burns View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Heads Up (GB)J: Danny Mullins bottlegreen Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 1st 10/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Aquilla Star (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Pepper Noir (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Happy Halloween Handicap12f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 40/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) All Hail (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) The Iron Chef (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 12 ran F 28/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Bois D'angos (FR)J: Josh Williamson Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 11/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Albatala (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran UR 15/2

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Oyster Cottage (IRE)J: Danny Mullins William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 18/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Game Shadow (IRE)J: Alex Harvey William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 50/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Sanctity Of Space (IRE)J: Shane Fitzsimons COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 25/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Lisnagar Fortune (IRE)J: Alex Harvey William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 40/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Hasiyna (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Braham Electrical Handicap6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is John McConnell's strike rate?: John McConnell has won 522 of 7,475 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John McConnell do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 36 wins from 307 runners (11.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John McConnell?: Siobhan Rutledge, with 838 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (5.3%).
Is John McConnell in form?: In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 12%. That is above the baseline of 7% since 2008.
What is John McConnell's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 7,469 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.