What is Marcus Tregoning's strike rate?

Marcus Tregoning has won 374 of 3,001 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Marcus Tregoning do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 34 wins from 159 runners (21.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Marcus Tregoning?

Martin Dwyer, with 397 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (12.3%).

Is Marcus Tregoning in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Marcus Tregoning's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 2,989 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Marcus Tregoning

3,001 runners in the lifetime window · 421 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

374–3,001

Wins / Runs

12.5%

Strike rate

n=3,001

961 (32%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=2,989 · 0.87 incl. margin

−676.63

£1 level stake

n=3,001 at SP · −22.5%

£4.80m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 15% (183 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,001 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 13.7% 37.8% when favourite Martin Dwyer: 12.3% from 397 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (21.4%, n=159), clear of the yard's 12.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.38). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 15.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +82.25 to a £1 stake over 183 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet debutants: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −158.75 to a £1 stake over 371 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Martin Dwyer rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Firm going (33.9%, n=62) and over 1m5f – 2m (19.1%, n=230). 29 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Vodafone Derby Stakes at Epsom Downs (Jun 2006, £740,695). The stable star of the record: Bronze Angel (IRE) — 8 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.7%+1.2

n=582 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −48.07

New recruits · first run for the yard

17.6%+5.1

n=17 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +5.08

Debutants · first career start

4.6%−7.9

n=371 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −158.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

15.3%+2.8

n=183 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +82.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.4%−8.1

n=45 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −28.50

When favourite

37.8%

n=373 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +2.58

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11%−1.5

n=471 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −152.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.9%−3.6

n=190 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −52.15

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 33.9% vs 12.5% · n=62

On last-time-out winners 23.4% vs 12.5% · n=351

With debutants 4.6% vs 12.5% · n=371

At Bath 21.4% vs 12.5% · n=159

With Kieran Shoemark 23.7% vs 12.5% · n=38

Over 1m5f – 2m 19.1% vs 12.5% · n=230

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,987 373 12.5% −665.88

NH Flat 10 1 10% −6.75

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 988 111 11.2% −371.98

Good to Firm 750 111 14.8% −35.64

Good 671 79 11.8% −109.85

Good to Soft 279 32 11.5% −62.41

Soft 215 15 7% −131.01

Firm 62 21 33.9% +13.41

Heavy 36 5 13.9% +20.85

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 421 32 7.6% −245.15

Lingfield (AW) 304 41 13.5% −65.97

Goodwood 266 31 11.7% −19.41

Newbury 212 20 9.4% +15.25

Salisbury 183 18 9.8% −81.53

Bath 159 34 21.4% −18.58

Wolverhampton (AW) 136 16 11.8% −50.72

Windsor 126 10 7.9% −16.69

Ascot 115 15 13% −11.87

Sandown 113 11 9.7% −39.75

Chelmsford (AW) 105 18 17.1% −29.64

Brighton 101 17 16.8% +16.49

Newmarket 98 7 7.1% −39.50

Leicester 73 14 19.2% +1.45

Chepstow 64 13 20.3% −13.40

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,149 147 12.8% −336.28

Class 4 643 85 13.2% −127.91

Class 6 482 68 14.1% −79.54

Class 2 303 28 9.2% −54.83

Class 3 233 29 12.4% −24.92

Class 1 190 17 8.9% −52.15

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 443 155 35% 1.13 −4.42

2nd–3rd fav 758 118 15.6% 0.93 −153.81

4th–6th fav 1,030 78 7.6% 0.95 −222.50

7th+ in betting 770 23 3% 0.89 −295.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 999 135 13.5% −135.07

6f – 7f 875 77 8.8% −383.25

1m – 1m1f 806 103 12.8% −135.37

1m5f – 2m 230 44 19.1% −10.99

Under 6f 65 12 18.5% +4.05

2m1f – 2m4f 25 3 12% −15.00

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 250 35 14% −38.74

2009 183 30 16.4% −37.54

2010 215 27 12.6% −20.30

2011 174 22 12.6% −42.34

2012 191 29 15.2% −6.26

2013 144 13 9% −69.70

2014 199 28 14.1% +27.74

2015 211 27 12.8% −31.21

2016 138 11 8% −71.63

2017 165 26 15.8% −40.19

2018 173 18 10.4% −69.76

2019 122 19 15.6% −38.41

2020 100 14 14% −42.96

2021 140 20 14.3% +3.48

2022 105 12 11.4% −30.18

2023 103 10 9.7% +20.75

2024 136 18 13.2% −46.31

2025 122 5 4.1% −89.80

2026 130 10 7.7% −53.27

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,612 229 14.2% −240.52

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,050 125 11.9% −228.18

11-13 runners 894 88 9.8% −265.39

5-7 runners 582 113 19.4% −21.21

14-16 runners 282 14 5% −158.87

17+ runners 125 9 7.2% +0.00

2-4 runners 68 25 36.8% −2.98

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bronze Angel (IRE) 53 8 19 29 Sep 18

Homeboy (IRE)then David Evans 40 3 13 17 Jan 14

Clovelly Bay (IRE) 35 2 8 22 Feb 19

Boom And Bust (IRE) 34 6 14 28 May 15

Harting Hill (GB)then Violet M Jordan 32 3 15 18 Oct 11

Atalanta Breeze (GB) 31 4 11 13 Sep 25

Askar Tau (FR) 31 8 12 23 Aug 13

Seafarer (IRE) 26 3 9 28 Dec 19

Thames Knight (GB)then Jim Boyle 25 4 12 28 Aug 17

Castle Combe (IRE) 25 4 11 6 Nov 15

Meadram (GB) 24 4 10 21 Aug 25

Wisper (IRE)from Jonathan Portman · then Alan King 24 5 13 5 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 421 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Carroll (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9824131112131614101011

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMartin Dwyer

13% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Martin Dwyer 397 49 12.3% −40.10

Hayley Turner 283 38 13.4% −67.85

Richard Hills 177 31 17.5% −45.27

Jim Crowley 149 27 18.1% −5.60

Dane O'Neill 132 14 10.6% −38.64

Tyler Saunders 126 13 10.3% −64.55

Pat Dobbs 118 13 11% −43.30

Dougie Costello 109 15 13.8% +5.53

Tadhg O'Shea 103 7 6.8% −55.27

Katia Scallan 86 9 10.5% −17.00

George Baker 67 11 16.4% −22.73

Trevor Whelan 55 8 14.5% +36.08

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

486

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.98m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 49 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sir Percy (GB) — Vodafone Derby Stakes (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2006 · Group 1

£740,695

Mohaather (GB) — Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) Goodwood · Jul 2020 · Group 1

£155,953

Bronze Angel (IRE) — Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) (Str) Ascot · Oct 2014 · Class 2

£155,625

Notable horses

Bronze Angel (IRE) Askar Tau (FR) Boom And Bust (IRE) Lady Hestia (USA) Wisper (IRE) Power of Darkness (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Commodore Blake (GB) 12.3% · 33–268

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,150 runs since 2008 (473 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.3% · 17–128

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,898 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Showcasing (GB) 16.9% · 13–77

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,615 runs since 2008 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Nayef (USA) 11.1% · 8–72

Progeny have won 10% of 5,636 runs since 2008 (518 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 16.9% · 11–65

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,835 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Champs Elysees (GB) 15.3% · 9–59

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,122 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,700 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,700 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Twilight Moon (GB)J: Dougie Costello Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Star Bayside Boy (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 18/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Silverella (GB)J: Jason Watson British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 3/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Orchard Hatches (GB)J: Jason Watson William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 9/2

15 Oct 26 Brighton Reader (GB)J: Ashley Lewis bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 14/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Atalanta Mist (GB)J: Tyler Heard Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 12/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Seasail (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Virgin Bet / British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 28/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Neswick (GB)J: Dougie Costello Beerly A Winner Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 16/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Tamzan (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Jeremy Bradbeer Memorial Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 4/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Dissenter (IRE)J: Harry Vigors Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 11th 10/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Goodwood Meteor (GB)J: David Probert Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 3rd 6/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) St Hilda (IRE)J: Jason Watson Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Mr Badger (GB)J: Tyler Heard 'pyledriver' British Ebf Novice Stakes (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 50/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Adatta (GB)J: Ashley Lewis 'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 125/1

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Sol Dorado (GB)J: Jason Watson Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 100/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Notable Charm (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/10F

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Long Reign (GB)J: Tyler Heard Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Little She (FR)J: Miss Alice Tregoning Free Tips On Attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 4/1

26 Sep 26 Ripon Neswick (GB)J: Dougie Costello Jozef White Last Day Of Freedom Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 20/1

24 Sep 26 Pontefract Long Reign (GB)J: Gina Mangan Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good · 8 ran 7th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Marcus Tregoning's strike rate?: Marcus Tregoning has won 374 of 3,001 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marcus Tregoning do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 34 wins from 159 runners (21.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Marcus Tregoning?: Martin Dwyer, with 397 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (12.3%).
Is Marcus Tregoning in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Marcus Tregoning's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 2,989 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.