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Trainer profile

Matt Crawley

382 runners in the lifetime window · 57 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
29–382
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=382
98 (26%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=381 · 0.69 incl. margin
−135.47
£1 level stake
n=382 at SP · −35.5%
£272k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 382 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 7.7% 23.3% when favourite Jack Quinlan: 9.9% from 71 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.62). Jack Quinlan rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.9% vs 7.6%, A/E 0.89). The yard also reads well on Good going (12.7%, n=79). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 32 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.33 across 78 runners (2.6% strike, −64.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.7%+0.1
n=78 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −3.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
5%−2.6
n=40 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +6.00
Debutants · first career start
5.9%−1.7
n=17 · A/E 2.78 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.7%+1.1
n=23 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −8.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.3%−1.3
n=16 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
23.3%
n=30 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −9.68
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−3.1
n=89 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −35.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 7.6% · n=32
On Good going 12.7% vs 7.6% · n=79
Off a 31-60-day break 2.6% vs 7.6% · n=78
Off a 8-14-day break 2.2% vs 7.6% · n=45
With Jonny Peate 2.9% vs 7.6% · n=35
With claiming riders up 4.5% vs 7.6% · n=89
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 278 20 7.2% −92.53
Hurdle 61 6 9.8% −24.19
Chase 24 2 8.3% −12.75
NH Flat 19 1 5.3% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 202 15 7.4% −67.91
Good 79 10 12.7% +0.44
Good to Soft 43 2 4.7% −32.00
Good to Firm 32 0 0% −32.00
Soft 23 1 4.3% −10.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 57 5 8.8% −14.50
Kempton (AW) 44 3 6.8% −16.17
Wolverhampton (AW) 38 4 10.5% −11.12
Southwell (AW) 35 2 5.7% −24.12
Yarmouth 28 3 10.7% +12.00
Fakenham 26 4 15.4% −11.69
Lingfield (AW) 23 1 4.3% +3.00
Huntingdon 22 0 0% −22.00
Southwell 18 1 5.6% −8.50
Newmarket 13 0 0% −13.00
Windsor 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Lingfield 10 1 10% −7.62
Warwick 8 0 0% −8.00
Doncaster 8 1 12.5% −5.25
Uttoxeter 6 2 33.3% +20.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 187 18 9.6% −32.53
Class 5 131 8 6.1% −72.69
Class 4 55 3 5.5% −21.25
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 36 7 19.4% 0.66 −15.68
2nd–3rd fav 75 10 13.3% 0.83 −25.79
4th–6th fav 123 6 4.9% 0.64 −63.00
7th+ in betting 148 6 4.1% 1.68 −31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Prefer The Sister (IRE)from Jack Jones · then James Owen 18 1 4 2 Mar 26
Respectable Jack (GB) 17 0 5 30 Sep 26
Alvesta (GB)from Andrew Balding · then George Bewley 16 0 1 13 Feb 26
Local Music (IRE)from K J Condon 16 3 8 20 Sep 25
Pottersmattyeeehaa (GB) 15 1 3 2 Nov 26
Argentum (IRE)then George Bewley 15 0 2 4 Jul 26
Pottersjetamay (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 15 0 4 11 May 26
Stranger Things (GB)from Joseph Parr 15 0 5 24 Feb 23
Dubai Magic (IRE)from James Tate 14 2 4 24 Feb 26
Alice Kitty (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 14 1 2 9 Feb 24
Dartmouth Rose (GB)from Pam Sly 13 4 8 2 Nov 26
Owen Little (GB)from Phil McEntee 13 2 4 19 Jul 23
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charlie Longsdon (4) and Dylan Cunha (4); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for George Bewley (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
31410161244401353
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Quinlan
19% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 0.89
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Quinlan 71 7 9.9% −27.27
Jonny Peate 35 1 2.9% −16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
29
Archived wins
£272k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 10 wins
Local Music (IRE) — 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 6
£7,851
Potters Margot (GB) — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div II) Lingfield (AW) · Aug 2026 · Class 4
£5,940
Star Of St Louis (FR) — Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified Stakes (Div 2) Southwell (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 6
£5,862
Notable horses
Dartmouth Rose (GB) Local Music (IRE) Star Of St Louis (FR) Dubai Magic (IRE) Owen Little (GB) Tommy Cullen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bobby's Kitten (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,674 runs since 2020 (144 horses).
Time Test (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11% of 3,146 runs since 2021 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 332. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.7% from 319.
Eqtidaar (IRE) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 7.9% of 441 runs since 2023 (49 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.7% from 233.
National Defense (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 7.5% of 583 runs since 2021 (50 horses).
Sakhee (USA) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,981 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 611. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.2% from 139.
Study Of Man (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 14.6% of 1,181 runs since 2023 (148 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.6% from 250.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 382 · newest first

The latest 50 of 382 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 August 2021 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Crimson Rambler (GB)J: Liam Wright racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 11/1
03 Nov 26 Warwick Karios (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Alder Demain & Akers Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 6th 66/1
02 Nov 26 Southwell Pottersmattyeeehaa (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 14/1
02 Nov 26 Southwell Dartmouth Rose (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/1
02 Nov 26 Southwell Harrys Hope (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 12/1
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Crimson Rambler (GB)J: Olivia Haines Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 16/1
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Potters Prince (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 15/8F
17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Shabu Shabu (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 80/1
14 Oct 26 Wetherby Parc Dosne (FR)J: Jack Quinlan Visit racingtv.com Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 33/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Potters Prince (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 5/2F
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Potters Prince (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 9/2
06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Potters Beauden (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse In 2026/2027 "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 8th 16/1
01 Oct 26 Nottingham Crimson Rambler (GB)J: Liam Wright Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 18/1
30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Respectable Jack (GB)J: Robert Havlin Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 7/2
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Respectable Jack (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Northumbrian Wateraid Sprint Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 6/1
24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Potters Prince (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 18/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Tommy Cullen (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 9th 11/1
14 Sep 26 Windsor Shabu Shabu (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Nsi Fire & Security Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 14/1
07 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Crimson Rambler (GB)J: Liam Wright Cavani Signature Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 11/1
30 Aug 26 Yarmouth Potters Prince (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Bodhi Solutions - Commercial Fit-out Challenge Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 20 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Matt Crawley's strike rate?
Matt Crawley has won 29 of 382 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matt Crawley do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Matt Crawley?
Jack Quinlan, with 71 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.9%).
Is Matt Crawley in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Matt Crawley's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 381 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).