What is Pat Eddery's strike rate?

Pat Eddery has won 94 of 1,086 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pat Eddery do best at?

Sandown by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Pat Eddery?

Paul Eddery, with 136 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.6%).

What is Pat Eddery's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 1,076 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Pat Eddery

1,086 runners in the lifetime window · 103 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2015 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

94–1,086

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=1,086

286 (26%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=1,076 · 0.78 incl. margin

−399.20

£1 level stake

n=1,086 at SP · −36.8%

£606k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,086 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr 30% when favourite Paul Eddery: 9.6% from 136 Claiming riders: 9.1% Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.38). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −75.75 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Paul Eddery rode 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 0.90). The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (18.3%, n=93). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 44 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Francois Boutin at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2009, £26,699). The stable star of the record was Captain John Nixon (GB) — 7 wins from 16 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.7%−3.0

n=157 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −75.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−8.7

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Debutants · first career start

4%−4.7

n=75 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −50.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.6%−6.1

n=39 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −28.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.4%−4.3

n=45 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −41.20

When favourite

30%

n=70 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −16.16

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.1%+0.4

n=285 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −109.35

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5%−3.7

n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m5f – 2m 18.3% vs 8.7% · n=93

On last-time-out winners 17.8% vs 8.7% · n=90

With Robert Winston 19.1% vs 8.7% · n=47

With Shane Kelly 18.8% vs 8.7% · n=32

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8.7% · n=44

With Andrea Atzeni 16.7% vs 8.7% · n=48

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,078 94 8.7% −391.20

NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 506 47 9.3% −182.19

Good to Firm 201 17 8.5% −84.56

Good 153 11 7.2% −50.70

Soft 91 8 8.8% −12.88

Good to Soft 84 6 7.1% −42.50

Firm 28 2 7.1% −20.70

Heavy 23 3 13% −5.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 235 19 8.1% −69.89

Lingfield (AW) 100 9 9% −54.46

Wolverhampton (AW) 94 9 9.6% −52.69

Southwell (AW) 64 8 12.5% −5.15

Windsor 49 3 6.1% −19.50

Leicester 45 3 6.7% −0.67

Goodwood 34 2 5.9% −26.75

Doncaster 32 2 6.3% −14.00

Nottingham 32 4 12.5% +6.50

Sandown 31 4 12.9% +8.50

Chepstow 31 0 0% −31.00

Newbury 30 0 0% −30.00

Bath 30 3 10% −10.00

Salisbury 27 1 3.7% −16.00

Brighton 27 4 14.8% +4.30

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 402 36 9% −152.15

Class 5 350 30 8.6% −134.10

Class 4 212 21 9.9% −58.37

Class 3 54 3 5.6% −28.50

Class 2 28 3 10.7% +7.12

Class 1 20 1 5% −13.20

Class 7 20 0 0% −20.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 89 24 27% 0.96 −23.91

2nd–3rd fav 212 36 17% 1.09 −2.29

4th–6th fav 385 25 6.5% 0.84 −129.00

7th+ in betting 400 9 2.3% 0.61 −244.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Storm Hawk (IRE)then Emma Owen 46 6 12 27 Jan 15

Lutine Charlie (IRE)from David Evans · then Emma Owen 43 2 11 7 Nov 15

Pashan Garh (GB) 40 0 11 12 Oct 15

Rapid Water (GB)from Gary Moore 40 2 10 21 Jan 15

Kenswick (GB) 38 1 9 16 Apr 12

Resentful Angel (GB) 33 5 17 7 Aug 11

Avalon Bay (GB)then Mlle P Peelman 30 1 4 17 Sep 12

Buddy Holly (GB)then F Jordan 30 5 11 12 Sep 10

Arachnophobia (IRE)then Martin Bosley 27 5 10 23 Oct 10

Hinton Admiral (GB)from Conor Dore 24 0 4 21 Jan 15

Marvelino (GB) 24 1 4 7 Oct 13

Wreningham (GB)from Stuart Williams 23 2 10 30 Sep 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 103 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive; 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Emma Owen (7) and Brendan Powell (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

78161141251097613

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaul Eddery

13% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 0.90

RiderRWSR£1

Paul Eddery 136 13 9.6% −42.20

Dane O'Neill 54 4 7.4% −20.50

Andrea Atzeni 48 8 16.7% −8.44

Robert Winston 47 9 19.1% −0.92

Martin Lane 39 6 15.4% −3.65

Joe Fanning 36 1 2.8% −29.00

Toby Atkinson 35 3 8.6% −15.50

Luke Morris 33 0 0% −33.00

Shane Kelly 32 6 18.8% +21.38

Pat Dobbs 31 3 9.7% +3.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

118

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£764k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hearts Of Fire (GB) — Prix Francois Boutin () (Straight Course) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2009 · Listed

£26,699

Desert Recluse (IRE) — Queen Mother's Cup (Lady Amateur Riders Handicap) York · Jun 2010 · Class 3

£12,492

Secret Tune (GB) — totesport.com Handicap Musselburgh · Jun 2007 · Class 4

£12,464

Notable horses

Captain John Nixon (GB) Storm Hawk (IRE) Desert Recluse (IRE) Resentful Angel (GB) Buddy Holly (GB) Spirit of Adjisa (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Anabaa (USA) 2.5% · 2–80

Progeny have won 11% of 2,519 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.8% from 243. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 255.

Avonbridge (GB) 2.6% · 2–77

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2009 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.

Kheleyf (USA) 3.7% · 2–54

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Redback (GB) 22% · 11–50

Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.

Hawk Wing (USA) 13% · 6–46

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).

Captain Rio (GB) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,368 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,368 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 December 2005 to 7 November 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 15 Chelmsford (AW) Lutine Charlie (IRE)J: Tom Queally Play Scoop6Soccer At totesport.com HandicapClass 7 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 25/1

26 Oct 15 Leicester Nasri (GB)J: Mr Will Pettis Fosse Way Amateur Riders' Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders) (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 20/1

21 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Ertidaad (IRE)J: George Baker 32Red Casino Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 6th 5/1

14 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Aksum (GB)J: Tom Queally 32Red.com Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 33/1

12 Oct 15 Salisbury Pashan Garh (GB)J: Tom Queally Bathwick Tyres 'Happy Retirement Michael Simmonds' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 14 ran BD 25/1

10 Oct 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Ertidaad (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Like totepool On Facebook Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 50/1

07 Oct 15 Towcester Ezetiger (GB)J: Noel Fehily Colossus Bets Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 13.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 8/1

06 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Nasri (GB)J: Tom Queally Learn English At isehove.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 25/1

06 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Geordie Man (GB)J: Tom Queally 32Red HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 14th 66/1

06 Oct 15 Leicester Sunny Monday (GB)J: Slade O'Hara Breeders Backing Racing EBF Dormouse Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 100/1

30 Sep 15 Kempton (AW) Wreningham (GB)J: Slade O'Hara Learn English At isehove.com HandicapClass 7 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 7th 20/1

26 Sep 15 Chester Pashan Garh (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Printworks Maiden StakesClass 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1

23 Sep 15 Redcar Nasri (GB)J: James Sullivan Watch Racing UK Anywhere HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 11th 33/1

17 Sep 15 Pontefract Sunny Monday (GB)J: Graham Lee Don't Miss Any Action With RacingUK Anywhere Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 12th 40/1

17 Sep 15 Pontefract Geordie Man (GB)J: Franny Norton Book Your Christmas Party Here On 0113 2876387 HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 11th 28/1

14 Sep 15 Brighton Hoonose (GB)J: Louis Steward Ronald McDonald House Brighton Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 10th 66/1

09 Sep 15 Kempton (AW) Nasri (GB)J: Tom Queally 32Red.com Classified Claiming StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 20/1

07 Sep 15 Brighton Lutine Charlie (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon Oliver And Grimes High Stakes Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 7th 11/1

31 Aug 15 Chepstow Hoonose (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Truvape HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 20/1

28 Aug 15 Ffos Las Pashan Garh (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Iwec HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pat Eddery's strike rate?: Pat Eddery has won 94 of 1,086 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pat Eddery do best at?: Sandown by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Pat Eddery?: Paul Eddery, with 136 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.6%).
What is Pat Eddery's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 1,076 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.