Simon Pearce
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).
The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (17.1%, n=76), clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. It is weakest at Yarmouth (1.7% over 58 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.7% (n=106, Fair A/E 0.87). Jack Mitchell rides 16% of the entries and beats the yard's average (17.2% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.29) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (18%, n=50). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 34 runners, 9.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Storm Catcher (IRE) — 8 wins from 38 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 601 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 601 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 November 2019 to 26 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Simon Pearce's strike rate?
- Simon Pearce has won 59 of 601 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Simon Pearce do best at?
- Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 13 wins from 76 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Simon Pearce?
- Jack Mitchell, with 99 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (17.2%).
- Is Simon Pearce in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Simon Pearce's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 599 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.