What is C A McBratney's strike rate?

C A McBratney has won 84 of 1,619 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C A McBratney do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 4 wins from 35 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for C A McBratney?

Mr N McParlan, with 110 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.3%).

Is C A McBratney in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is C A McBratney's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 1,618 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C A McBratney

1,619 runners in the lifetime window · 211 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 6 days ago 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

84–1,619

Wins / Runs

5.2%

Strike rate

n=1,619

246 (15%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=1,618 · 0.71 incl. margin

−827.22

£1 level stake

n=1,619 at SP · −51.1%

£1.13m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,619 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 31.1% when favourite Mr N McParlan: 7.3% from 110 Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=91, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.20 and −97.00 to a £1 stake over 110 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr N McParlan rides 7% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.3% vs 5.2%, A/E 0.81). The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (10.7%, n=131) and in Class 4 (10.2%, n=118). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2009, £150,500). The stable star of the record: Selection Box (IRE) — 7 wins from 55 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.3%−1.9

n=363 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −176.83

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−5.2

n=91 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −91.00

Debutants · first career start

2.8%−2.4

n=108 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −72.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−0.9

n=92 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −57.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0.9%−4.3

n=110 · A/E 0.20 · £1 −97.00

When favourite

31.1%

n=45 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −11.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.6%−0.6

n=650 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −311.24

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.3%−2.9

n=43 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Firm going 10.7% vs 5.2% · n=131

With Paul Carberry 12.5% vs 5.2% · n=32

With Andrew J McNamara 11.3% vs 5.2% · n=62

In Class 4 10.2% vs 5.2% · n=118

With new recruits 0% vs 5.2% · n=91

With C&D winners 10.3% vs 5.2% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 997 49 4.9% −529.41

Chase 465 30 6.5% −188.56

NH Flat 102 4 3.9% −58.00

Flat 55 1 1.8% −51.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 502 23 4.6% −189.06

Good 490 29 5.9% −266.32

Heavy 274 15 5.5% −127.17

Good to Soft 192 3 1.6% −170.40

Good to Firm 131 14 10.7% −44.27

Standard (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00

Firm 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Down Royal 334 21 6.3% −72.99

Downpatrick 273 24 8.8% −59.52

Punchestown 167 2 1.2% −149.50

Navan 149 6 4% −68.00

Perth 145 10 6.9% −106.52

Fairyhouse 129 2 1.6% −102.00

Gowran Park 41 1 2.4% −37.25

Naas 40 2 5% −23.00

Ayr 35 4 11.4% −14.21

Galway 33 3 9.1% +5.00

Bellewstown 30 0 0% −30.00

Leopardstown 28 0 0% −28.00

Wexford 22 0 0% −22.00

Limerick 22 2 9.1% +3.00

Thurles 19 1 5.3% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 118 12 10.2% −77.29

Class 3 43 3 7% −29.00

Class 1 41 1 2.4% −24.00

Class 5 32 1 3.1% −21.00

Class 2 21 1 4.8% −11.00

Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 60 16 26.7% 0.98 −18.12

2nd–3rd fav 187 24 12.8% 0.90 −59.60

4th–6th fav 442 30 6.8% 1.02 −124.50

7th+ in betting 930 14 1.5% 0.61 −625.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 605 36 6% −265.07

1m5f – 2m 482 20 4.1% −294.71

2m5f – 3m 439 27 6.2% −184.44

Over 3m 68 1 1.5% −58.00

1m2f – 1m4f 23 0 0% −23.00

1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 67 4 6% −32.17

2009 85 11 12.9% +5.94

2010 147 8 5.4% −68.90

2011 125 12 9.6% −48.72

2012 92 7 7.6% −31.80

2013 113 7 6.2% −70.75

2014 93 8 8.6% −36.74

2015 85 3 3.5% −64.83

2016 90 8 8.9% −18.75

2017 68 2 2.9% −49.00

2018 63 2 3.2% −37.00

2019 92 1 1.1% −84.00

2020 100 4 4% −33.00

2021 108 1 0.9% −93.00

2022 90 2 2.2% −16.00

2023 79 0 0% −79.00

2024 38 0 0% −38.00

2025 33 0 0% −33.00

2026 51 4 7.8% +1.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 723 33 4.6% −361.09

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 402 18 4.5% −140.76

14-16 runners 369 13 3.5% −212.08

11-13 runners 349 14 4% −215.42

8-10 runners 313 18 5.8% −180.83

5-7 runners 165 17 10.3% −69.87

2-4 runners 21 4 19% −8.26

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84% completed · 1,462 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 465 75.3% 23 19 68 4 1

Hurdle 997 88.1% 23 6 82 6 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Selection Box (IRE) 51 7 16 24 Nov 12

Caerleon Kate (GB)from Rod Millman 44 1 7 31 Aug 20

Sole Witness (IRE) 39 4 9 15 Jan 15

Carsonstown Boy (IRE) 36 5 14 29 Mar 16

Balgowlah (IRE)from David Lanigan 33 1 6 8 Jun 22

So Near So Farhh (GB)from Mick Channon 31 3 4 18 Jun 22

Benefit North (IRE) 31 1 3 11 Dec 21

Topper Thornton (IRE)then Alex Hales 30 3 6 1 May 17

Back To Balloo (IRE)then Peter Winks 30 2 6 7 Aug 16

Hidden Future (IRE)from D M Christie · then Mrs S J Stilgoe 28 2 4 4 Jun 14

Quiet Account (IRE) 27 1 6 11 Oct 19

Mighty Massini (IRE) 27 2 5 11 Feb 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 211 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from W P Mullins (5) and J Larkin (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5253784106634

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMr N McParlan

7% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 0.81

RiderRWSR£1

Mr N McParlan 110 8 7.3% −37.23

Sean Flanagan 105 7 6.7% −9.50

E J O'Connell 94 4 4.3% −65.00

Adam Short 88 3 3.4% −50.00

Denis O'Regan 84 4 4.8% −44.56

A P Heskin 67 5 7.5% −25.42

Ben Dalton 63 5 7.9% −21.09

Andrew J McNamara 62 7 11.3% −1.87

Paul Townend 52 5 9.6% −4.25

Shane O'Callaghan 40 1 2.5% −33.00

Brian Hughes 37 2 5.4% −31.67

Paul Carberry 32 4 12.5% −4.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.16m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ballyholland (IRE) — William Hill Galway Plate (Handicap Chase ) Galway · Jul 2009 · Grade A

£150,500

Ballyholland (IRE) — Le Grande Chase Navan · Sep 2008

£16,275

Ballyholland (IRE) — Tile Market I.t.b.a. (northern Region) Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase Down Royal · Jun 2009

£15,299

Notable horses

Selection Box (IRE) Ballyholland (IRE) Carsonstown Boy (IRE) Sole Witness (IRE) So Near So Farhh (GB) Topper Thornton (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 7.2% · 7–97

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Witness Box (USA) 12% · 11–92

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.

Jimble (FR) 4.5% · 3–67

Progeny have won 8.6% of 625 runs since 2008 (43 horses).

Medicean (GB) 2.3% · 1–44

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Westerner (GB) 5.4% · 2–37

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Golden Tornado (IRE) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 10% of 739 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 157.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,751 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,751 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 January 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Moon Aura (IRE)J: Shane Markey Lisburn And Castlereagh City Council 3-Y-O Hurdle17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 150/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Booklight (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 66/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 6th 28/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Booklight (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Winter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 150/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle21.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Lisnadill (GB)J: Thomas O'Connor T-Met Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran F 250/1

04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap18.5f · Good · 13 ran 12th 10/1

28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Lisnadill (GB)J: Thomas O'Connor Pepsico (Walkers Snacks) Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 8 ran 7th 100/1

28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Moon Aura (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Coca-Cola HBC Ireland And Northern Ireland 3-Y-O Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1

26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) The Desert Eagle (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 80/1

09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Magical Sal (IRE)J: J J Slevin J Murdoch Contracts Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 7 ran 1st 4/1

09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/1

14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Go fibrefast With Fibrus Broadband Rated Novice Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/2

14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Magical Sal (IRE)J: J J Slevin Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes MBE Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 80/1

03 Jul 26 Wexford Vina Ardanza (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Molloy Metals Recycling Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 50/1

03 Jul 26 Wexford Magical Sal (IRE)J: J J Slevin Shamrock Enterprises Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran PU 100/1

14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Magical Sal (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Good · 8 ran 7th 14/1

13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 17/2

07 Jun 26 Punchestown Raleagh Scope (GB)J: Gavin Brouder John Dowling Memorial Maiden Hurdle23.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 250/1

06 Jun 26 Punchestown Noble Trix (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Castlestone Holiday Homes (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C A McBratney's strike rate?: C A McBratney has won 84 of 1,619 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C A McBratney do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 4 wins from 35 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C A McBratney?: Mr N McParlan, with 110 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.3%).
Is C A McBratney in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is C A McBratney's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 1,618 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.