What is David Barron's strike rate?

David Barron has won 610 of 4,785 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Barron do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 87 wins from 399 runners (21.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Barron?

Graham Gibbons, with 1,091 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 175 (16%).

What is David Barron's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 4,747 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Barron

4,785 runners in the lifetime window · 433 individual horses

As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Mar 2022 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

610–4,785

Wins / Runs

12.7%

Strike rate

n=4,785

1,519 (32%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=4,747 · 0.90 incl. margin

−588.10

£1 level stake

n=4,785 at SP · −12.3%

£7.11m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

22.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). New recruits from other yards win at 17% first time out (92 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,785 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr 33.6% when favourite Graham Gibbons: 16% from 1,091 New recruits: 17.4% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (21.8%, n=399), clear of the yard's 12.7% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (0% over 51 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 17.4% (n=92, Fair A/E 1.33), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 9.6% (n=799, Fair A/E 0.91). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 12.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +4.93 to a £1 stake over 145 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Graham Gibbons rides 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16% vs 12.7%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 23 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the bet365 Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2019, £112,050). The stable star of the record: Ingleby Arch (USA) — 15 wins from 87 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.9%−0.8

n=738 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −59.05

New recruits · first run for the yard

17.4%+4.7

n=92 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +17.57

Debutants · first career start

10.4%−2.3

n=299 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −19.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.8%+0.1

n=117 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −16.87

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.2%−0.5

n=98 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −34.18

When favourite

33.6%

n=610 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +5.22

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.6%−3.1

n=799 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −171.57

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.4%−0.3

n=145 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +4.93

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Southwell (AW) 21.8% vs 12.7% · n=399

With Robert Winston 26.7% vs 12.7% · n=45

At Ascot 1.9% vs 12.7% · n=103

With Jamie Spencer 23.5% vs 12.7% · n=102

At Kempton (AW) 0% vs 12.7% · n=51

At Goodwood 0% vs 12.7% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,783 610 12.8% −586.10

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,200 205 17.1% +54.17

Good to Firm 1,177 142 12.1% −156.75

Good 1,110 110 9.9% −347.77

Good to Soft 645 75 11.6% −98.64

Soft 512 63 12.3% −5.23

Heavy 111 13 11.7% −10.63

Firm 30 2 6.7% −23.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 399 87 21.8% +97.71

Wolverhampton (AW) 375 72 19.2% +92.55

Thirsk 324 30 9.3% −138.79

Redcar 313 44 14.1% +73.60

York 268 22 8.2% −16.67

Doncaster 267 29 10.9% +1.87

Ripon 260 32 12.3% −66.76

Newcastle (AW) 256 26 10.2% −69.15

Ayr 240 23 9.6% −68.65

Musselburgh 190 26 13.7% −60.93

Haydock 184 22 12% −22.00

Beverley 165 17 10.3% −43.97

Hamilton 162 21 13% −30.98

Pontefract 159 27 17% +28.58

Newcastle 134 18 13.4% −40.57

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,418 214 15.1% −30.11

Class 4 953 122 12.8% −198.77

Class 2 844 67 7.9% −240.32

Class 6 787 108 13.7% −156.61

Class 3 607 79 13% +23.78

Class 1 145 18 12.4% +4.93

Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 738 235 31.8% 1.16 +14.55

2nd–3rd fav 1,267 180 14.2% 0.88 −302.65

4th–6th fav 1,481 140 9.5% 1.13 −78.50

7th+ in betting 1,299 55 4.2% 1.04 −221.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bertiewhittle (GB) 90 6 31 14 Jun 19

Tres Coronas (IRE) 61 8 23 1 Nov 16

Ingleby Arch (USA) 58 11 23 13 Mar 12

Fieldgunner Kirkup (GER) 56 8 16 7 Nov 15

Venturous (IRE)from Charlie Appleby · then David & Nicola Barron 55 11 18 1 Mar 22

Colonel Mak (GB)from David Brown 55 7 12 1 Aug 15

Sirvino (GB) 55 9 18 27 Sep 14

Robot Boy (IRE)then Marjorie Fife 54 7 16 20 Jul 18

Elijah Pepper (USA)then Conor Dore 54 7 24 27 Oct 12

Hitchens (IRE)from Gary Moore 53 8 15 20 Sep 14

Flipando (IRE) 52 6 13 17 Jun 11

Twin Appeal (IRE)then Karen Tutty 49 6 17 28 Jul 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 433 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 20 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Brown (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Conor Dore (2) and David & Nicola Barron (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

131919141312101310101419

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGraham Gibbons

23% of all rides
16% SR · A/E 1.16

RiderRWSR£1

Graham Gibbons 1,091 175 16% +83.65

Phillip Makin 493 91 18.5% +43.15

Ben Curtis 312 44 14.1% −27.23

Dean Heslop 198 17 8.6% −35.12

Connor Beasley 190 31 16.3% +39.07

Lee Newman 185 24 13% −49.13

Neil Brown 135 13 9.6% −35.58

Paul Fessey 131 13 9.9% +31.50

L McNiff 130 20 15.4% +18.88

Andrew Mullen 114 7 6.1% −57.25

Robbie Downey 105 10 9.5% −27.92

Jamie Spencer 102 24 23.5% −2.73

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

783

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.62m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 76 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Kynren (IRE) — bet365 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Oct 2019 · Class 2

£112,050

Wick Powell (GB) — totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy Stakes (Listed) Redcar · Oct 2016 · Listed

£110,414

I'm The Won For U (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sale Stakes Curragh · Sep 2014

£98,750

Notable horses

Ingleby Arch (USA) Spinning (GB) Venturous (IRE) Jaconet (USA) Flipando (IRE) Sirvino (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 9.6% · 22–228

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,573 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 9.9% · 19–192

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Acclamation (GB) 12.9% · 22–170

Progeny have won 10% of 19,697 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Arch (USA) 15.5% · 13–84

Progeny have won 12.9% of 1,676 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.4% from 180.

Pivotal (GB) 14.1% · 11–78

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,788 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Big Bad Bob (IRE) 10.4% · 8–77

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2008 (314 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,311 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,311 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 17 March 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Mar 22 Southwell (AW) Western Music (IRE)J: Kevin Stott AWC Mile Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 9/4

17 Mar 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Deevious Beau (GB)J: Miss Alice Keighley Betway Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 11/1

15 Mar 22 Southwell (AW) Otto Oyl (GB)J: Miss Alice Keighley MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 13/2

12 Mar 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Zarzyni (IRE)J: Jamie Spencer Betway HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 11/4F

10 Mar 22 Southwell (AW) Atiyah (GB)J: George Rooke Betway HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 4th 11/2

10 Mar 22 Southwell (AW) Western Music (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Play 4 To Win At Betway Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 4th 10/11F

01 Mar 22 Newcastle (AW) Venturous (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Betway Conditions StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 4 ran 1st 2/1J

01 Mar 22 Newcastle (AW) Viva Voce (IRE)J: Connor Beasley MansionBet Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 8th 4/1

28 Feb 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Atiyah (GB)J: Connor Beasley Betway HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 3/1J

22 Feb 22 Southwell (AW) Zarzyni (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Betway HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 2nd 7/4F

21 Feb 22 Newcastle (AW) Western Music (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Read Katie Walsh On Betway Insider HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 4th 4/1

11 Feb 22 Southwell (AW) Viva Voce (IRE)J: Christian Howarth MansionBet Beaten By A Head Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 3rd 5/2F

10 Feb 22 Newcastle (AW) Deevious Beau (GB)J: Connor Beasley Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

06 Feb 22 Kempton (AW) Homer Stokes (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 16/1

06 Feb 22 Kempton (AW) On A Session (USA)J: Hollie Doyle Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 3rd 16/1

04 Feb 22 Newcastle (AW) Viva Voce (IRE)J: Christian Howarth MansionBet Beaten By A Head Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 1st 13/2

04 Feb 22 Newcastle (AW) Atiyah (GB)J: Tom Marquand BetYourWay At Betway HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 4th 12/1

04 Feb 22 Newcastle (AW) Deevious Beau (GB)J: Tom Marquand Play 4 To Win At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

03 Feb 22 Southwell (AW) Western Music (IRE)J: Sean Levey Read Katie Walsh On Betway Insider Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 1st 85/40F

27 Jan 22 Southwell (AW) Zarzyni (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Betway HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 2nd 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Barron's strike rate?: David Barron has won 610 of 4,785 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Barron do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 87 wins from 399 runners (21.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Barron?: Graham Gibbons, with 1,091 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 175 (16%).
What is David Barron's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 4,747 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.