What is Geoffrey Deacon's strike rate?

Geoffrey Deacon has won 53 of 830 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Geoffrey Deacon do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 77 runners (11.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Geoffrey Deacon?

Timmy Murphy, with 88 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.8%).

What is Geoffrey Deacon's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 823 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Geoffrey Deacon

830 runners in the lifetime window · 99 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Mar 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

53–830

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=830

174 (21%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=823 · 0.79 incl. margin

−197.92

£1 level stake

n=830 at SP · −23.8%

£262k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 830 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun 30.8% when favourite Timmy Murphy: 6.8% from 88 Claiming riders: 7.3% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 5.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +33.50 to a £1 stake over 216 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Timmy Murphy rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 0.86). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (13.9%, n=115). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 44 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Glastonberry (GB) — 8 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.6%−0.8

n=216 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +33.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

4%−2.4

n=50 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +6.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.4

n=51 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −51.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.4

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.3%+7.9

n=21 · A/E 2.40 · £1 +19.50

When favourite

30.8%

n=39 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −3.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%+0.9

n=205 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −15.42

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With George Baker 18.5% vs 6.4% · n=54

At trips under 6f 13.9% vs 6.4% · n=115

On last-time-out winners 13.2% vs 6.4% · n=53

With debutants 0% vs 6.4% · n=51

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 6.4% · n=44

With C&D winners 11.2% vs 6.4% · n=134

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 10.6% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 678 48 7.1% −150.92

Hurdle 99 4 4% −35.00

NH Flat 38 0 0% −38.00

Chase 15 1 6.7% +26.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 391 30 7.7% −41.42

Good 125 7 5.6% −43.00

Good to Firm 101 7 6.9% −48.75

Good to Soft 91 5 5.5% −22.75

Soft 83 2 2.4% −25.00

Firm 22 1 4.5% −15.00

Heavy 17 1 5.9% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 171 7 4.1% −57.00

Lingfield (AW) 98 7 7.1% −20.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 77 9 11.7% +38.00

Windsor 56 6 10.7% −11.25

Bath 45 2 4.4% −34.00

Salisbury 43 1 2.3% −17.00

Chepstow 38 2 5.3% −31.25

Chelmsford City (AW) 29 5 17.2% +6.08

Newbury 24 1 4.2% −15.00

Fontwell 24 1 4.2% −3.00

Brighton 23 1 4.3% −6.00

Lingfield 18 1 5.6% −10.00

Southwell (AW) 16 2 12.5% −8.25

Nottingham 16 2 12.5% +1.00

Warwick 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 403 32 7.9% −43.67

Class 5 273 18 6.6% −33.25

Class 4 121 3 2.5% −88.00

Class 7 20 0 0% −20.00

Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 14 29.2% 1.07 −5.42

2nd–3rd fav 108 9 8.3% 0.56 −53.00

4th–6th fav 227 18 7.9% 1.11 −7.50

7th+ in betting 447 12 2.7% 1.07 −132.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 259 18 6.9% −105.00

1m – 1m1f 148 8 5.4% +11.50

1m2f – 1m4f 125 4 3.2% −93.75

Under 6f 115 16 13.9% −2.92

1m5f – 2m 87 4 4.6% +11.25

2m1f – 2m4f 44 0 0% −44.00

2m5f – 3m 39 1 2.6% +2.00

Over 3m 13 2 15.4% +23.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 1 0 0% −1.00

2010 4 1 25% +37.00

2011 22 2 9.1% +1.50

2012 52 2 3.8% −40.75

2013 102 8 7.8% −23.50

2014 91 9 9.9% −8.00

2015 96 7 7.3% −51.25

2016 94 3 3.2% −67.50

2017 98 6 6.1% −34.00

2018 56 1 1.8% −30.00

2019 47 2 4.3% −31.00

2020 26 1 3.8% −22.50

2021 65 8 12.3% +127.08

2022 51 3 5.9% −29.00

2023 17 0 0% −17.00

2024 8 0 0% −8.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 560 44 7.9% −88.92

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 341 19 5.6% −46.25

8-10 runners 272 17 6.3% −96.25

14-16 runners 107 3 2.8% −92.25

5-7 runners 92 13 14.1% +39.83

17+ runners 13 0 0% −13.00

2-4 runners 5 1 20% +10.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Captain Ryan (GB)from Peter Makin 67 6 24 22 Aug 22

Glastonberry (GB) 50 8 24 12 Jul 16

Rahmah (IRE)from Robert Cowell 43 2 8 24 Aug 21

Picket Line (GB) 42 4 12 16 Sep 19

Victorian Number (FR)from E J ONeill 31 3 11 8 Jul 14

La Roca Del Fuego (IRE)from Seamus Durack 30 7 11 2 Feb 24

Woggle (IRE) 25 1 5 5 Jun 21

Mcdelta (GB) 24 2 7 16 Nov 17

Dawn Catcher (GB)from Tony Carroll 23 4 7 31 Dec 15

Moon Trip (GB)from John Ferguson 19 2 4 10 Nov 17

Bertie Moon (GB)then Keith Dalgleish 17 4 8 28 Oct 14

Suitsus (GB)from Peter Makin 16 2 6 1 Oct 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 99 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Peter Makin (4) and Peter Cundell (3); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

826888739449

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTimmy Murphy

11% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.86

RiderRWSR£1

Timmy Murphy 88 6 6.8% −36.00

Mark Grant 68 2 2.9% −40.00

George Baker 54 10 18.5% +9.25

Josephine Gordon 44 2 4.5% −5.50

Jimmy McCarthy 43 1 2.3% −28.00

Liam Keniry 39 1 2.6% −35.50

George Bass 39 3 7.7% +27.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£262k

Prize money

2014

Best season · 9 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

La Roca Del Fuego (IRE) — Sharon Murray Memorial Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2022 · Class 4

£6,696

Glastonberry (GB) — BetVictor NonRunner No Bet At Cheltenham 2014 Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2014 · Class 4

£5,175

Mcdelta (GB) — Screwfix Live 2013 Handicap Epsom Downs · Sep 2013 · Class 5

£4,528

Notable horses

Glastonberry (GB) La Roca Del Fuego (IRE) Captain Ryan (GB) Picket Line (GB) Dawn Catcher (GB) Bertie Moon (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Captain Gerrard (IRE) 9% · 6–67

Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,054 runs since 2013 (175 horses).

Piccolo (GB) 14.3% · 9–63

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Bertolini (USA) 17.4% · 8–46

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Vale Of York (IRE) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,915 runs since 2014 (139 horses).

Multiplex (GB) 9.5% · 4–42

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).

Delta Dancer (GB) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 10% of 140 runs since 2008 (8 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 832 · newest first

The latest 50 of 832 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2006 to 9 March 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Mar 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Ashford Hill (GB)J: David Probert Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 150/1

21 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Memberry (GB)J: George Bass Unibet Support Safe Gambling Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 100/1

18 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Ashford Hill (GB)J: Cam Hardie Unibet Zero% Mission Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 11th 300/1

02 Feb 24 Lingfield (AW) La Roca Del Fuego (IRE)J: George Bass BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 18/1

20 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Memberry (GB)J: George Bass Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 125/1

20 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Ashford Hill (GB)J: George Rooke Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 200/1

08 Jan 24 Taunton Last In Line (GB)J: James Davies Farmers Friend Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran PU 300/1

04 Jan 24 Lingfield (AW) Memberry (GB)J: George Bass BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Apprentice Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 12/1

31 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Ashford Hill (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson BetMGM: It's Showtime / EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 125/1

20 Dec 23 Newbury Last In Line (GB)J: James Davies BetVictor EBF Stallions 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Soft · 9 ran PU 400/1

12 Jun 23 Windsor La Roca Del Fuego (IRE)J: Rose Dawes eventmasters.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 9/5F

22 May 23 Windsor La Roca Del Fuego (IRE)J: Rose Dawes Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 14/1

03 May 23 Ascot La Roca Del Fuego (IRE)J: Rose Dawes Svend Kold Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1

04 Apr 23 Fontwell Last In Line (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Cazoo Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 13.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1

01 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Memberry (GB)J: George Bass Spreadex Sports Get 50 In Bonuses Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 33/1

28 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Honours (GB)J: George Bass Top Odds Every Day With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 150/1

28 Feb 23 Southwell (AW) Youllovemewheniwin (IRE)J: George Bass BetUK's Acca Club5 Free Bet Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 12/1

26 Feb 23 Fontwell Charlie Magri (GB)J: James Davies Free Bet Nose Losers At BetGoodwin 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 250/1

28 Jan 23 Kempton (AW) Memberry (GB)J: George Bass Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 200/1

28 Jan 23 Lingfield (AW) Honours (GB)J: Rob Hornby Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Geoffrey Deacon's strike rate?: Geoffrey Deacon has won 53 of 830 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Geoffrey Deacon do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 77 runners (11.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Geoffrey Deacon?: Timmy Murphy, with 88 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.8%).
What is Geoffrey Deacon's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 823 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.