What is Jessica Macey's strike rate?

Jessica Macey has won 81 of 1,018 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jessica Macey do best at?

Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 81 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jessica Macey?

Lewis Edmunds, with 449 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (8.2%).

Is Jessica Macey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jessica Macey's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 1,012 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jessica Macey

1,018 runners in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

81–1,018

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=1,018

298 (29%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=1,012 · 0.69 incl. margin

−434.11

£1 level stake

n=1,018 at SP · −42.6%

£868k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,018 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 32.5% when favourite Lewis Edmunds: 8.2% from 449 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford (AW) (13.6%, n=81), clear of the yard's 8% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.30). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −79.25 to a £1 stake over 252 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Lewis Edmunds rides 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 0.82). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (12.3%, n=260). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 3% over 166 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Dark Side Prince (GB) — 11 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.6%−0.4

n=118 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −40.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.3%−3.7

n=47 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −22.00

Debutants · first career start

2.9%−5.1

n=35 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −16.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−1.7

n=32 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −8.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.3%−5.7

n=44 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −39.50

When favourite

32.5%

n=77 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +9.69

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.9%−0.1

n=252 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −79.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.8% vs 8% · n=81

With C&D winners 12.5% vs 8% · n=304

Over 1m – 1m1f 3% vs 8% · n=166

At Chelmsford (AW) 13.6% vs 8% · n=81

At trips under 6f 12.3% vs 8% · n=260

With headgear back on 2.3% vs 8% · n=44

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 569 50 8.8% −251.61

Good 156 7 4.5% −90.00

Good to Firm 151 10 6.6% −90.00

Good to Soft 76 8 10.5% +13.50

Soft 49 4 8.2% −17.00

Heavy 16 2 12.5% +2.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 176 17 9.7% −66.05

Southwell (AW) 172 11 6.4% −102.84

Wolverhampton (AW) 109 6 5.5% −47.30

Chelmsford (AW) 81 11 13.6% −30.42

Doncaster 64 7 10.9% +5.25

Yarmouth 60 5 8.3% −23.00

Beverley 40 3 7.5% −13.50

Leicester 37 4 10.8% −10.75

Nottingham 37 2 5.4% +0.25

Redcar 26 0 0% −26.00

Thirsk 25 1 4% −20.50

Kempton (AW) 25 5 20% +1.00

Catterick 20 2 10% −5.00

Haydock 18 1 5.6% +1.00

York 18 0 0% −18.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 485 40 8.2% −197.86

Class 5 310 25 8.1% −154.25

Class 4 177 11 6.2% −96.50

Class 3 29 3 10.3% −15.50

Class 2 16 2 12.5% +31.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 90 25 27.8% 1.17 −3.31

2nd–3rd fav 228 29 12.7% 0.81 −73.80

4th–6th fav 352 16 4.5% 0.56 −208.00

7th+ in betting 348 11 3.2% 0.87 −149.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Phoenix Star (IRE)from Stuart Williams 78 9 32 25 Mar 25

Dark Side Thunder (GB) 52 10 23 5 Nov 26

Mercurius Power (IRE)from Andrew Balding 51 2 14 31 Oct 26

Jenever (GB) 50 7 21 6 Nov 26

Dark Side Prince (GB)from Charlie Wallis 49 11 27 27 Apr 26

Shark Two One (GB)from Richard Fahey 47 4 17 6 Oct 26

Wrath Of Hector (GB)from Michael Appleby 44 2 13 22 Jan 26

Smart Vision (GB) 40 6 16 4 Nov 26

Thunder Star (GB) 36 5 14 11 Jun 26

Commander Of Life (IRE)from Marco Botti 35 4 16 2 Nov 26

Eyes (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 30 2 13 17 Oct 23

Diligent Henry (GB)then Gemma Tutty 28 2 7 21 Jun 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 82 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ivan Furtado (3) and Michael Appleby (3); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5147648101078116

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLewis Edmunds

44% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.82

RiderRWSR£1

Lewis Edmunds 449 37 8.2% −236.56

Ben Sanderson 80 5 6.3% −40.25

Oliver Stammers 69 5 7.2% −35.50

George Wood 47 5 10.6% +15.50

Harrison Shaw 31 1 3.2% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

£868k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 19 wins

Smart Vision (GB) — Skill Step Group Handicap Doncaster · Oct 2025 · Class 2

£25,770

Dark Side Prince (GB) — It's Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 6

£17,351

Jenever (GB) — Download The PricedUp App Grassroots Series Final Sprint Handicap Nottingham · Oct 2025 · Class 2

£15,462

Notable horses

Dark Side Prince (GB) Dark Side Thunder (GB) Phoenix Star (IRE) Jenever (GB) Smart Vision (GB) Thunder Star (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 17% · 15–88

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,122 runs since 2019 (564 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 161.

Alhebayeb (IRE) 11.5% · 9–78

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,639 runs since 2018 (160 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.5% from 253.

Equiano (FR) 15.8% · 12–76

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,543 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Due Diligence (USA) 11.8% · 8–68

Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,564 runs since 2019 (194 horses).

Awtaad (IRE) 3.9% · 2–51

Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,890 runs since 2020 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6% from 117.

Swiss Spirit (GB) 14% · 7–50

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,650 runs since 2017 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 245. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,018 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,018 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2020 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Age Of Baroque (FR)J: Lewis Edmunds Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 9/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Jenever (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 7/2F

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Dark Side Thunder (GB)J: George Wood Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 4/1F

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Style King (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 25/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Philanthropist (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Mayflower Billy (GB)J: George Wood racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 18/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Train In Vain (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Experience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 200/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Smart Vision (GB)J: George Wood Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 100/30F

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Commander Of Life (IRE)J: George Wood All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mercurius Power (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 8/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Taradif (IRE)J: William Pyle Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Try Storm Cat (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Everyoneknowsadave (IRE)J: George Wood Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 4/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Smart Vision (GB)J: Finley Marsh Jumping's Back At Leicester Tuesday 17th November Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Everyoneknowsadave (IRE)J: George Wood Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 15/2

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Train In Vain (GB)J: Darragh Keenan bettingsites.co.uk For Fast Withdrawals Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 150/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mayflower Billy (GB)J: Sam James bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 15/2

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jenever (GB)J: George Wood bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 100/30

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Age Of Baroque (FR)J: William Pyle bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Smart Vision (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jessica Macey's strike rate?: Jessica Macey has won 81 of 1,018 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jessica Macey do best at?: Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 81 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jessica Macey?: Lewis Edmunds, with 449 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (8.2%).
Is Jessica Macey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jessica Macey's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 1,012 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.