What is Linda Stubbs's strike rate?

Linda Stubbs has won 70 of 720 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Linda Stubbs do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 runners (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Linda Stubbs?

Tom Eaves, with 108 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (11.1%).

What is Linda Stubbs's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 715 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Linda Stubbs

720 runners in the lifetime window · 70 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2024 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

70–720

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=720

214 (30%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=715 · 0.79 incl. margin

−212.75

£1 level stake

n=720 at SP · −29.5%

£479k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

50%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).

Deterministic profile computed from 720 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 15% when favourite Tom Eaves: 11.1% from 108 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Redcar (3.9% over 51 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.62). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 8.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −86.75 to a £1 stake over 172 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tom Eaves rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 0.93). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (14%, n=172). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 3% over 33 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the ladbrokes.com Rose Bowl Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2008, £17,031). The stable star of the record: Five Star Junior (USA) — 7 wins from 59 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−5.5

n=71 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −51.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−9.7

n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00

Debutants · first career start

10%+0.3

n=40 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%−0.6

n=11 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −8.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.7%−1.0

n=23 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −7.50

When favourite

15%

n=60 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −34.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.1%−1.6

n=172 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −86.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%+0.3

n=20 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Kristin Stubbs 0% vs 9.7% · n=37

With Hollie Doyle 17.1% vs 9.7% · n=41

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3% vs 9.7% · n=33

At Redcar 3.9% vs 9.7% · n=51

With Joanna Mason 15.8% vs 9.7% · n=38

Off a 8-14-day break 14% vs 9.7% · n=172

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 717 70 9.8% −209.75

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 269 29 10.8% −76.25

Good to Firm 193 16 8.3% −77.00

Good 141 14 9.9% −28.75

Good to Soft 62 6 9.7% −25.00

Soft 35 2 5.7% −11.75

Firm 13 1 7.7% −4.00

Heavy 7 2 28.6% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 113 12 10.6% −36.75

Newcastle (AW) 57 7 12.3% −3.50

Redcar 51 2 3.9% −38.00

Kempton (AW) 46 5 10.9% −16.75

Hamilton 45 4 8.9% −20.62

Beverley 41 4 9.8% −6.50

Yarmouth 34 5 14.7% +0.25

Lingfield (AW) 30 4 13.3% −11.25

Doncaster 30 2 6.7% −20.00

Thirsk 29 1 3.4% −24.00

Ayr 27 4 14.8% −5.25

Newcastle 25 3 12% −6.25

Musselburgh 24 3 12.5% +4.29

Haydock 22 2 9.1% +16.00

Southwell (AW) 16 1 6.3% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 261 26 10% −43.96

Class 6 236 24 10.2% −71.37

Class 4 131 13 9.9% −61.42

Class 3 40 4 10% −11.00

Class 2 29 1 3.4% −17.00

Class 1 20 2 10% −5.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 70 13 18.6% 0.65 −29.00

2nd–3rd fav 164 29 17.7% 1.10 −3.75

4th–6th fav 247 25 10.1% 1.19 −3.00

7th+ in betting 239 3 1.3% 0.32 −177.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Five Star Junior (USA)from Simon Callaghan 59 7 24 9 Aug 12

Bronze Beau (GB) 57 4 23 22 Sep 19

Fortunate Bid (IRE)from B W Hills 44 3 14 2 Jan 13

Old News (GB)from Richard Hughes 41 3 9 15 Aug 23

Carey Street (IRE)from John Quinn · then Tony Carroll 38 5 17 19 Jan 24

First Response (GB)from G M Lyons 32 2 7 19 Jul 21

Ice Trooper (GB)then Kristin Stubbs 29 4 9 26 Jan 13

Ignatieff (IRE) 27 3 8 25 Oct 11

Oakenshield (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 16 1 3 21 Jan 22

Cawdor (IRE)from Henry Candy 16 1 4 26 Nov 11

Johnny Hancocks (IRE)from David Evans 15 0 5 11 Jul 11

Calley Ho (GB) 15 1 2 10 Jul 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 70 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Fahey (3) and John Quinn (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Kristin Stubbs (8) and Tony Carroll (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

191736961498899

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Eaves

15% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 0.93

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Eaves 108 12 11.1% −36.75

James Sullivan 107 11 10.3% −34.33

Hollie Doyle 41 7 17.1% +15.25

Joanna Mason 38 6 15.8% +3.33

Kristin Stubbs 37 0 0% −37.00

Tony Hamilton 37 5 13.5% −3.50

Shane Kelly 36 3 8.3% −24.50

Kieren Fallon 32 5 15.6% +0.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£649k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Saxford (GB) — ladbrokes.com Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed) Newbury · Jul 2008 · Listed

£17,031

Starlight Romance (IRE) — EBF Stallions Breeding Fillies' Handicap Kempton (AW) · Jan 2020 · Class 3

£12,450

Forevertheoptimist (IRE) — Bank Of New York Mellon Dragon Stakes (Listed) Sandown · Jul 2011 · Listed

£12,193

Notable horses

Five Star Junior (USA) Sforzando (GB) Carey Street (IRE) Bronze Beau (GB) Ice Trooper (GB) Fortunate Bid (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Compton Place (GB) 6.5% · 4–62

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Five Star Day (USA) 11.9% · 7–59

Progeny have won 12.9% of 124 runs since 2008 (4 horses).

Modigliani (USA) 6.8% · 3–44

Progeny have won 7.6% of 607 runs since 2008 (52 horses).

Dutch Art (GB) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,108 runs since 2011 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.

Iceman (GB) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2010 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 13.2% · 5–38

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,243 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,018 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,018 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 19 January 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 2/1

15 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

30 Dec 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 7/1

22 Dec 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Port Erin (IRE)J: Harry Burns Boost Your Acca At BetMGM HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 80/1

08 Dec 23 Newcastle (AW) Port Erin (IRE)J: Joanna Mason Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 12th 11/1

20 Nov 23 Kempton (AW) Port Erin (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 6th 8/1

17 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Cameron Noble Stay In Control At BetUK Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 22/1

15 Aug 23 Newcastle (AW) Old News (GB)J: Joanna Mason At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 28/1

11 Jul 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Final Account (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 14/1

21 Jun 23 Newcastle (AW) Old News (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 12/1

19 Jun 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 11/2

15 May 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

05 May 23 Newcastle (AW) Final Account (GB)J: Tom Eaves At The Races App Market Movers HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 11/1

02 May 23 Yarmouth Old News (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Follow At The Races On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 4th 5/1

11 Apr 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 5/1

31 Mar 23 Newcastle (AW) Final Account (GB)J: Tom Eaves BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 10/1

27 Mar 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Spreadex Sports First Goalscorer Insurance HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 13/2

14 Mar 23 Newcastle (AW) Final Account (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Top Odds Every Day With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 9/4F

06 Mar 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Final Account (GB)J: Oisin Murphy BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/2F

04 Mar 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Carey Street (IRE)J: Joanna Mason BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Linda Stubbs's strike rate?: Linda Stubbs has won 70 of 720 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Linda Stubbs do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 runners (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Linda Stubbs?: Tom Eaves, with 108 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (11.1%).
What is Linda Stubbs's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 715 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.