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Trainer profile

Mandy Rowland

577 runners in the lifetime window · 80 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2022
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
33–577
Wins / Runs
5.7%
Strike rate
n=577
92 (16%)
Placed
1.04
n=576 · 0.88 incl. margin
−217.74
£1 level stake
n=577 at SP · −37.7%
£110k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 577 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Adam Kirby: 15.5% from 84 Headgear returns: 9.7%
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (17.3%, n=52), clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 9.7% (n=31, Fair A/E 2.00), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=128, Fair A/E 0.70). Adam Kirby rides 15% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.5% vs 5.7%, A/E 1.73) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 7 (20.9%, n=43) and off a 0-7-day break (16.3%, n=43). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 64 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Mr Chocolate Drop (IRE) — 11 wins from 98 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.3%−3.4
n=128 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −77.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.3%−2.4
n=61 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −36.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.3%+0.6
n=16 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.7%+4.0
n=31 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +5.50
When favourite
20%
n=15 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −5.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%−0.8
n=204 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −54.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 7 20.9% vs 5.7% · n=43
At Kempton (AW) 17.3% vs 5.7% · n=52
With Adam Kirby 15.5% vs 5.7% · n=84
Off a 0-7-day break 16.3% vs 5.7% · n=43
On last-time-out winners 12.8% vs 5.7% · n=39
On Good going 0% vs 5.7% · n=64
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 511 33 6.5% −151.74
Hurdle 44 0 0% −44.00
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 425 28 6.6% −125.49
Good 64 0 0% −64.00
Good to Firm 39 2 5.1% −13.00
Soft 25 1 4% −10.00
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 4 2 50% +14.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 247 14 5.7% −62.37
Southwell (AW) 107 5 4.7% −65.62
Kempton (AW) 52 9 17.3% +21.50
Nottingham 27 1 3.7% −23.25
Uttoxeter 18 0 0% −18.00
Market Rasen 11 0 0% −11.00
Southwell 11 0 0% −11.00
Catterick 11 0 0% −11.00
Leicester 10 1 10% +5.00
Chelmsford (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Yarmouth 10 0 0% −10.00
Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Newcastle 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 404 21 5.2% −158.24
Class 5 98 3 3.1% −68.50
Class 7 43 9 20.9% +41.00
Class 4 30 0 0% −30.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 20 4 20% 0.88 −4.75
2nd–3rd fav 46 9 19.6% 1.30 +2.51
4th–6th fav 133 11 8.3% 1.19 −13.50
7th+ in betting 378 9 2.4% 0.81 −202.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mr Chocolate Drop (IRE)from Michael Attwater 90 11 29 25 Jan 16
Pipers Piping (IRE)from John Butler 44 4 11 31 May 18
Hi Spec (IRE)from R J Osborne 35 4 10 12 Nov 11
Jazz Legend (USA)from Robert Cowell 34 4 9 13 Feb 22
China Excels (GB)from Sue Smith 24 4 6 22 Apr 17
Hollywood George (GB)from Kevin Ryan 18 0 3 11 Jan 09
Final Tune (IRE)from David Nicholls 15 0 1 13 Mar 12
Sweet Mirasol (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 15 1 3 9 Feb 12
Little Firecracker (GB)from Luca Cumani · then Tim Vaughan 15 1 2 19 Mar 09
Roxy Madam (GB) 12 0 0 15 May 16
Miss Chardonay (GB) 11 0 0 5 Aug 13
Commissar (GB)from Heather Dalton 10 0 0 17 May 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 80 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 49 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Heather Dalton (4) and Kevin Ryan (4); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian McInnes (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
10115725633026
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAdam Kirby
15% of all rides
15.5% SR · A/E 1.73
RiderRWSR£1
Adam Kirby 84 13 15.5% +17.88
Jimmy Quinn 72 3 4.2% −37.25
Rob Hornby 56 6 10.7% +53.50
Adam Pogson 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
40
Archived wins
£149k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Anduril (GB) — Xmas Parties At Ayr Racecourse Handicap Ayr · Aug 2006 · Class 4
£6,477
Final Tune (IRE) — Scottish Sun First For Sport Handicap Ayr · Jun 2007 · Class 5
£4,534
China Excels (GB) — Annie Oxtoby Memorial Handicap Beverley · May 2016 · Class 5
£3,781

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Danetime (IRE) 12.2% · 11–90
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Noverre (USA) 9.1% · 4–44
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Spectrum (IRE) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,553 runs since 2008 (110 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.2% from 259.
Scat Daddy (USA) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 14.2% of 906 runs since 2011 (99 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 19.7% from 198. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 27.4% from 124. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.5% from 134.
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 16.7% · 4–24
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,032 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 756 · newest first

The latest 50 of 756 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 13 February 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Mar 21 Southwell (AW) Jazz Legend (USA)J: Kieran O'Neill Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 9/1
04 Feb 21 Southwell (AW) Jazz Legend (USA)J: Kieran O'Neill Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 11/2
26 Jan 21 Southwell (AW) Jazz Legend (USA)J: Kieran O'Neill Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5th 10/3J
10 Jan 21 Southwell (AW) Jazz Legend (USA)J: Kieran O'Neill betyourway At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 6th 10/1
31 Jul 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Mabaady (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mandy Rowland's strike rate?
Mandy Rowland has won 33 of 577 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mandy Rowland do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 52 runners (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mandy Rowland?
Adam Kirby, with 84 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (15.5%).
What is Mandy Rowland's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 576 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).