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Trainer profile

Tjade Collier

283 runners in the lifetime window · 38 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2025
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
22–283
Wins / Runs
7.8%
Strike rate
n=283
62 (22%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=281 · 0.83 incl. margin
−143.54
£1 level stake
n=283 at SP · −50.7%
£231k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 283 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Chase races (18.8%, n=48) and on Soft going (11.9%, n=59). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3% over 33 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.60 across 100 runners (4% strike, −67.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Ladronne (FR) — 9 wins from 45 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6%−1.8
n=50 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.8
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.8
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.8
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
29.6%
n=27 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −0.37
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%−1.8
n=84 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −63.37
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 18.8% vs 7.8% · n=48
With Sean Quinlan 15.9% vs 7.8% · n=44
In Hurdle races 4% vs 7.8% · n=100
Off a 61-180-day break 3% vs 7.8% · n=33
On Soft going 11.9% vs 7.8% · n=59
In NH Flat races 3.1% vs 7.8% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 103 8 7.8% −57.67
Hurdle 100 4 4% −67.62
Chase 48 9 18.8% −9.25
NH Flat 32 1 3.1% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 88 5 5.7% −33.50
Soft 59 7 11.9% −29.62
Standard (AW) 54 6 11.1% −23.67
Good to Soft 53 4 7.5% −27.75
Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 30 2 6.7% −20.00
Newcastle (AW) 24 3 12.5% −5.25
Catterick 24 2 8.3% −9.25
Wetherby 20 3 15% −7.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 18 3 16.7% −6.42
Southwell 16 1 6.3% −9.50
Market Rasen 14 0 0% −14.00
Musselburgh 14 1 7.1% +9.00
Newcastle 13 3 23.1% −1.62
Southwell (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Redcar 10 1 10% +1.00
Uttoxeter 10 0 0% −10.00
Doncaster 9 2 22.2% +6.50
Hexham 9 0 0% −9.00
Carlisle 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 117 9 7.7% −64.62
Class 4 84 4 4.8% −41.00
Class 6 50 5 10% −23.42
Class 3 26 4 15.4% −8.50
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 8 28.6% 1.02 −1.37
2nd–3rd fav 42 7 16.7% 1.01 −10.17
4th–6th fav 73 6 8.2% 1.02 −4.00
7th+ in betting 140 1 0.7% 0.32 −128.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ladronne (FR)from Sue Smith · then Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 45 9 18 11 Mar 25
Blue Hawaii (IRE) 30 6 14 10 Dec 23
Tacitus (IRE)from Brian Meehan 24 1 5 2 Oct 24
Vindobala (IRE)from Tracy Waggott · then Sam England 20 3 11 25 Oct 22
Doors Breaker (FR) 17 1 4 2 Aug 23
Chemical Warfare (IRE)then David Pipe 17 1 5 11 Jul 23
Covert Legend (GB)from Joseph Parr · then Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 14 1 2 12 Apr 25
The Spinmeister (GB) 9 0 0 17 Jan 24
Shantou Boudicca (GB) 9 0 0 18 May 22
Tommy's Fortune (IRE) 8 0 0 26 Jan 23
Midnight Antics (IRE)from Sue Smith 8 0 0 20 Feb 22
Jailbird (IRE)from Richard J Bandey · then Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 7 0 1 17 May 25
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sue Smith (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith (5) and David Pipe (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
412224750007813
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Quinlan
16% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 1.35
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Quinlan 44 7 15.9% +13.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
22
Archived wins
£231k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 7 wins
Ladronne (FR) — Download The Raceday Ready App Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Doncaster · Mar 2024 · Class 3
£11,169
Ladronne (FR) — Play Last Horse Standing With Vickers.Bet Handicap Chase Newcastle · Mar 2022 · Class 4
£7,080
Ladronne (FR) — Jean Walpole 75th Birthday Handicap Chase Catterick · Nov 2022 · Class 3
£6,862
Notable horses
Ladronne (FR) Blue Hawaii (IRE) Vindobala (IRE) Tacitus (IRE) Doors Breaker (FR) Chemical Warfare (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Linda's Lad (GB) 20% · 9–45
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,316 runs since 2012 (184 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.8% from 212.
Jeremy (USA) 15% · 6–40
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Zoffany (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,773 runs since 2015 (799 horses).
Pride Of Dubai (AUS) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,163 runs since 2020 (92 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.6% from 386. Weakest on Soft going: 8.3% from 192. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 17% from 200.
American Post (GB) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Fame And Glory (GB) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,209 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 283 · newest first

The latest 50 of 283 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 November 2019 to 10 June 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Jun 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Spruces Due (GB)J: Joe Leavy HighBet Weekly Racing Rewards Club Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 40/1
17 May 25 Bangor-on-Dee Jailbird (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Fyrnwy Equine Clinic Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 22/1
16 May 25 Aintree Wudya (IRE)J: Brian Hughes HA Civils Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1
13 May 25 Sedgefield Scairp Dubh (GB)J: Ross Chapman Resolve Contracts Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 9/5F
19 Apr 25 Huntingdon Jailbird (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Happy Birthday Steve Grys Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 22/1
12 Apr 25 Nottingham Covert Legend (GB)J: Dale Swift Shipstones Nut Brown HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 4th 12/1
01 Apr 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Jailbird (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1
11 Mar 25 Sedgefield Ladronne (FR)J: William Maggs Fairlight Studio Celebration Day Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 7/2
04 Mar 25 Southwell (AW) Covert Legend (GB)J: Rossa Ryan 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 11f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 4/1
26 Feb 25 Wetherby Ladronne (FR)J: William Maggs Bet Now At racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 9/4F
20 Feb 25 Huntingdon Jailbird (IRE)J: William Maggs Purchase Hospitality At Huntingdon Conditional Jockeys' Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 50/1
01 Feb 25 Wetherby Ladronne (FR)J: James Davies William Hill B.O.G Is Back Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 28/1
28 Jan 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Covert Legend (GB)J: Tom Eaves 30 In Free Bets With BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 14/1
04 Jan 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Covert Legend (GB)J: Tom Eaves 30 In Free Bets With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 28/1
17 Dec 24 Catterick Jailbird (IRE)J: Ross Chapman Download The Raceday Ready App Now Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 200/1
27 Nov 24 Wetherby Jailbird (IRE)J: Ross Chapman wetherbyracing.co.uk Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 80/1
19 Nov 24 Carlisle Ladronne (FR)J: Ross Chapman Unibet Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 5/1
14 Nov 24 Sedgefield Jailbird (IRE)J: Ross Chapman Vickers.Bet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran PU 28/1
28 Oct 24 Southwell (AW) He's An Angel (GB)J: Jason Watson Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 11/1
24 Oct 24 Carlisle Ladronne (FR)J: Brian Hughes Hather Financial Services Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tjade Collier's strike rate?
Tjade Collier has won 22 of 283 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tjade Collier do best at?
Sedgefield by strike rate: 2 wins from 30 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Tjade Collier's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 281 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).