What is William Jarvis's strike rate?

William Jarvis has won 211 of 1,969 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does William Jarvis do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 31 wins from 196 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for William Jarvis?

Joe Fanning, with 118 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (15.3%).

What is William Jarvis's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 1,957 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

William Jarvis

1,969 runners in the lifetime window · 238 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2023 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

211–1,969

Wins / Runs

10.7%

Strike rate

n=1,969

557 (28%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=1,957 · 0.86 incl. margin

−201.31

£1 level stake

n=1,968 at SP · −10.2%

£2.37m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). New recruits from other yards win at 23% first time out (40 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,969 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 29% when favourite Joe Fanning: 15.3% from 118 New recruits: 22.5% Claiming riders: 11% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 22.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.85), but debutants struggle at 3.9% (n=179, Fair A/E 0.82). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 11% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +31.54 to a £1 stake over 290 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Joe Fanning rides 6% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.3% vs 10.7%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.8%, n=42). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 2.5% over 159 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Nassau Stakes at Goodwood (Jul 2021, £340,260). The stable star of the record: Wimpole Hall (GB) — 7 wins from 50 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.2%−1.5

n=293 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −58.49

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.5%+11.8

n=40 · A/E 1.85 · £1 +32.25

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−6.8

n=179 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −5.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.7%−1.0

n=93 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%−1.6

n=22 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −10.12

When favourite

29%

n=169 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −23.72

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11%+0.3

n=290 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +31.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.4%−0.3

n=67 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −9.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 23.8% vs 10.7% · n=42

With new recruits 22.5% vs 10.7% · n=40

In Class 2 2.5% vs 10.7% · n=159

With debutants 3.9% vs 10.7% · n=179

With Silvestre De Sousa 19.6% vs 10.7% · n=51

With C&D winners 15.9% vs 10.7% · n=182

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,958 210 10.7% −192.69

Hurdle 9 1 11.1% −6.62

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 749 91 12.1% −32.81

Good to Firm 503 54 10.7% +30.04

Good 364 34 9.3% −54.90

Good to Soft 176 16 9.1% −49.37

Soft 133 9 6.8% −80.10

Heavy 24 2 8.3% −14.00

Firm 20 5 25% −0.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 229 25 10.9% −57.80

Lingfield 196 31 15.8% +59.46

Yarmouth 189 19 10.1% +48.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 156 19 12.2% +4.83

Newmarket 125 10 8% −11.00

Newmarket 123 7 5.7% −21.50

Chelmsford (AW) 117 10 8.5% −32.12

Sandown 94 12 12.8% +19.50

Windsor 85 6 7.1% −27.50

Leicester 67 6 9% −40.50

Nottingham 65 8 12.3% −26.14

Doncaster 46 3 6.5% −25.50

Ascot 46 4 8.7% −11.00

Southwell (AW) 44 6 13.6% −0.18

Brighton 39 6 15.4% +3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 718 75 10.4% −128.31

Class 4 491 58 11.8% −17.72

Class 6 352 44 12.5% −4.52

Class 3 177 21 11.9% +69.16

Class 2 159 4 2.5% −113.25

Class 1 68 7 10.3% −10.17

Class 7 1 1 100% +5.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 211 58 27.5% 0.95 −30.09

2nd–3rd fav 473 79 16.7% 1.04 −50.22

4th–6th fav 641 42 6.6% 0.83 −189.00

7th+ in betting 643 31 4.8% 1.41 +68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 746 65 8.7% −198.87

1m – 1m1f 520 55 10.6% −26.32

1m2f – 1m4f 482 61 12.7% +1.34

Under 6f 122 16 13.1% +26.15

1m5f – 2m 88 13 14.8% +5.01

2m1f – 2m4f 6 1 16.7% −3.62

2m5f – 3m 5 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 208 26 12.5% −39.25

2009 169 12 7.1% −41.00

2010 169 20 11.8% +3.65

2011 152 25 16.4% +19.69

2012 143 10 7% −55.95

2013 131 15 11.5% −40.57

2014 102 11 10.8% −27.42

2015 121 10 8.3% −37.97

2016 94 11 11.7% +12.25

2017 93 7 7.5% −33.10

2018 101 16 15.8% +31.83

2019 104 10 9.6% +5.71

2020 86 10 11.6% −15.67

2021 101 11 10.9% −2.34

2022 89 9 10.1% +42.83

2023 106 8 7.5% −24.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,247 145 11.6% −152.80

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 709 78 11% −43.25

11-13 runners 606 54 8.9% +4.05

5-7 runners 344 59 17.2% −40.36

14-16 runners 199 10 5% −57.50

17+ runners 76 3 3.9% −52.00

2-4 runners 35 7 20% −12.25

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Wimpole Hall (GB) 50 7 18 25 Nov 21

Arigato (GB) 33 6 14 14 Oct 21

Michaels Choice (GB)then Eve Johnson Houghton 30 4 8 4 Nov 21

Jodies Jem (GB)then Michael Banks 29 4 12 2 Jun 16

Katy's Secret (GB) 27 4 10 8 Aug 13

Cuthbert (IRE)then Michael Attwater 26 2 6 26 Mar 12

Oriental Scot (GB) 25 4 9 4 Aug 12

Rock A Doodle Doo (IRE)then Sally Hall 23 5 10 17 Oct 12

Clerk's Choice (IRE)then Michael Banks 22 2 10 30 Aug 14

Brigadoon (GB)then Philip Kirby 22 2 8 26 Sep 12

Loki's Revenge (GB) 21 5 7 4 May 13

Qushchi (GB) 21 3 7 28 Nov 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 238 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

32 have since run for another yard, most often for Brian Ellison (2) and Eve Johnson Houghton (2); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

209171010101287101711

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJoe Fanning

6% of all rides
15.3% SR · A/E 1.38

RiderRWSR£1

Joe Fanning 118 18 15.3% +91.90

Alan Munro 115 10 8.7% −37.30

David Probert 90 15 16.7% +125.50

Kieran Shoemark 78 10 12.8% +31.46

Josephine Gordon 71 9 12.7% −9.80

Steve Drowne 64 9 14.1% −25.31

Robert Havlin 53 9 17% +0.03

J-P Guillambert 51 5 9.8% −16.40

Silvestre De Sousa 51 10 19.6% +2.33

Jim Crowley 50 7 14% −0.70

Shane Kelly 40 3 7.5% −30.75

Tom Queally 30 3 10% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

279

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.31m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lady Bowthorpe (GB) — Qatar Nassau Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) (British Champions Series) Goodwood · Jul 2021 · Group 1

£340,260

Tobosa (GB) — totesport.com Silver Bowl (Heritage Handicap) Haydock · May 2007 · Class 2

£62,320

Killena Boy (IRE) — Martin Collins Enterprises Handicap Kempton (AW) · Sep 2006 · Class 2

£61,660

Notable horses

Wimpole Hall (GB) Arigato (GB) Killena Boy (IRE) Rock A Doodle Doo (IRE) Loki's Revenge (GB) Summer Charm (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sir Percy (GB) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,154 runs since 2011 (473 horses).

Kyllachy (GB) 13.8% · 8–58

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Lawman (FR) 6.9% · 4–58

Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,428 runs since 2011 (730 horses).

Poet's Voice (GB) 16.4% · 9–55

Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Canford Cliffs (IRE) 13.2% · 7–53

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2015 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.

Kheleyf (USA) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,538 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,538 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 3 November 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 23 Newmarket Crystal Delight (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 9/1

28 Oct 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Miss Gallagher (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Armed Forces Remembrance Raceday HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 6/1

23 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Ali Jewels (IRE)J: Adam Farragher BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 25/1

23 Oct 23 Windsor Hakuna Babe (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Amazing Sri Lanka HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 3/1J

17 Oct 23 Leicester Cervetto (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan British Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/2

16 Oct 23 Yarmouth Juryman (GB)J: Harry Davies Regular Offers On bresbet.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 11/1

16 Oct 23 Yarmouth Larkhill (IRE)J: Harry Davies Bresbet Rewards Loyalty HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 33/1

09 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Coloane (IRE)J: Benoit De La Sayette Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 10/3

04 Oct 23 Nottingham Ali Jewels (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill World Pool At Newmarket This Saturday HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 9/1

30 Sep 23 Newmarket Arqoob (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 9f · Good To Firm · 34 ran 18th 50/1

28 Sep 23 Newmarket Crystal Delight (GB)J: Jim Crowley Graham Budd Art & Memorabilia Auction HandicapClass 2 · 12f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

26 Sep 23 Nottingham Hakuna Babe (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Grassroots Series Middle Distance Final HandicapClass 2 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 3/1F

22 Sep 23 Kempton (AW) Larkhill (IRE)J: Neil Callan Unibet More Boosts In More Races HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 22/1

19 Sep 23 Yarmouth Ali Jewels (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Seadell Shops & Chalets At Hemsby HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 15/2

18 Sep 23 Kempton (AW) Miss Gallagher (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Unibet More Extra Place Races HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 8th 10/1

14 Sep 23 Doncaster Crystal Delight (GB)J: Jim Crowley Winners Wear Skopes Menswear HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/1

11 Sep 23 Brighton Coloane (IRE)J: Harry Davies St Leger Festival Tips On Attheraces.com Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 4 ran 4th 4/1

06 Sep 23 Kempton (AW) Juryman (GB)J: Benoit De La Sayette Racing Tv HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 25/1

06 Sep 23 Lingfield (AW) Rainyniteingeorgia (IRE)J: Jamie Spencer At The Races App Market Movers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 16/1

05 Sep 23 Goodwood Larkhill (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Ambrose Harcourt Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Jarvis's strike rate?: William Jarvis has won 211 of 1,969 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William Jarvis do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 31 wins from 196 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for William Jarvis?: Joe Fanning, with 118 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (15.3%).
What is William Jarvis's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 1,957 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.