What is Alan Fleming's strike rate?

Alan Fleming has won 88 of 659 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alan Fleming do best at?

Naas by strike rate: 12 wins from 47 runners (25.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alan Fleming?

Denis O'Regan, with 172 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (9.3%).

What is Alan Fleming's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 658 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alan Fleming

659 runners in the lifetime window · 120 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2025 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

88–659

Wins / Runs

13.4%

Strike rate

n=659

213 (32%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=658 · 0.87 incl. margin

−157.58

£1 level stake

n=659 at SP · −23.9%

£1.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). New recruits from other yards win at 24% first time out (58 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 659 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Nov Fresh horses: 16.2% 37.1% when favourite Denis O'Regan: 9.3% from 172 New recruits: 24.1% Claiming riders: 14.4% Sends off the favourite in 15% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Naas (25.5%, n=47), clear of the yard's 13.4% baseline. It is weakest at Leopardstown (5.3% over 57 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 24.1% (n=58, Fair A/E 1.56), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.4% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.62). Denis O'Regan rides 26% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (9.3% vs 13.4%, A/E 0.84). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4.9% over 82 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Close Brothers Novices' Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2017, £39,865). The stable star of the record: Starluck (IRE) — 6 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16.2%+2.8

n=235 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −3.58

New recruits · first run for the yard

24.1%+10.7

n=58 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +11.04

Debutants · first career start

12.3%−1.1

n=57 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −15.82

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.4%+6.0

n=36 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +13.58

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5%−8.4

n=20 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −16.75

When favourite

37.1%

n=97 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +0.18

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.4%+1.0

n=180 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −38.81

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.4%−8.0

n=74 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −50.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Naas 25.5% vs 13.4% · n=47

With new recruits 24.1% vs 13.4% · n=58

With Timmy Murphy 23.6% vs 13.4% · n=55

In Class 1 4.9% vs 13.4% · n=82

In Group / Graded races 5.4% vs 13.4% · n=74

At Leopardstown 5.3% vs 13.4% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 369 41 11.1% −95.13

Chase 172 27 15.7% −31.88

Flat 67 12 17.9% −3.24

NH Flat 51 8 15.7% −27.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 226 31 13.7% −81.98

Good 189 20 10.6% −64.58

Heavy 118 21 17.8% +7.72

Good to Soft 81 8 9.9% −41.07

Good to Firm 25 3 12% +14.58

Standard (AW) 20 5 25% +7.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Leopardstown 57 3 5.3% −34.50

Fairyhouse 49 5 10.2% −8.75

Naas 47 12 25.5% +16.08

Punchestown 45 4 8.9% −12.25

Killarney 43 4 9.3% −22.50

Navan 39 3 7.7% −25.62

Cheltenham 29 2 6.9% −18.17

Wexford 21 5 23.8% +11.93

Roscommon 21 3 14.3% −6.50

Kilbeggan 18 2 11.1% +6.00

Listowel 17 5 29.4% −7.59

Galway 16 0 0% −16.00

Thurles 15 4 26.7% +0.54

Dundalk (AW) 15 3 20% +2.75

Kempton 15 2 13.3% −9.45

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 82 4 4.9% −58.30

Class 4 58 9 15.5% −23.87

Class 3 34 7 20.6% −8.76

Class 2 16 1 6.3% −14.17

Class 6 9 1 11.1% −3.50

Class 5 6 1 16.7% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 110 40 36.4% 1.12 +4.30

2nd–3rd fav 185 31 16.8% 1.04 −34.38

4th–6th fav 174 14 8% 1.10 −10.50

7th+ in betting 190 3 1.6% 0.51 −117.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.4% completed · 541 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 172 77.9% 14 8 16 0 0

Hurdle 369 91.9% 8 2 19 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tully East (IRE)then Barry Connell 22 4 8 21 Apr 19

Hurricane Darwin (IRE)from Anthony Mullins · then Peter Maher 20 4 8 4 May 19

Gwencily Berbas (FR)from G Cherel · then E McNamara 15 3 5 23 Apr 19

Starluck (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast · then David Arbuthnot 15 6 9 9 Apr 11

Aather (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast · then David Arbuthnot 15 1 5 22 Mar 11

Chain Gang (GB) 14 2 4 4 Feb 18

Speaker Connolly (IRE) 13 2 3 5 Apr 19

Deputy's Pass (IRE)from P M J Doyle · then Keith Henry Clarke 13 2 6 5 Jun 18

Nagam (FR)from A Ennis 13 3 5 17 Oct 10

Champayne Lady (IRE)from David Harry Kelly 12 2 5 13 May 19

Cerealice (FR)from E Vagne · then Keith Henry Clarke 11 0 3 12 May 19

Templemore Dream (IRE)then Keith Henry Clarke 11 1 5 7 Sep 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 120 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Anthony Mullins (4) and A Ennis (3); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

39 have since run for another yard, most often for Keith Henry Clarke (10) and David Arbuthnot (5); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111417010891622152313

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDenis O'Regan

26% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Denis O'Regan 172 16 9.3% −21.84

A P Heskin 74 15 20.3% −19.30

Timmy Murphy 55 13 23.6% −8.49

Donagh Meyler 47 4 8.5% −28.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.25m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 24 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tully East (IRE) — Close Brothers Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed) Cheltenham · Mar 2017 · Listed

£39,865

Starluck (IRE) — Sportingbet.com Hurdle Cheltenham · Oct 2009 · Class 2

£31,310

Blue Hell (FR) — FKM Group Supporting Temple Street Hospital Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Fairyhouse · Nov 2015 · Grade B

£30,000

Notable horses

Starluck (IRE) Tully East (IRE) Hurricane Darwin (IRE) All You Need (FR) Gwencily Berbas (FR) Nagam (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Key Of Luck (USA) 23.3% · 7–30

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,326 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 136.

Oscar (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Beneficial (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Denham Red (FR) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 16.4% of 592 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.2% from 184.

Shantou (USA) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,823 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Court Cave (IRE) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,938 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 716 · newest first

The latest 50 of 716 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 December 2005 to 3 April 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Apr 25 Naas Gilded Moon (GB)J: Liam McKenna Franco Hughes Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 14th 14/1

09 Mar 25 Naas Rush Slowly (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Multiples All Shops' Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Soft · 25 ran F 200/1

03 Mar 25 Leopardstown Rush Slowly (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe 1888 Restaurant Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 15 ran PU 125/1

27 Feb 25 Clonmel Mastermind (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Clonmel Handicap Chase (0-100)23f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 16/1

26 Dec 24 Down Royal Mastermind (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Metcollect Handicap Chase (0-102)20.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 11/1

26 Dec 24 Down Royal Gilded Moon (GB)J: Conor Smithers Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 28/1

15 Nov 24 Punchestown Mastermind (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Punchestown Premiere Weekend Is Next Handicap Chase (0-102)24.5f · Good · 13 ran 6th 20/1

16 Oct 24 Punchestown Mastermind (IRE)J: Miss Georgie Benson Morell Suite At Punchestown (Q.R.) Handicap Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 14/1

15 Oct 24 Punchestown Gilded Moon (GB)J: Michael O'Sullivan William Hill Check Out Our Top Price Guarantees Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Good · 17 ran 10th 10/1

24 Aug 24 Killarney Gilded Moon (GB)J: Liam Quinlan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 20/1

24 Aug 24 Killarney Mastermind (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)20f · Good · 15 ran 8th 16/1

14 Aug 24 Gowran Park Anaelle (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy BOYLESPORTS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (47-65)9.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th 50/1

09 Aug 24 Wexford Gilded Moon (GB)J: J J Slevin Noel O'Connell Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 12/1

26 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Gilded Moon (GB)J: J J Slevin Tote Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 80/1

08 Jul 24 Roscommon Gilded Moon (GB)J: Phillip Enright Frenchpark Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 8th 100/1

15 Jun 24 Downpatrick Mastermind (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Randox (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22f · Good · 15 ran 6th 33/1

08 Jun 24 Punchestown Gilded Moon (GB)J: Conor Smithers Ladbrokes '2UP&Win' Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 22 ran 13th 200/1

19 Feb 22 Gowran Park Lucaya (FR)J: Denis O'Regan Sea Moon & Jukebox Jury At Burgage Stud Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 16 ran 13th 200/1

16 Feb 22 Dundalk (AW) Baby Bubbles (IRE)J: Colin Keane DundalkStadium.com Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 7/1

04 Feb 22 Dundalk (AW) Baby Bubbles (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Extra Places Everyday At BetVictor Fillies Maiden8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Fleming's strike rate?: Alan Fleming has won 88 of 659 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Fleming do best at?: Naas by strike rate: 12 wins from 47 runners (25.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alan Fleming?: Denis O'Regan, with 172 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (9.3%).
What is Alan Fleming's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 658 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.