What is Charlie Mann's strike rate?

Charlie Mann has won 313 of 2,272 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Charlie Mann do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 23 wins from 94 runners (24.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Charlie Mann?

Noel Fehily, with 653 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 117 (17.9%).

What is Charlie Mann's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 2,270 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Charlie Mann

2,272 runners in the lifetime window · 255 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2021 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

313–2,272

Wins / Runs

13.8%

Strike rate

n=2,272

718 (32%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=2,270 · 0.96 incl. margin

−254.56

£1 level stake

n=2,272 at SP · −11.2%

£2.76m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 160 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 18% (63 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,272 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Jun 34.6% when favourite Noel Fehily: 17.9% from 653 Headgear returns: 17.5% Sent off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (29%, n=31) and Plumpton (24.5%, n=94) — all clear of the yard's 13.8% baseline. It is weakest at Aintree (0% over 43 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 17.5% (n=63, Fair A/E 1.61), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.8% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.96). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 13.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +23.91 to a £1 stake over 588 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Noel Fehily rode 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (17.9% vs 13.8%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well on Standard (AW) going (25.4%, n=59). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 4.7% over 128 runners, 9.1pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ellier Developments Champion Novice Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2008, £68,200). The stable star of the record was Fine Parchment (IRE) — 8 wins from 42 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.9%−1.9

n=529 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −113.32

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.7%−1.1

n=134 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −6.17

Debutants · first career start

6.9%−6.9

n=87 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −47.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.2%−1.6

n=139 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +11.31

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

17.5%+3.7

n=63 · A/E 1.61 · £1 +34.68

When favourite

34.6%

n=240 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −31.17

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.6%−0.2

n=588 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +23.91

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.8%−8.0

n=69 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −36.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lingfield 29% vs 13.8% · n=31

At Aintree 0% vs 13.8% · n=43

At Plumpton 24.5% vs 13.8% · n=94

On Standard (AW) going 25.4% vs 13.8% · n=59

In Class 1 4.7% vs 13.8% · n=128

At Newbury 3.8% vs 13.8% · n=79

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,164 149 12.8% −183.30

Chase 952 141 14.8% −70.50

NH Flat 86 12 14% −23.42

Flat 70 11 15.7% +22.66

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 892 118 13.2% −145.71

Good to Soft 494 59 11.9% −100.80

Soft 473 62 13.1% −27.68

Heavy 187 28 15% −12.79

Good to Firm 166 31 18.7% −9.61

Standard (AW) 59 15 25.4% +43.03

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 156 24 15.4% −22.84

Market Rasen 115 16 13.9% −14.10

Kempton 96 6 6.3% −61.10

Plumpton 94 23 24.5% +22.28

Uttoxeter 93 21 22.6% +15.28

Southwell 88 17 19.3% −2.00

Cheltenham 87 5 5.7% −45.75

Sandown 86 10 11.6% +27.25

Wincanton 86 12 14% −10.04

Huntingdon 82 15 18.3% +4.65

Ludlow 80 12 15% +12.16

Newbury 79 3 3.8% −45.00

Fakenham 74 12 16.2% −14.34

Warwick 73 11 15.1% −14.58

Doncaster 71 5 7% −21.34

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,069 180 16.8% −44.39

Class 3 606 61 10.1% −143.82

Class 5 228 36 15.8% +44.41

Class 2 179 16 8.9% −48.00

Class 1 128 6 4.7% −78.50

Class 6 61 14 23% +16.74

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 285 95 33.3% 1.04 −28.67

2nd–3rd fav 612 124 20.3% 1.17 −8.39

4th–6th fav 770 72 9.4% 1.14 −5.50

7th+ in betting 605 22 3.6% 0.95 −212.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.3% completed · 2,116 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 952 73.3% 30 26 195 1 2

Hurdle 1,164 89.6% 12 7 101 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Seventh Sky (GER) 52 7 20 4 Mar 17

Fine Parchment (IRE)from P Beaumont 42 8 15 29 Jun 16

Morney Wing (IRE)from Ms Sandra Hughes 39 6 15 15 Nov 20

Moon Over Miami (GER)then D Holmes 33 2 7 13 Apr 12

Victor Leudorum (IRE)then Steve Flook 32 8 14 18 Aug 16

Sureness (IRE)from Marco Botti · then Tony Newcombe 30 6 7 16 Nov 17

King Brex (DEN)from T Hogan · then N W Alexander 30 5 9 21 Jul 12

Royals And Rebels (IRE) 29 4 7 9 Sep 19

Cody Wyoming (GB)from Heather Main 29 7 10 16 Feb 18

Rebel melody (IRE) 27 3 9 7 Mar 12

Gowanauthat (IRE)from Eugene M O'Sullivan · then Francesca Nimmo 25 6 9 20 Oct 17

Western King (IRE) 25 4 8 8 Oct 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 255 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive; 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

34 have since run for another yard, most often for Alex Hales (3) and Claire Dyson (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1311161519177221414139

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNoel Fehily

29% of all rides
17.9% SR · A/E 1.15

RiderRWSR£1

Noel Fehily 653 117 17.9% −70.26

Harry Bannister 295 44 14.9% +13.71

Gavin Sheehan 229 35 15.3% −8.69

Peter Toole 174 19 10.9% −20.00

Sam Thomas 87 8 9.2% +31.76

Tommy Dowling 84 14 16.7% +31.95

Daryl Jacob 70 8 11.4% −27.08

Paul Moloney 68 12 17.6% −8.46

Dave Crosse 58 6 10.3% −25.50

Mark Grant 44 2 4.5% −32.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

391

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.58m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 61 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Air Force One (GER) — Ellier Developments Champion Novice Chase (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2008 · Grade 1

£68,200

Kanad (GB) — 'Bet Live' williamhill.com Handicap Hurdle Ascot · Nov 2007 · Class 2

£49,576

Rheindross (IRE) — Britannia Building Society English National Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Jun 2005 · Class 2

£43,500

Notable horses

Fine Parchment (IRE) Victor Leudorum (IRE) My Turn Now (IRE) How's Business (GB) Seventh Sky (GER) Moon Over Miami (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 15.6% · 10–64

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Wareed (IRE) 18.5% · 10–54

Progeny have won 7.8% of 510 runs since 2009 (50 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.

Oscar (IRE) 13.2% · 7–53

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

King's Best (USA) 13.5% · 7–52

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Milan (GB) 14.6% · 7–48

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,883 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Acatenango (GER) 14% · 6–43

Progeny have won 9.4% of 637 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 126.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,864 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,864 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 18 April 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Apr 21 Stratford Sid Hoodie (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 15/8F

15 Apr 21 Cheltenham Sacre Coeur (FR)J: Harry Bannister Visit racingtv.com Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran F 14/1

15 Apr 21 Cheltenham Will Victory (FR)J: Harry Bannister Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 16/1

11 Apr 21 Plumpton Mistersister (FR)J: Harry Skelton Strong Flavours Catering Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 14/1

11 Apr 21 Warwick Prabeni (GB)J: Harry Bannister Stephen Allday Perpetual Plate Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 5 ran PU 6/1

11 Apr 21 Plumpton Ivilnoble (IRE)J: James Davies Evening With Paul Merson 9th September Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/1

11 Apr 21 Warwick Laureldean Cross (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 14 ran 10th 40/1

04 Apr 21 Plumpton Sacre Coeur (FR)J: Harry Bannister mylittletip.co.uk Sussex Champion Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 16/1

01 Apr 21 Wetherby Top Up The Fashion (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran PU 9/1

01 Apr 21 Uttoxeter Ivilnoble (IRE)J: Paddy Brennan Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran PU 4/1

31 Mar 21 Southwell Commit Or Quit (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

20 Mar 21 Kempton Mistersister (FR)J: Harry Bannister Virgin Bet Free Bets For Winners Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 14/1

18 Mar 21 Cheltenham Will Victory (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan Parnell Properties Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 150/1

17 Mar 21 Cheltenham Defi Des Carres (FR)J: Harry Bannister Glenfarclas Chase (Cross Country Chase) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 30f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 28/1

07 Mar 21 Sedgefield The Lion Dancer (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Paxtons Record Market Share For Case IH Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 11/2

05 Mar 21 Doncaster Top Up The Fashion (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Virgin Bet Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran PU 10/1

28 Feb 21 Fontwell Won't Talk (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Champagne PIAFF Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 22/1

27 Feb 21 Kempton Mistersister (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan Close Brothers Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 200/1

22 Feb 21 Southwell Prabeni (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Download The At The Races App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 22/1

19 Feb 21 Fakenham The Dubai Way (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Tim Barclay Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Charlie Mann's strike rate?: Charlie Mann has won 313 of 2,272 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Mann do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 23 wins from 94 runners (24.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Charlie Mann?: Noel Fehily, with 653 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 117 (17.9%).
What is Charlie Mann's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 2,270 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.