What is Ewan Whillans's strike rate?

Ewan Whillans has won 116 of 1,358 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ewan Whillans do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 69 runners (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ewan Whillans?

Craig Nichol, with 219 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (11.9%).

Is Ewan Whillans in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ewan Whillans's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 1,347 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ewan Whillans

1,358 runners in the lifetime window · 129 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.5% of 292 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 10 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

116–1,358

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=1,358

317 (23%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=1,347 · 0.91 incl. margin

−150.44

£1 level stake

n=1,358 at SP · −11.1%

£1.43m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (81 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,358 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr 26.2% when favourite Craig Nichol: 11.9% from 219 Headgear returns: 13.6% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=81, Fair A/E 2.07), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.5% (n=202, Fair A/E 0.68). Craig Nichol rides 16% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.9% vs 8.5%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (17.1%, n=82). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 65 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.29 across 77 runners (1.3% strike, −68.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the bet365 Morebattle Hurdle at Kelso (Mar 2024, £61,728). The stable star of the record: Ramon Di Loria (IRE) — 10 wins from 90 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.5%−5.0

n=202 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −24.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.6%−1.9

n=91 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +37.00

Debutants · first career start

5.3%−3.2

n=38 · A/E 0.83 · £1 +19.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.6%+0.1

n=35 · A/E 2.16 · £1 +84.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.6%+5.1

n=81 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +58.88

When favourite

26.2%

n=61 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −7.64

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%−1.4

n=168 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −62.29

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+16.5

n=4 · A/E 5.27 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Firm going 17.1% vs 8.5% · n=82

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8.5% · n=65

With Peter Kavanagh 18.2% vs 8.5% · n=33

Over 1m – 1m1f 1.3% vs 8.5% · n=77

On last-time-out winners 14.8% vs 8.5% · n=115

With Sean Quinlan 15.9% vs 8.5% · n=44

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 802 59 7.4% −288.68

Hurdle 347 39 11.2% +90.16

Chase 144 13 9% −12.17

NH Flat 65 5 7.7% +60.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 385 40 10.4% +13.86

Standard (AW) 364 25 6.9% −107.17

Good to Soft 285 19 6.7% −17.92

Soft 187 13 7% −59.37

Good to Firm 82 14 17.1% +8.16

Heavy 55 5 9.1% +12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 236 12 5.1% −107.67

Ayr 176 17 9.7% −35.92

Musselburgh 125 11 8.8% −29.17

Hamilton 124 6 4.8% −72.17

Kelso 116 16 13.8% +42.45

Carlisle 75 7 9.3% +7.00

Perth 71 7 9.9% +41.38

Wolverhampton (AW) 69 10 14.5% +13.75

Hexham 51 5 9.8% +31.00

Southwell (AW) 50 3 6% −4.25

Newcastle 46 5 10.9% −8.92

Catterick 40 3 7.5% −15.25

Redcar 31 4 12.9% −5.00

Sedgefield 24 3 12.5% +25.50

Haydock 17 1 5.9% −12.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 498 43 8.6% −140.34

Class 5 384 26 6.8% −85.88

Class 4 311 27 8.7% +15.91

Class 3 86 10 11.6% +38.75

Class 2 70 9 12.9% +19.12

Class 1 9 1 11.1% +2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 75 21 28% 1.09 −2.23

2nd–3rd fav 219 35 16% 1.00 −16.71

4th–6th fav 488 42 8.6% 1.14 −4.50

7th+ in betting 576 18 3.1% 1.03 −127.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ramon Di Loria (IRE)from Tracey Collins 90 10 36 7 Nov 26

Billy Bathgate (GB)from Alistair Whillans 63 6 21 20 Oct 26

Ebony Maw (GB)from G M Lyons 53 5 20 27 Oct 26

Zephlyn (IRE) 50 5 13 7 Nov 26

Scots Poet (GB)from Alistair Whillans 48 9 20 24 Oct 26

Millbuie (GB) 34 0 6 31 Oct 26

Topkapi Star (GB)from Amy Murphy 32 4 6 4 Feb 26

Cracking Destiny (IRE)from Alistair Whillans 32 4 8 30 Oct 25

Desert Quest (IRE)from Alistair Whillans 31 4 11 16 Jul 26

Back Tomorrow (GB)from Richard Spencer 31 3 5 9 Feb 26

Hold The Note (IRE)from Mick Channon 24 2 4 30 Nov 25

Bella Bluesky (GB)from Alistair Whillans 24 3 7 5 Apr 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 129 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 47 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alistair Whillans (16) and Evan Williams (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for James Ewart (2) and Jim Goldie (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

913131378987756

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCraig Nichol

16% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.48

RiderRWSR£1

Craig Nichol 219 26 11.9% +134.87

Rowan Scott 182 15 8.2% −71.09

Callum Bewley 84 5 6% +9.00

Jason Hart 83 10 12% −5.25

Greg Fairley 62 8 12.9% +20.83

P J McDonald 59 4 6.8% +13.50

Sean Quinlan 44 7 15.9% +28.83

Ryan Sexton 39 5 12.8% +13.50

Danny McMenamin 35 4 11.4% +7.83

Peter Kavanagh 33 6 18.2% +45.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

116

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.43m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 32 wins

Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£61,728

Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2025 · Class 2

£61,728

Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) — Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2025 · Grade 2

£56,270

Notable horses

Ramon Di Loria (IRE) Scots Poet (GB) Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) Billy Bathgate (GB) Luminaries (IRE) Ebony Maw (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.2% · 13–141

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Iffraaj (GB) 9.5% · 10–105

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,996 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).

New Approach (IRE) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,794 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.

Yeats (IRE) 18% · 11–61

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,853 runs since 2013 (708 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Leading Light (IRE) 16.3% · 8–49

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,216 runs since 2018 (226 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Nathaniel (IRE) 7% · 3–43

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,118 runs since 2016 (642 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,358 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,358 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 August 2021 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Betsy Bluesky (GB)J: Craig Nichol Book Your Christmas Party Here Mares' Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 50/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Kingston Bridge (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Christmas Community Raceday 13th December Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 33/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso It's All About You (IRE)J: Craig Nichol luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed The Night Before Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 11th 25/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Ramon Di Loria (IRE)J: Greg Fairley Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 40/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Zephlyn (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 5th 16/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Inappropriate (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 12/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Star Of Guiting (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 7/1

06 Nov 26 Hexham Diamond Mix (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Sidgwick Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 15/8

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Lucky Tiger (GB)J: Brian Hughes attheraces.com/marketmovers "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 7th 9/4F

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Galahad Threepwood (GB)J: Greg Fairley Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 9/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Parole Officer (GB)J: William Pyle Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 22/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Luminaries (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Christmas Parties At Sedgefield Racecourse Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 9/4

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Millbuie (GB)J: William Pyle Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 40/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Koa Beau (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Breeders' Cup On Sky Sports Racing Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Ebony Maw (GB)J: Jason Hart Bet At racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 17/2

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Luminaries (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 9/4

26 Oct 26 Redcar Parole Officer (GB)J: Greg Fairley Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 11/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Scots Poet (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/2

20 Oct 26 Hexham Blakey Boy (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/4

20 Oct 26 Hexham Billy Bathgate (GB)J: Craig Nichol Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ewan Whillans's strike rate?: Ewan Whillans has won 116 of 1,358 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ewan Whillans do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 69 runners (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ewan Whillans?: Craig Nichol, with 219 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (11.9%).
Is Ewan Whillans in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ewan Whillans's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 1,347 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.