What is Karen Tutty's strike rate?

Karen Tutty has won 98 of 1,246 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Karen Tutty do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 7 wins from 47 runners (14.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Karen Tutty?

Gemma Tutty, with 780 runners since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 70 (9%).

What is Karen Tutty's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 1,240 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Karen Tutty

1,246 runners in the lifetime window · 100 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2022

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

98–1,246

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=1,246

295 (24%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=1,240 · 0.92 incl. margin

−131.03

£1 level stake

n=1,246 at SP · −10.5%

£530k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (82 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,246 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 31.4% when favourite Gemma Tutty: 9% from 780 Claiming riders: 9% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (14.3%, n=84), Beverley (13.4%, n=142) and Hamilton (14.9%, n=47) — all clear of the yard's 7.9% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (2.8% over 106 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.6% (n=138, Fair A/E 0.72). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +3.64 to a £1 stake over 925 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Gemma Tutty rides 63% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.9% over 54 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Talent Scout (IRE) — 9 wins from 60 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.6%−4.3

n=138 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −65.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5%−2.9

n=80 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +2.33

Debutants · first career start

4.8%−3.1

n=21 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +13.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.8%−3.1

n=21 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −15.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.8%+1.9

n=82 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +50.50

When favourite

31.4%

n=35 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +4.81

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%+1.1

n=925 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +3.64

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Shane Gray 0% vs 7.9% · n=45

At Carlisle 14.3% vs 7.9% · n=84

At Beverley 13.4% vs 7.9% · n=142

At Hamilton 14.9% vs 7.9% · n=47

Over 1m5f – 2m 1.9% vs 7.9% · n=54

At Southwell (AW) 2.8% vs 7.9% · n=106

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,115 91 8.2% −66.69

Hurdle 104 5 4.8% −49.67

Chase 16 2 12.5% −3.67

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 336 17 5.1% −101.32

Good to Firm 335 40 11.9% +82.71

Good 293 21 7.2% −40.42

Good to Soft 134 8 6% −51.00

Soft 132 11 8.3% −12.00

Heavy 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 149 6 4% −83.00

Beverley 142 19 13.4% +50.25

Southwell (AW) 106 3 2.8% −36.00

Redcar 102 11 10.8% +17.38

Thirsk 98 7 7.1% +11.50

Catterick 91 3 3.3% −52.00

Carlisle 84 12 14.3% +11.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 68 6 8.8% +17.95

Hamilton 47 7 14.9% +20.75

Pontefract 42 1 2.4% −37.50

Newcastle 36 2 5.6% −13.00

Musselburgh 35 4 11.4% +1.00

Sedgefield 29 2 6.9% +0.00

Wetherby 26 2 7.7% −4.67

Nottingham 23 2 8.7% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 643 56 8.7% +55.68

Class 5 443 33 7.4% −107.96

Class 4 149 8 5.4% −80.75

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 7 5 1 20% +8.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 13 27.1% 1.24 +1.56

2nd–3rd fav 184 29 15.8% 1.11 −10.59

4th–6th fav 388 31 8% 1.04 −3.00

7th+ in betting 626 25 4% 1.05 −119.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gaelic Wizard (IRE)from Dominic Ffrench Davis 76 8 20 29 Oct 18

Talent Scout (IRE)from Tim Walford 60 9 17 22 Jun 18

Under Approval (GB)from David O'Meara 46 4 7 19 Jun 17

I'm Super Too (IRE)from Alan Swinbank 41 3 10 26 Sep 17

Twin Appeal (IRE)from David Barron · then Gemma Tutty 38 3 11 9 Jun 21

Novabridge (GB)from John Butler 36 4 11 29 Mar 19

Mercers Row (GB)from Noel Wilson · then Michael Herrington 35 4 12 28 Jul 15

Harare (GB)from Richard Price 35 4 9 14 Jun 13

Jorvik Prince (GB)then Julia Brooke 34 5 13 11 Jan 19

Cool Strutter (IRE)from Andrew Balding · then John Spearing 34 1 9 1 Jun 18

Ideal Candy (IRE)from Andrew Crook 32 2 12 17 Nov 20

Percy's Gal (GB) 32 2 11 1 Nov 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 100 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 49 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary Moore (3) and Roger Fell (3); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Gemma Tutty (7); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5304121410613148

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGemma Tutty

63% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 1.16

RiderRWSR£1

Gemma Tutty 780 70 9% +18.48

Sam James 46 4 8.7% −6.67

Shane Gray 45 0 0% −45.00

Miss Phillipa Tutty 44 1 2.3% −34.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£530k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 15 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Talent Scout (IRE) — Carlisle Racecourse Handicap Carlisle · Jul 2014 · Class 4

£5,822

Percy's Gal (GB) — ApolloBet Enhanced Derby Special Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Flat Sprint Series Qualifier) Carlisle · Jun 2015 · Class 4

£5,175

Talent Scout (IRE) — Drive In Pallet Racking Handicap Beverley · Jul 2017 · Class 5

£5,041

Notable horses

Talent Scout (IRE) Gaelic Wizard (IRE) Jorvik Prince (GB) Under Approval (GB) Novabridge (GB) Mercers Row (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fasliyev (USA) 9.4% · 11–117

Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 13% · 10–77

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Kheleyf (USA) 14.5% · 9–62

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,552 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Kodiac (GB) 4% · 2–50

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Sir Percy (GB) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,154 runs since 2011 (473 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,249 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,249 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 June 2005 to 4 February 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Feb 22 Newcastle (AW) Elixsoft (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty MansionBet Beaten By A Head Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 50/1

21 Jan 22 Newcastle (AW) Elixsoft (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 25/1

14 Jan 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Elixsoft (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC Classified Selling StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 7/1

11 Jan 22 Southwell (AW) Treasure Troube (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen MansionBet Proud Partners Of The AWC Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 8/1

17 Dec 21 Southwell (AW) Elixsoft (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty Mansionbet Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 6th 14/1

16 Dec 21 Southwell (AW) Bar None (GB)J: Rowan Scott Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 14th 50/1

29 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Elixsoft (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty Read Katie Walsh On Betway Insider HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 25/1

26 Nov 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Shahnaz (IRE)J: James Sullivan Racing Welfare NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 50/1

20 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Mostly Cloudy (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty Coral Proud To Support British Racing EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard To Fast · 12 ran 10th 200/1

20 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Little Jo (GB)J: Gemma Tutty MansionBet Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1

13 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Elixsoft (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty Betway Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 10/1

13 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Her Way (GB)J: Gemma Tutty Betway Casino Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 50/1

12 Nov 21 Newcastle (AW) Freak Out (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty Play 4 To Score At Betway HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 20/1

08 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Mostly Cloudy (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Coral Proud To Support British Racing Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 28/1

25 Oct 21 Newcastle (AW) Elixsoft (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 33/1

25 Oct 21 Redcar Treasure Troube (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Natalie And Lauren Dealhoy NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 19 ran 8th 40/1

18 Oct 21 Pontefract Little Jo (GB)J: Gemma Tutty Allen Hinchcliffe Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 16/1

18 Oct 21 Bath Her Way (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 9th 40/1

13 Oct 21 Nottingham Sweet Madness (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty Join Racing TV Now NurseryClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 7/1

12 Oct 21 Newcastle (AW) Tangled (IRE)J: Gemma Tutty MansionBet Watch And Bet HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Karen Tutty's strike rate?: Karen Tutty has won 98 of 1,246 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Karen Tutty do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 7 wins from 47 runners (14.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Karen Tutty?: Gemma Tutty, with 780 runners since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 70 (9%).
What is Karen Tutty's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 1,240 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.