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Trainer profile

Kevin Morgan

512 runners in the lifetime window · 63 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2017
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
45–512
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=512
117 (23%)
Placed
1.07
Fair A/E
n=510 · 0.92 incl. margin
+19.63
£1 level stake
n=512 at SP · +3.8%
£212k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (168 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 512 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Aug Jimmy Quinn: 7.8% from 64 Claiming riders: 11.3%
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (14.7%, n=102), clear of the yard's 8.8% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.9% (n=123, Fair A/E 0.81). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 11.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.38 and +64.00 to a £1 stake over 168 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jimmy Quinn rode 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.8%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (13.6%, n=140) and off a 15-30-day break (13.3%, n=180). The stable star of the record was Taaresh (IRE) — 8 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.9%−3.9
n=123 · A/E 0.81 · £1 +2.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.8
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Debutants · first career start
3.7%−5.1
n=27 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.8
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8%−0.8
n=25 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −10.50
When favourite
17.2%
n=29 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −13.45
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.3%+2.5
n=168 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +64.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 20% vs 8.8% · n=60
With Pat Cosgrave 17.1% vs 8.8% · n=35
At Kempton (AW) 14.7% vs 8.8% · n=102
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 13.6% vs 8.8% · n=140
On last-time-out winners 14.9% vs 8.8% · n=47
Off a 15-30-day break 13.3% vs 8.8% · n=180
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 17.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 338 32 9.5% +36.80
Hurdle 115 10 8.7% +7.83
NH Flat 34 2 5.9% −9.00
Chase 25 1 4% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 232 23 9.9% +37.05
Good 129 13 10.1% +18.58
Good to Firm 57 2 3.5% −44.00
Good to Soft 45 3 6.7% +18.00
Soft 39 3 7.7% −4.00
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 102 15 14.7% +80.80
Lingfield (AW) 67 4 6% −4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 36 1 2.8% −29.50
Yarmouth 34 4 11.8% +33.75
Worcester 29 5 17.2% +54.00
Huntingdon 18 2 11.1% +20.00
Chelmsford (AW) 17 1 5.9% −9.00
Towcester 14 0 0% −14.00
Southwell 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Fakenham 12 1 8.3% −7.67
Market Rasen 11 1 9.1% −4.50
Leicester 11 2 18.2% +3.00
Hamilton 9 2 22.2% +3.50
Ludlow 9 0 0% −9.00
Haydock 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 184 15 8.2% +30.08
Class 6 168 15 8.9% −35.45
Class 4 104 11 10.6% +27.00
Class 3 32 2 6.3% −17.50
Class 7 13 1 7.7% +21.00
Class 2 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 36 5 13.9% 0.54 −20.45
2nd–3rd fav 79 19 24.1% 1.64 +46.08
4th–6th fav 176 10 5.7% 0.72 −92.00
7th+ in betting 221 11 5% 1.52 +86.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Taaresh (IRE)from John Dunlop 40 8 12 6 Oct 15
Isdaal (GB) 37 4 9 28 Oct 15
Camera Shy (IRE) 24 5 9 23 Jun 13
Raamz (IRE) 20 1 5 19 Oct 14
Cry Alot Boy (GB) 19 1 5 5 Aug 11
Dobravany (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 17 1 8 3 Jun 10
Go Ruby Go (GB) 16 0 2 10 Nov 14
Makhfar (IRE)from John Gosden · then Mark Usher 15 1 1 26 Dec 16
Haames (IRE) 15 0 0 5 Aug 16
Sotik Star (IRE)from Peter Makin 15 1 4 23 Jun 10
Mutajaaser (USA) 14 0 4 24 Jun 11
Takaamul (GB)from Kevin Prendergast 14 3 5 4 Aug 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 63 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Head (4) and Michael Cunningham (3); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for L J Morgan (2) and Mark Usher (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
74139715121031173
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJimmy Quinn
13% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 1.06
RiderRWSR£1
Jimmy Quinn 64 5 7.8% +43.00
Adam Wedge 62 6 9.7% +17.50
Pat Cosgrave 35 6 17.1% +27.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
58
Archived wins
£299k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kingkohler (IRE) — Global Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Sep 2005 · Class 3
£10,228
Markab (GB) — bet365 Call 08000 322 365 Handicap Newcastle · Apr 2008 · Class 2
£9,970
Markab (GB) — Play Bingo At ladbrokes.com Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Nov 2008 · Class 3
£9,714
Notable horses
Taaresh (IRE) Camera Shy (IRE) Isdaal (GB) Colophony (USA) Takaamul (GB) Markab (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sakhee (USA) 20% · 8–40
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,981 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 611. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.2% from 139.
Dubawi (IRE) 10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,989 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Karinga Bay (GB) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Haafhd (GB) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,753 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Pivotal (GB) 20.8% · 5–24
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Distant View (USA) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 5.2% of 249 runs since 2008 (23 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 755 · newest first

The latest 50 of 755 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 18 January 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Jan 17 Kempton (AW) Haaffa Sovereign (GB)J: Martin Harley Racing Uk Anywhere HandicapClass 7 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 8th 10/1
03 Jan 17 Musselburgh Hattaab (GB)J: Graham Lee racinguk.com Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 3/1F
26 Dec 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Makhfar (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Betway App Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 8/1
22 Dec 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Haaffa Sovereign (GB)J: Eoin Walsh Betway App HandicapClass 7 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 12/1
20 Dec 16 Kempton (AW) Muzaahim (IRE)J: Toby Eley Racing UK All Weather 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
09 Dec 16 Doncaster Kalaskadesemilley (GB)J: Tom Cheesman 25 Free Bet At 188bet Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 33/1
03 Dec 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Haaffa Sovereign (GB)J: Joshua Bryan Betway Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 33/1
01 Dec 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Makhfar (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Totepool Racecourse Cash Back Available HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 7/1
24 Nov 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Muzaahim (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Follow Us On Twitter At chelmsfordcrc Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 10/1
17 Nov 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Makhfar (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Totepool Racecourse Cashback Available HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 7/1
28 Oct 16 Newcastle (AW) Secret Dreamer (GB)J: Adam McNamara Gary Moss Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 8/1
28 Oct 16 Newcastle (AW) Haaffa Sovereign (GB)J: Joe Fanning Pinnacle-Share Prize Draw Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 33/1
27 Oct 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Makhfar (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Book Your Christmas Party At chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 3/1F
16 Oct 16 Newcastle (AW) Almutamarred (USA)J: Adam McNamara Equine Products Uk Ltd Pioneering New Frontiers HandicapClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 16/5
15 Oct 16 Stratford Kalaskadesemilley (GB)J: Tom Cheesman totepoolracing Follow Us On Twitter 'National Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 5/1
05 Oct 16 Kempton (AW) Makhfar (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 7th 7/2F
28 Sep 16 Bangor-on-Dee Kalaskadesemilley (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Barringtons Cleaning Ltd Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 15/8F
23 Sep 16 Haydock Almutamarred (USA)J: Adam McNamara JW Lees MPA HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 7/1
21 Sep 16 Kempton (AW) Secret Dreamer (GB)J: Adam Kirby 32Red Casino Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 6th 6/1
30 Aug 16 Worcester Kalaskadesemilley (GB)J: Tom Cheesman totepool Remembering Simon Bryson Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Morgan's strike rate?
Kevin Morgan has won 45 of 512 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Morgan do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 15 wins from 102 runners (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Morgan?
Jimmy Quinn, with 64 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.8%).
What is Kevin Morgan's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 510 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).