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Trainer profile

Paul Howling

1,518 runners in the lifetime window · 122 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2019 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
98–1,518
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=1,518
338 (22%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=1,515 · 0.67 incl. margin
−762.54
£1 level stake
n=1,518 at SP · −50.2%
£548k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,518 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 30.9% when favourite Jimmy Quinn: 9.6% from 343 Claiming riders: 7.2% Sent off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

It is weakest at Yarmouth (0% over 54 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.17 and −102.00 to a £1 stake over 110 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jimmy Quinn rode 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.6% vs 6.5%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.1% over 87 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Dvinsky (USA) — 15 wins from 152 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.9%−5.6
n=110 · A/E 0.17 · £1 −102.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.7%−2.8
n=81 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −54.17
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.5
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+10.2
n=12 · A/E 3.16 · £1 +3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.5
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
When favourite
30.9%
n=68 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +1.14
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.2%+0.7
n=223 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −91.76
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Tolley Dean 14.6% vs 6.5% · n=48
On last-time-out winners 12.8% vs 6.5% · n=109
At Yarmouth 0% vs 6.5% · n=54
Off a 61-180-day break 1.1% vs 6.5% · n=87
With headgear back on 0% vs 6.5% · n=35
With Joey Haynes 1.8% vs 6.5% · n=110
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,498 97 6.5% −748.04
Hurdle 17 0 0% −17.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00
Chase 1 1 100% +4.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 1,148 85 7.4% −497.03
Good to Firm 186 8 4.3% −116.01
Good 99 2 2% −86.00
Good to Soft 46 3 6.5% −24.50
Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Firm 10 0 0% −10.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 427 35 8.2% −132.37
Wolverhampton (AW) 305 24 7.9% −139.42
Lingfield (AW) 254 16 6.3% −146.42
Southwell (AW) 85 7 8.2% −52.82
Chelmsford (AW) 77 3 3.9% −26.00
Yarmouth 54 0 0% −54.00
Newmarket 41 2 4.9% −23.00
Windsor 24 0 0% −24.00
Brighton 21 1 4.8% −15.00
Newmarket 20 1 5% −12.50
Lingfield 18 0 0% −18.00
Nottingham 17 1 5.9% −10.00
Bath 15 1 6.7% +6.00
Doncaster 15 1 6.7% −7.00
Epsom Downs 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 669 47 7% −292.86
Class 5 428 18 4.2% −295.84
Class 4 242 17 7% −122.09
Class 7 74 8 10.8% −24.25
Class 3 60 6 10% −0.50
Class 2 39 2 5.1% −21.00
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 96 25 26% 1.14 −6.53
2nd–3rd fav 242 36 14.9% 0.98 −55.51
4th–6th fav 479 24 5% 0.61 −257.50
7th+ in betting 701 13 1.9% 0.49 −443.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dvinsky (USA)from Mark Allen · then Roger Ingram 125 12 44 15 Mar 13
Gallantry (GB)from Derek Shaw 79 8 19 20 Mar 13
Guildenstern (IRE)from Patrick Gilligan · then Jane Chapple-Hyam 58 5 17 8 Dec 10
Resplendent Ace (IRE)then John Price 54 8 21 9 Oct 10
White Shift (IRE)from David Evans 53 5 12 8 Oct 12
Resplendent Alpha (GB)from T G Mills · then Alastair Lidderdale 53 3 10 1 Dec 10
Figaro Flyer (IRE)from Mick Channon 50 3 14 7 Dec 11
Royal Envoy (IRE)from Derek Shaw 48 3 8 7 Mar 13
Grand Honour (IRE) 48 2 6 10 Aug 12
Our Kes (IRE)then Jane Chapple-Hyam 44 3 13 5 Dec 10
Resplendent Nova (GB)from T G Mills 36 3 10 9 Jun 10
Tamino (IRE)from Hughie Morrison · then Mark Brisbourne 35 2 11 3 Sep 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 122 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Derek Shaw (6) and Charles Hills (3); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

30 have since run for another yard, most often for Chelsea Banham (7) and Jane Chapple-Hyam (4); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9144662643685
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJimmy Quinn
23% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 1.04
RiderRWSR£1
Jimmy Quinn 343 33 9.6% −97.87
Ian Mongan 160 10 6.3% −97.42
Tom McLaughlin 110 7 6.4% −8.50
Joey Haynes 110 2 1.8% −90.00
Michael Stainton 96 9 9.4% −45.50
J-P Guillambert 94 6 6.4% −50.65
Tolley Dean 48 7 14.6% +2.66
Paul Doe 32 3 9.4% −13.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
183
Archived wins
£940k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 31 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Generous Thought (GB) — Six Whiting Street Conditions Stakes Newmarket · Jul 2008 · Class 2
£12,462
Stand Guard (GB) — Betdaqextra.com Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2009 · Class 2
£11,216
Ebraam (USA) — Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2009 · Class 3
£9,462
Notable horses
Dvinsky (USA) Figaro Flyer (IRE) Resplendent Ace (IRE) Gallantry (GB) Our Kes (IRE) Stand Guard (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stravinsky (USA) 9.6% · 12–125
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
Mozart (IRE) 5.9% · 5–85
Progeny have won 9% of 523 runs since 2008 (22 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.4% from 129.
Green Desert (USA) 10.1% · 8–79
Progeny have won 11% of 3,324 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.
Royal Applause (GB) 4.8% · 3–62
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Danetime (IRE) 8.6% · 5–58
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Trans Island (GB) 14.8% · 8–54
Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,686 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,686 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 July 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Jul 19 Newmarket Holy Tiber (IRE)J: Joey Haynes 32Red HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 25/1
10 Jul 19 Yarmouth Holy Tiber (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Great Yarmouth Supports Racing Welfare HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 14/1
28 Jun 19 Newmarket Cafe Espresso (GB)J: Joey Haynes Lettergold HandicapClass 4 · 13f · Good · 5 ran 4th 33/1
27 Jun 19 Newmarket Makambe (IRE)J: Jamie Spencer Chemtest Environmental Laboratories HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 6th 25/1
13 Jun 19 Yarmouth Miaella (GB)J: Joey Haynes Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Str)Class 6 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 16/1
13 Jun 19 Yarmouth Chocco Star (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Racing Welfare HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 18/1
09 Jun 19 Goodwood Makambe (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Bennington Family HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 20/1
08 Jun 19 Lingfield (AW) Voice of A Leader (IRE)J: Miss Chelsea Banham Buy2LetCars Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 11/2
01 Jun 19 Lingfield Axel Jacklin (GB)J: Joey Haynes Sky Sports Racing On Virgin 535 HandicapClass 6 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 50/1
01 Jun 19 Lingfield Slipalongtrevaskis (GB)J: Joey Haynes Malcolm Brown's Birthday Celebration HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th 12/1
27 May 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Holy Tiber (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 5/1
23 May 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Rosarno (IRE)J: Shane Gray Family Funday Monday 27th HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 16/1
23 May 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Slipalongtrevaskis (GB)J: Joey Haynes Family Funday Monday 27th HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 7/1
22 May 19 Yarmouth Miaella (GB)J: Joey Haynes Palm Court Hotel Of Great Yarmouth Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 20/1
22 May 19 Yarmouth Voice of A Leader (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Haven Hopton Park Handicap (Str)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th 10/1
21 May 19 Brighton Makambe (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Rag'n'Bone Man Here Live 27th July HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 9/1
18 May 19 Thirsk At Your Service (GB)J: Joey Haynes Scouting For Girls - Live At Thirskraces Friday 16th August Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 11th 25/1
17 May 19 Newmarket Axel Jacklin (GB)J: Joey Haynes Racing Tv HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 100/1
15 May 19 Yarmouth Holy Tiber (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Reade Catering Hogg Roasts At Yarmouth Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 12/1
10 May 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Rosarno (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Myracing.com For Daily Tips HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Howling's strike rate?
Paul Howling has won 98 of 1,518 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Howling do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 35 wins from 427 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul Howling?
Jimmy Quinn, with 343 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (9.6%).
What is Paul Howling's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 1,515 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).