What is Barry Brennan's strike rate?

Barry Brennan has won 81 of 1,187 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Barry Brennan do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Barry Brennan?

James Banks, with 66 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (13.6%).

Is Barry Brennan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Barry Brennan's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 1,187 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Barry Brennan

1,187 runners in the lifetime window · 262 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

81–1,187

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=1,187

211 (18%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=1,187 · 0.93 incl. margin

−171.03

£1 level stake

n=1,187 at SP · −14.4%

£630k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,187 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar James Banks: 13.6% from 66 Claiming riders: 8.2%

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +76.60 to a £1 stake over 561 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. James Banks rides 6% of the entries and beats the yard's average (13.6% vs 6.8%, A/E 1.65) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (18.4%, n=49). The stable star of the record: Hope's Wishes (GB) — 5 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.2%−1.6

n=305 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −24.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.5%−1.3

n=200 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +26.70

Debutants · first career start

3%−3.8

n=66 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −48.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.8

n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.9%+1.1

n=63 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −0.25

When favourite

44%

n=25 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +7.74

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%+1.4

n=561 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +76.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.8

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.7% vs 6.8% · n=75

Beyond 3m 18.4% vs 6.8% · n=49

With Kieran O'Neill 19.4% vs 6.8% · n=31

With Sam Twiston-Davies 16.7% vs 6.8% · n=42

With James Banks 13.6% vs 6.8% · n=66

With first-time headgear 0% vs 6.8% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 559 40 7.2% −189.09

Flat 346 21 6.1% +40.81

Chase 199 18 9% +42.25

NH Flat 83 2 2.4% −65.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 421 28 6.7% −47.72

Standard (AW) 202 12 5.9% −23.44

Good to Soft 184 15 8.2% −57.75

Soft 163 14 8.6% −11.12

Good to Firm 109 8 7.3% +32.25

Heavy 99 4 4% −54.25

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 74 6 8.1% −15.50

Fakenham 58 4 6.9% −38.75

Kempton (AW) 56 1 1.8% −49.50

Lingfield (AW) 55 1 1.8% +12.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 55 4 7.3% −4.84

Leicester 52 4 7.7% +31.00

Stratford 48 5 10.4% −13.75

Newton Abbot 46 3 6.5% +66.50

Worcester 45 1 2.2% −42.80

Huntingdon 44 3 6.8% −26.50

Fontwell 44 4 9.1% −12.00

Market Rasen 31 4 12.9% +27.50

Towcester 30 2 6.7% −20.25

Wincanton 28 1 3.6% −24.25

Southwell 27 1 3.7% −20.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 482 44 9.1% +115.08

Class 4 405 26 6.4% −137.76

Class 6 176 6 3.4% −75.00

Class 3 72 2 2.8% −51.50

Class 1 26 0 0% −26.00

Class 2 19 0 0% −19.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 14 43.8% 1.64 +12.82

2nd–3rd fav 163 27 16.6% 1.01 −27.25

4th–6th fav 412 26 6.3% 1.00 −78.80

7th+ in betting 580 14 2.4% 0.98 −77.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 449 29 6.5% −124.47

2m1f – 2m4f 264 14 5.3% −129.00

2m5f – 3m 129 9 7% −37.87

1m2f – 1m4f 124 7 5.6% −91.09

6f – 7f 80 7 8.8% +60.20

1m – 1m1f 66 4 6.1% +42.70

Over 3m 49 9 18.4% +96.50

Under 6f 26 2 7.7% +12.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 25 2 8% −15.25

2010 124 9 7.3% +31.50

2011 84 5 6% −16.80

2012 67 13 19.4% +4.41

2013 89 3 3.4% −62.50

2014 52 1 1.9% −48.25

2015 76 9 11.8% −14.00

2016 59 4 6.8% −37.00

2017 48 1 2.1% −35.00

2018 52 2 3.8% −16.00

2019 46 4 8.7% +18.25

2020 61 1 1.6% −10.00

2021 58 2 3.4% −47.00

2022 23 0 0% −23.00

2023 46 2 4.3% −34.50

2024 83 7 8.4% +33.91

2025 125 9 7.2% +36.25

2026 69 7 10.1% +63.95

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 748 54 7.2% +21.41

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 429 28 6.5% −42.34

5-7 runners 344 34 9.9% −71.50

11-13 runners 260 11 4.2% −81.05

14-16 runners 108 4 3.7% +43.00

2-4 runners 36 3 8.3% −28.34

17+ runners 10 1 10% +9.20

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.6% completed · 758 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 199 72.4% 5 5 44 0 1

Hurdle 559 82.1% 14 4 82 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bin End (GB)from Michael Bell 36 4 7 6 Mar 15

Hope's Wishes (GB)from Emma Lavelle 35 5 9 13 Feb 20

Changing The Guard (GB)from Dr Richard Newland · then Ryan Chapman 27 1 4 27 May 18

Bathcounty (IRE) 25 3 7 16 Mar 15

Lightentertainment (IRE)from Chris Gordon 22 2 4 30 Jan 20

Daraz Rose (IRE)from Norma Twomey 19 2 5 20 Nov 11

Rudinero (IRE)from Heather Dalton 18 2 6 12 Mar 14

Seahouses (GB)from Ralph Beckett 17 2 6 8 Sep 26

Manger Hanagment (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 17 1 3 2 Oct 15

Dreams Fled Away (IRE)from Shane Crawley 16 1 3 2 May 26

Put The Boot In (IRE)from A Oliver · then Nikki Evans 16 0 0 26 Apr 17

Kalaya (IRE)from Archie Watson 15 0 1 27 Nov 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 262 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 50 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Roger Curtis (3) and Andrew Balding (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard; 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

41095651196493

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Banks

6% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 1.65

RiderRWSR£1

James Banks 66 9 13.6% +8.75

Isabelle Ryder 59 7 11.9% +33.20

David Bass 47 2 4.3% −20.00

Chris Timmons 45 4 8.9% +23.50

Tom Broughton 44 3 6.8% −11.50

Sam Twiston-Davies 42 7 16.7% −11.54

Felix De Giles 39 3 7.7% −16.00

James Best 38 1 2.6% −23.00

Kieran O'Neill 31 6 19.4% +70.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

£630k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 13 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Worth (GB) — Prix De La Vie (Claimer) (3yo) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Mar 2012

£7,917

Sergeant Dick (IRE) — Coolmore National Hunt Sires Novices' Limited Handicap Chase Ffos Las · Nov 2013 · Class 3

£7,798

Dunstan (IRE) — Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Southwell (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 4

£7,642

Notable horses

Hope's Wishes (GB) Bin End (GB) Dunstan (IRE) Bathcounty (IRE) Swampfire (IRE) Caledonia Princess (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Best (USA) 7.9% · 5–63

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Kayf Tara (GB) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Heron Island (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.

Tobougg (IRE) 8.6% · 3–35

Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).

Old Vic (GB) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,188 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,188 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 February 2007 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Sixfiveseven (GB)J: Taylor Fisher racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 25/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Brodie's Boy (FR)J: William Cox Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 22/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Shengai Enki (FR)J: Isabelle Ryder Halo Leisure More Than Just A Gym Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 7/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Nzuri (GB)J: Rose Dawes Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 11/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Brodie's Boy (FR)J: Kieran O'Neill Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) The Sergeon (GB)J: Charles Bishop Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 4th 14/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Shengai Enki (FR)J: Isabelle Ryder Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 40/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Provision (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow 'four Years Old' Hurdle Race (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran F 8/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Jeewan (A)J: George Bass Carbonnetzero Handicap Stakes (Arab Race)10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 7/4

22 Sep 26 Fontwell Lady Fortune (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 13/2

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nzuri (GB)J: Rose Dawes Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 40/1

10 Sep 26 Epsom Skibo (GB)J: Tyler Heard Chigwell Group - The Trade's Front Runner Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 80/1

08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Seahouses (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Bangor-on-dee Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 5/1

08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Provision (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 85/40

06 Sep 26 Fontwell Milliedram (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Mares' Open National Hunt Flat RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 8/1

01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Jeewan (A)J: Ebrahim Nader Rapido Racing LTD Conditions Arab Stakes8f · Standard · 4 ran 2nd 11/2

30 Aug 26 Goodwood Rossbeigh (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Tattersalls Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 28/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Klervia (FR)J: Isabelle Ryder Neu-Servo Supports Larsen's Pride Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 14/1

22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Skibo (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Pink Lady Find Your Fizz Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 125/1

17 Aug 26 Windsor Nzuri (GB)J: Rose Dawes Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting Uk Racing Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 1st 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 12 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Barry Brennan's strike rate?: Barry Brennan has won 81 of 1,187 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Barry Brennan do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Barry Brennan?: James Banks, with 66 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (13.6%).
Is Barry Brennan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Barry Brennan's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 1,187 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.