What is Daniel Steele's strike rate?

Daniel Steele has won 37 of 586 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Daniel Steele do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Daniel Steele in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Daniel Steele's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 584 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Daniel Steele

586 runners in the lifetime window · 69 individual horses

As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

37–586

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=586

114 (20%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=584 · 0.88 incl. margin

−276.12

£1 level stake

n=586 at SP · −47.1%

£280k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 586 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Claiming riders: 6.5%

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −72.00 to a £1 stake over 106 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (13.2%, n=38). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 1.3% over 80 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Gold Souk (IRE) — 5 wins from 41 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.9%−4.4

n=106 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −72.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.7%−4.6

n=60 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −43.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.3

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.3%+7.0

n=15 · A/E 5.87 · £1 +11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.8%−2.5

n=53 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −41.50

When favourite

27.8%

n=18 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +0.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.5%+0.2

n=230 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −108.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Joshua Bryan 23.4% vs 6.3% · n=47

With C&D winners 14.5% vs 6.3% · n=76

On last-time-out winners 15.8% vs 6.3% · n=38

With Freddie Mitchell 13.9% vs 6.3% · n=36

At trips under 6f 13.2% vs 6.3% · n=38

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1.3% vs 6.3% · n=80

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 381 27 7.1% −163.12

Hurdle 160 8 5% −89.00

Chase 33 2 6.1% −12.00

NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 231 16 6.9% −108.12

Soft 97 9 9.3% −13.50

Good 93 5 5.4% −66.50

Good to Soft 65 1 1.5% −59.50

Good to Firm 53 2 3.8% −30.00

Heavy 46 4 8.7% +2.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 99 8 8.1% −37.00

Plumpton 78 7 9% −11.50

Brighton 76 3 3.9% −45.00

Kempton (AW) 63 2 3.2% −53.62

Fontwell 55 1 1.8% −52.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 34 4 11.8% −14.00

Lingfield 28 3 10.7% +6.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 27 2 7.4% +4.50

Goodwood 14 1 7.1% −8.50

Wincanton 11 0 0% −11.00

Sandown 8 0 0% −8.00

Southwell (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Windsor 7 0 0% −7.00

Yarmouth 7 1 14.3% −3.00

Salisbury 7 2 28.6% +16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 217 22 10.1% −24.62

Class 5 211 11 5.2% −137.00

Class 4 115 4 3.5% −71.50

Class 3 27 0 0% −27.00

Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 7 31.8% 1.39 +4.88

2nd–3rd fav 67 11 16.4% 1.09 −4.50

4th–6th fav 185 16 8.6% 1.20 −20.50

7th+ in betting 312 3 1% 0.41 −256.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gold Souk (IRE)from Mark Johnston 41 5 11 23 Oct 25

Fai Fai (GB)from Antony Brittain 34 2 13 15 Oct 26

Taskheer (IRE)from Edward Bethell · then Gary & Josh Moore 34 4 11 16 Jun 26

We'renotreallyhere (GB)from John Quinn 32 2 8 29 Sep 25

The Defiant (GB)from Paul Midgley · then Luke Dace 26 5 13 9 Aug 23

Tee It Up Tommo (IRE)from Sheena West 25 2 4 1 May 18

Blue Collar Lad (GB)from Alice Haynes 23 2 8 15 Oct 26

Clongowes (IRE)from J S Bolger 23 0 5 4 May 24

Chivers (IRE)from Sheena West 22 2 6 1 Oct 22

According To Them (IRE)from Nick Gifford 20 2 4 31 Jan 17

Hold The Bucks (USA)from Adrian Chamberlain 16 4 6 7 Jan 18

Landscape (FR)from Sheena West · then Michael Appleby 14 0 3 12 Mar 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 69 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 50 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sheena West (5) and Lee Carter (4); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Appleby (4) and Johnny Farrelly (3); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

311134127575433

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRhys Clutterbuck

8% of all rides
4.2% SR · A/E 0.73

RiderRWSR£1

Rhys Clutterbuck 48 2 4.2% −38.50

Joshua Bryan 47 11 23.4% +57.38

Freddie Mitchell 36 5 13.9% +5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£280k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 6 wins

Gold Souk (IRE) — Truespeed Championing The South West Handicap Bath · Apr 2023 · Class 6

£13,608

Chivers (IRE) — Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Goodwood · May 2018 · Class 5

£5,175

Tee It Up Tommo (IRE) — toteexacta At betfred.com Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · May 2017 · Class 5

£5,175

Notable horses

Gold Souk (IRE) The Defiant (GB) Taskheer (IRE) Hold The Bucks (USA) Skimming Along (IRE) Fai Fai (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Casamento (IRE) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,622 runs since 2008 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Acclamation (GB) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 10% of 19,693 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Clodovil (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.

Golden Horn (GB) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,739 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 162. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 233.

Camacho (GB) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,321 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Morpheus (GB) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 586 · newest first

The latest 50 of 586 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 November 2012 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 33/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 3/1F

15 Oct 26 Brighton Skimming Along (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/2

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 66/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 14/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Skimming Along (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 25/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 33/1

08 Sep 26 Goodwood Lady Mcc (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 125/1

01 Sep 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Harry Vigors Streamline Supports The Martlets Hospice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 5th 50/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Wise Counsellor (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn EBCS Hideout Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 18/1

16 Jun 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Taskheer (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Classified StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 20/1

09 Jun 26 Brighton Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Tyler Heard Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk 'Confined' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 10th 40/1

09 Jun 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Christian Howarth Bet Now With fairplaybet.co.uk Apprentice Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2J

08 May 26 Chester Wise Counsellor (GB)J: Joe Bradnam Chester Roman Day On 30th May Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 100/1

06 May 26 Kempton (AW) Taskheer (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 9th 11/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Skimming Along (IRE)J: David Probert Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 10/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Olivia Tubb Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Lady Mcc (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Free Bets On attheraces.com Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 80/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Fai Fai (GB)J: Ashley Lewis 13th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/2F

28 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Crimson Dawn (GB)J: Rose Dawes Download The At The Races App Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniel Steele's strike rate?: Daniel Steele has won 37 of 586 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniel Steele do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Daniel Steele in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Daniel Steele's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 584 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.