What is David Evans's strike rate?

David Evans has won 1,395 of 13,394 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Evans do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 37 wins from 276 runners (13.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Evans?

Cathy Gannon, with 872 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (10.8%).

Is David Evans in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Evans's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 13,311 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Evans

13,394 runners in the lifetime window · 1,137 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.8% of 409 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 29 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,395–13,394

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=13,394

3,840 (29%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=13,311 · 0.85 incl. margin

−2,844.18

£1 level stake

n=13,394 at SP · −21.2%

£10.7m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 700 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (461 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 13,394 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 33.3% when favourite Cathy Gannon: 10.8% from 872 New recruits: 12.8% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.8% (n=289, Fair A/E 0.93). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 12.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.40 and +152.98 to a £1 stake over 461 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Cathy Gannon rides 7% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (17.3%, n=104). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4.8% over 291 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Wokingham Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2022, £94,500). The stable star of the record: Forest Edge (IRE) — 16 wins from 61 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.9%−3.5

n=954 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −56.94

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.8%+2.4

n=461 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +152.98

Debutants · first career start

5.3%−5.1

n=657 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −177.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.9%−1.5

n=395 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −85.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.8%−0.6

n=502 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −115.07

When favourite

33.3%

n=1,140 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −62.27

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.4%−1.0

n=4,106 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −1,342.79

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−5.6

n=289 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −104.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.6% vs 10.4% · n=1,371

With Adam Kirby 16.9% vs 10.4% · n=581

With Rossa Ryan 16.8% vs 10.4% · n=273

With debutants 5.3% vs 10.4% · n=657

In Chase races 17.3% vs 10.4% · n=104

In Class 1 4.8% vs 10.4% · n=291

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 12,860 1335 10.4% −2,752.59

Hurdle 364 37 10.2% −84.17

Chase 104 18 17.3% +13.08

NH Flat 66 5 7.6% −20.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 6,338 701 11.1% −1,483.08

Good to Firm 2,424 255 10.5% −393.61

Good 2,054 173 8.4% −507.59

Good to Soft 1,090 118 10.8% −105.69

Soft 933 92 9.9% −200.31

Firm 290 30 10.3% −40.48

Heavy 265 26 9.8% −113.42

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 2,673 301 11.3% −619.43

Lingfield 1,359 162 11.9% −401.35

Kempton (AW) 1,046 91 8.7% −318.86

Southwell (AW) 714 93 13% −80.63

Windsor 687 68 9.9% −158.58

Chepstow 683 77 11.3% −105.37

Bath 499 51 10.2% −112.46

Chester 474 42 8.9% −106.74

Leicester 443 45 10.2% −80.57

Chelmsford (AW) 425 41 9.6% −68.76

Ffos Las 418 46 11% −54.42

Salisbury 366 40 10.9% +26.10

Brighton 276 37 13.4% +9.22

Newbury 253 16 6.3% −12.75

Nottingham 240 27 11.3% +44.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 4,532 609 13.4% −367.93

Class 5 4,402 437 9.9% −1,187.14

Class 4 2,548 197 7.7% −693.30

Class 3 876 77 8.8% −254.69

Class 2 662 56 8.5% −179.24

Class 1 291 14 4.8% −106.50

Class 7 53 4 7.5% −28.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,394 441 31.6% 1.11 −56.69

2nd–3rd fav 3,056 488 16% 0.97 −416.52

4th–6th fav 4,521 328 7.3% 0.90 −1,027.97

7th+ in betting 4,423 138 3.1% 0.90 −1,343.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 5,948 585 9.8% −1,327.23

Under 6f 2,448 294 12% −469.34

1m – 1m1f 2,309 217 9.4% −515.44

1m2f – 1m4f 1,700 195 11.5% −287.70

1m5f – 2m 716 73 10.2% −180.11

2m1f – 2m4f 157 16 10.2% −22.14

2m5f – 3m 94 11 11.7% −38.10

Over 3m 22 4 18.2% −4.12

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 872 92 10.6% −126.70

2009 1,033 124 12% −74.47

2010 1,121 102 9.1% −419.41

2011 891 81 9.1% −307.41

2012 922 98 10.6% −107.57

2013 916 117 12.8% −147.74

2014 729 69 9.5% −182.54

2015 720 90 12.5% +15.03

2016 744 72 9.7% −258.47

2017 894 82 9.2% −328.61

2018 620 42 6.8% −283.98

2019 602 67 11.1% −90.23

2020 544 50 9.2% −129.01

2021 592 69 11.7% −87.79

2022 541 65 12% −142.56

2023 484 56 11.6% −74.64

2024 442 45 10.2% +60.46

2025 412 43 10.4% −128.83

2026 315 31 9.8% −29.71

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 9,071 914 10.1% −2,117.05

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 4,969 488 9.8% −1,260.99

11-13 runners 3,912 327 8.4% −783.02

5-7 runners 2,867 436 15.2% −305.07

14-16 runners 1,035 81 7.8% −181.11

17+ runners 333 11 3.3% −208.12

2-4 runners 278 52 18.7% −105.87

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Memphis Man (GB)from Mark Brisbourne · then Milton Bradley 134 8 33 12 Dec 12

Al's Memory (IRE) 101 11 35 8 Dec 17

Lihou (GB) 94 12 31 17 Feb 25

Carcinetto (IRE)from Bryn Palling 93 5 18 19 Dec 11

Level Up (IRE)from Amanda Perrett 90 14 37 28 Oct 26

Black Dave (IRE) 89 11 28 29 Mar 18

Haadeeth (GB)from Richard Fahey 77 5 24 21 Jul 15

Dark Lane (GB)from Tony Carroll 73 9 24 13 Dec 14

Satchville Flyer (GB)from Brett Johnson · then Milton Bradley 69 6 23 15 Sep 19

Vhujon (IRE)then Peter Grayson 69 6 21 13 Jan 11

Verse Of Love (GB) 66 9 20 28 Feb 15

Mabre (IRE) 62 8 24 30 Jul 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,137 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 40 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barney Curley (2) and Jeremy Gask (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian Williams (2) and Milton Bradley (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12129121091110981112

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCathy Gannon

7% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 1.16

RiderRWSR£1

Cathy Gannon 872 94 10.8% −48.75

J F Egan 858 79 9.2% −293.98

Adam Kirby 581 98 16.9% −96.96

Richard Evans 572 53 9.3% −206.42

Declan Bates 349 27 7.7% −74.25

Matt Cosham 337 38 11.3% −54.72

Stevie Donohoe 284 29 10.2% +5.05

Rossa Ryan 273 46 16.8% +35.29

Pat Cosgrave 259 30 11.6% +125.01

Eoin Walsh 237 20 8.4% −123.55

Darragh Keenan 231 23 10% −72.85

Andrew Heffernan 225 26 11.6% −94.57

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,544

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£11.7m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 124 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rohaan (IRE) — Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2022 · Class 2

£94,500

Rohaan (IRE) — Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2021 · Class 2

£64,800

The Kiddykid (IRE) — Hearthstead Homes Duke Of York Stakes (Group 2) York · May 2005 · Group 2

£58,000

Notable horses

Forest Edge (IRE) Level Up (IRE) King's Code (GB) Memphis Man (GB) Lihou (GB) I Confess (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10% · 47–472

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,566 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Mayson (GB) 15% · 41–274

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,381 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,730. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Zebedee (GB) 9.7% · 26–267

Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).

Camacho (GB) 7.7% · 18–233

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,322 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Baltic King (GB) 11.6% · 25–215

Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,458 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 147. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 254.

Danetime (IRE) 8.8% · 18–204

Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 15,145 · newest first

The latest 50 of 15,145 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Level Up (IRE)J: Amy Tucker Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 25/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Blue Prince (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 5th 10/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Bath Taverness (GB)J: Robert Dunne tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 20/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Knightmare (IRE)J: Jack Callan Aw Trails Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 12/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Undercover Affair (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Awc Season 14 Has Begun Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 4 ran 1st 6/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Early Release (GB)J: Alexandra McDonnell Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 66/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ard As A Rock (IRE)J: William Carson Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 18/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Little Jaybee (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Bath Absolute Diamond (IRE)J: Amy Tucker Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 50/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Rupertsbeenrumbled (GB)J: Finley Marsh Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Level Up (IRE)J: Amy Tucker Big Stage Hire Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 25/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Angel Ang (IRE)J: Alexandra McDonnell Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Blue Prince (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) My A'ali Baba (GB)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 4th 40/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Persian Land (IRE)J: John Egan Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 20/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Bath Taverness (GB)J: Robert Dunne Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 100/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Meet Me In Meraki (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 7th 5/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Garth Spirit (GB)J: Joe Leavy Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 250/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lihou Lady (GB)J: Joe Leavy Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 40/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Alice's Influence (GB)J: Alexandra McDonnell Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 7th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Evans's strike rate?: David Evans has won 1,395 of 13,394 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Evans do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 37 wins from 276 runners (13.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Evans?: Cathy Gannon, with 872 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (10.8%).
Is David Evans in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Evans's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 13,311 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.