What is David Loughnane's strike rate?

David Loughnane has won 353 of 3,585 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Loughnane do best at?

Beverley by strike rate: 15 wins from 92 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Loughnane?

Rossa Ryan, with 429 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (14.2%).

Is David Loughnane in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Loughnane's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 3,567 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Loughnane

3,585 runners in the lifetime window · 429 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.7% of 401 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

353–3,585

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=3,585

991 (28%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=3,567 · 0.88 incl. margin

−658.45

£1 level stake

n=3,585 at SP · −18.4%

£4.17m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (187 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,585 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Apr 30.9% when favourite Rossa Ryan: 14.2% from 429 New recruits: 12.8% Claiming riders: 10.5% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Windsor (19%, n=58), clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.8% (n=187, Fair A/E 1.40), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=145, Fair A/E 0.73). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −43.25 to a £1 stake over 120 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Rossa Ryan rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.2% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 33 runners, 9.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.32 across 70 runners (1.4% strike, −57.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom Downs (Jun 2026, £70,888). The stable star of the record: Sparks Fly (GB) — 13 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.4%−0.4

n=449 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −16.05

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.8%+3.0

n=187 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +23.75

Debutants · first career start

6.4%−3.4

n=250 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −40.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.5%−4.3

n=145 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −42.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.7%−3.1

n=120 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −43.25

When favourite

30.9%

n=272 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −18.57

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.5%+0.7

n=915 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −45.91

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.6%+0.8

n=132 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −35.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Richard Kingscote 17.6% vs 9.8% · n=136

With Silvestre De Sousa 19.6% vs 9.8% · n=46

At Windsor 19% vs 9.8% · n=58

With Alain Cawley 0% vs 9.8% · n=39

In Hurdle races 1.4% vs 9.8% · n=70

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 9.8% · n=33

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 38.8% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,486 350 10% −582.78

Hurdle 70 1 1.4% −57.00

NH Flat 15 1 6.7% −13.17

Chase 14 1 7.1% −5.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,752 188 10.7% −240.24

Good 677 57 8.4% −122.75

Good to Firm 508 53 10.4% −38.30

Good to Soft 304 25 8.2% −120.42

Soft 264 22 8.3% −108.42

Heavy 75 8 10.7% −23.32

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 892 92 10.3% −82.64

Southwell (AW) 223 28 12.6% +24.23

Lingfield (AW) 209 28 13.4% −48.95

Kempton (AW) 194 19 9.8% −14.69

Chester 192 15 7.8% −15.25

Haydock 173 8 4.6% −104.04

Chelmsford (AW) 124 14 11.3% −42.02

Leicester 109 13 11.9% +5.13

Newcastle (AW) 105 6 5.7% −73.00

Doncaster 94 4 4.3% −67.25

Beverley 92 15 16.3% +50.16

Nottingham 91 10 11% −7.00

Chepstow 76 6 7.9% −49.01

Carlisle 70 5 7.1% −32.37

Catterick 67 9 13.4% +11.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,352 129 9.5% −212.10

Class 4 884 92 10.4% −67.72

Class 6 713 78 10.9% −178.91

Class 3 288 17 5.9% −159.88

Class 2 193 20 10.4% −4.34

Class 1 132 14 10.6% −35.50

Class 7 6 2 33.3% +4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 319 93 29.2% 1.04 −26.24

2nd–3rd fav 713 95 13.3% 0.85 −192.31

4th–6th fav 1,283 120 9.4% 1.18 −96.50

7th+ in betting 1,270 45 3.5% 1.06 −343.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Critical Thinking (IRE)from Kevin Frost 72 9 28 29 Apr 22

Seamster (GB)from David O'Meara 70 9 31 10 Sep 19

Baby Steps (GB) 56 4 30 17 Mar 23

Stringybark Creek (GB)from Johnny Farrelly 42 7 13 31 Jan 21

Fizzy Feet (IRE) 41 8 18 26 Feb 22

Bahuta Acha (GB)then Michael Mullineaux 41 5 14 3 Oct 20

Plumette (GB)from Richard Fahey 36 6 15 25 Feb 25

Richard R H B (IRE)then Michael Appleby 36 4 8 5 Oct 22

Dance Time (GB) 34 6 17 4 Sep 26

Mojomaker (IRE) 33 1 12 24 Jun 25

Rockesbury (GB)from Kevin Frost · then Phil McEntee 33 2 9 2 Mar 20

Amber Island (IRE)from Charlie Appleby 32 6 12 16 Dec 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 429 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David O'Meara (4) and D K Weld (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Francois Monfort (2) and Lucinda Egerton (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12121312101169771014

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRossa Ryan

12% of all rides
14.2% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Rossa Ryan 429 61 14.2% −24.23

Laura Pearson 402 42 10.4% −56.56

Thomas Greatrex 190 22 11.6% +59.08

Richard Kingscote 136 24 17.6% −10.49

Pat Cosgrave 115 9 7.8% −48.50

Sam James 113 8 7.1% −65.50

Hollie Doyle 107 14 13.1% +6.44

David Egan 101 7 6.9% −43.20

Connor Planas 94 8 8.5% +17.50

Ben Curtis 93 10 10.8% +18.38

Laura Coughlan 90 11 12.2% +15.50

Cameron Noble 84 10 11.9% −15.37

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

353

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.17m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 44 wins

Sparks Fly (GB) — Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) Epsom Downs · Jun 2026 · Group 3

£70,888

Go Bears Go (IRE) — GAIN Railway Stakes (Group 2) Curragh · Jun 2021 · Group 2

£59,000

Hello You (IRE) — Unibet Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Newmarket · Sep 2021 · Group 2

£51,039

Notable horses

Sparks Fly (GB) Critical Thinking (IRE) Seamster (GB) Fizzy Feet (IRE) Stringybark Creek (GB) Plumette (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.4% · 13–97

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,871 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Mehmas (IRE) 8.2% · 8–97

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,233 runs since 2020 (754 horses).

Muhaarar (GB) 24.7% · 20–81

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,828 runs since 2019 (415 horses).

Far Above (IRE) 13.8% · 11–80

Progeny have won 8.6% of 650 runs since 2024 (71 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.9% from 104.

Kodi Bear (IRE) 10.3% · 8–78

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,995 runs since 2020 (392 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 263.

Kodiac (GB) 10.4% · 8–77

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,585 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,585 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 February 2016 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Far Too Fizzy (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 9/2

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) This Farh (GB)J: Callum Shepherd AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 18/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) This Rib (GB)J: Jack Doughty Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 14/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snaafy (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 5/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Jamie Sommers (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Reciprocated (GB)J: Hollie Doyle All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 9/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lopefernza (GB)J: Rowan Scott ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 12/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Oratorical (GB)J: Hector Crouch Thank You To Our Loyal Annual Members Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 33/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Imelda (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Flash Rascal (GB)J: Kevin Stott All-weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 18/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Maximus Meridius (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 14/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snaafy (GB)J: Rowan Scott AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 20/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) It'sneverjustone (GB)J: Hector Crouch AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 5/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Metamouse (IRE)J: Jack Callan Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 9/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Reciprocated (GB)J: Jack Doughty Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Nicamoo (GB)J: Jack Doughty British Stallion Studs Future Stayers EBF Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 200/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Walt (IRE)J: David Egan Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yoko (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Do Bronxs (IRE)J: David Egan Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 12th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Far Too Fizzy (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Cavani Champion Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Loughnane's strike rate?: David Loughnane has won 353 of 3,585 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Loughnane do best at?: Beverley by strike rate: 15 wins from 92 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Loughnane?: Rossa Ryan, with 429 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (14.2%).
Is David Loughnane in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Loughnane's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 3,567 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.