What is Grant Tuer's strike rate?

Grant Tuer has won 280 of 2,399 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Grant Tuer do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 30 wins from 138 runners (21.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Grant Tuer?

Sam James, with 851 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 107 (12.6%).

Is Grant Tuer in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Grant Tuer's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 2,389 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Grant Tuer

2,399 runners in the lifetime window · 203 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.5% of 270 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

280–2,399

Wins / Runs

11.7%

Strike rate

n=2,399

762 (32%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=2,389 · 0.92 incl. margin

−423.28

£1 level stake

n=2,399 at SP · −17.6%

£2.98m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). With a claiming rider up the record reads 14% (363 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,399 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun 33.6% when favourite Sam James: 12.6% from 851 New recruits: 12.5% Claiming riders: 14.3% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (21.7%, n=138), clear of the yard's 11.7% baseline. Debutants struggle at 2.5% (n=119, Fair A/E 0.47). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +82.44 to a £1 stake over 342 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sam James rides 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.6%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.6%, n=228). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap at Ripon (Aug 2023, £51,540). The stable star of the record: Bellarchi (IRE) — 13 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.4%−0.3

n=342 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +82.44

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.5%+0.8

n=80 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −0.50

Debutants · first career start

2.5%−9.2

n=119 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −91.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10%−1.7

n=30 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −9.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.5%−1.2

n=57 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +41.20

When favourite

33.6%

n=241 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +2.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.3%+2.6

n=363 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −10.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.7%−9.0

n=37 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −30.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Musselburgh 21.7% vs 11.7% · n=138

Off a 0-7-day break 20.6% vs 11.7% · n=228

On last-time-out winners 19.6% vs 11.7% · n=281

With debutants 2.5% vs 11.7% · n=119

With C&D winners 17.9% vs 11.7% · n=302

With Cam Hardie 2.6% vs 11.7% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,389 279 11.7% −417.78

Hurdle 6 1 16.7% −1.50

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 929 110 11.8% −150.10

Good 556 62 11.2% −137.80

Good to Firm 432 60 13.9% −32.17

Soft 222 21 9.5% −30.02

Good to Soft 218 22 10.1% −67.19

Heavy 42 5 11.9% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 538 55 10.2% −101.41

Wolverhampton (AW) 185 23 12.4% −79.98

Southwell (AW) 176 29 16.5% +40.79

Catterick 157 22 14% +67.88

Ripon 140 17 12.1% −25.37

Musselburgh 138 30 21.7% +26.02

Redcar 132 11 8.3% −65.33

York 123 9 7.3% −0.12

Thirsk 100 6 6% −57.50

Carlisle 95 15 15.8% −21.17

Doncaster 90 5 5.6% −63.80

Ayr 75 7 9.3% −36.06

Hamilton 73 8 11% −29.22

Beverley 73 6 8.2% −20.88

Pontefract 69 6 8.7% −25.90

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 827 93 11.2% −132.31

Class 6 693 98 14.1% −47.46

Class 4 533 61 11.4% −127.94

Class 3 171 14 8.2% −53.67

Class 2 135 13 9.6% −28.40

Class 1 37 1 2.7% −30.50

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 288 95 33% 1.18 +8.13

2nd–3rd fav 549 90 16.4% 1.04 −70.74

4th–6th fav 789 70 8.9% 1.07 −81.17

7th+ in betting 773 25 3.2% 0.92 −279.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Showtime Mahomes (GB) 65 8 21 26 Oct 26

Lezardrieux (GB) 64 11 22 27 Feb 25

Gunnerside (IRE) 52 9 20 10 Jan 25

Bellarchi (IRE) 51 13 22 13 Sep 26

Swinging Eddie (GB)from Kevin Ryan 48 7 18 30 Sep 24

Illusionist (GER)from Archie Watson 45 4 13 22 Nov 25

Etikaal (GB)from Simon Crisford 45 5 13 24 Aug 21

Mersea (FR) 42 6 12 14 Feb 26

Jesmond Dawn (IRE) 41 4 15 20 Oct 26

Glorious Angel (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 40 4 12 3 Nov 25

Westmorian (GB) 38 6 14 15 Aug 26

Termonator (GB) 38 2 13 8 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 203 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jamie Osborne (3) and Archie Watson (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Ivan Furtado (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1481013131412131011613

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSam James

35% of all rides
12.6% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Sam James 851 107 12.6% −128.86

Oliver Stammers 612 73 11.9% −88.76

Harrison Shaw 143 12 8.4% −34.80

P J McDonald 51 6 11.8% −11.25

Cam Hardie 38 1 2.6% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

287

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.02m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 49 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sophia's Starlight (FR) — William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap Ripon · Aug 2023 · Class 2

£51,540

Love Talk (IRE) — British Ebf 100,000 2yo Fillies' Series Final (Ebf Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) Goodwood · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£50,960

Bellarchi (IRE) — Queen Charlotte Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Chester · Jun 2026 · Listed

£34,488

Notable horses

Bellarchi (IRE) Lezardrieux (GB) Gunnerside (IRE) Showtime Mahomes (GB) Sophia's Starlight (FR) Swinging Eddie (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Gutaifan (IRE) 12.2% · 15–123

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,762 runs since 2019 (302 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 19.8% · 17–86

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,205 runs since 2020 (751 horses).

Bated Breath (GB) 17.9% · 15–84

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,162 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 850.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 9.1% · 7–77

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,883 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Hot Streak (IRE) 10.4% · 7–67

Progeny have won 8% of 1,759 runs since 2019 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 782. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 154.

Dabirsim (FR) 12.3% · 8–65

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,156 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 145.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,460 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,460 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 April 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Al Hussar (GB)J: Oliver Stammers 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 5/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sycamore Gap (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 3/1J

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sovereign Class (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 33/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Showtime Mahomes (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 11/2

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Highland Olly (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 25/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Schrodinger's Cat (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Richard James Hone Memorial Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 12/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Advertised (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 7/2F

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Farandaway (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 13/2

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sycamore Gap (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 14/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Staniel Cay (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Poppeye (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 5/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Titainium (GB)J: Oliver Stammers AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 7/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Jesmond Dawn (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers All-Weather Championships Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Schrodinger's Cat (GB)J: Lauren Young William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 14/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Al Hussar (GB)J: Rowan Scott Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Showtime Mahomes (GB)J: Kevin Stott Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 7/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Empire Of Light (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 14/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Veloxian (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 250/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Medran (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 250/1

10 Oct 26 York Empire Of Light (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Sky Bet Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 9th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Grant Tuer's strike rate?: Grant Tuer has won 280 of 2,399 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Grant Tuer do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 30 wins from 138 runners (21.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Grant Tuer?: Sam James, with 851 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 107 (12.6%).
Is Grant Tuer in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Grant Tuer's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 2,389 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.