Julia Brooke
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (100 runs).
The record is strongest at Cartmel (18.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 9.2% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 13% (n=100, Fair A/E 1.93). Henry Brooke rode 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.76). The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (16.2%, n=37) and on Good to Soft going (15%, n=60). The market has also underrated the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 1.75 across 98 runners (13.3% strike, +3.25 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 3.3% over 30 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.54 across 68 runners (4.4% strike, −10.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the yard fired Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 316 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 316 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 March 2015 to 2 September 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Julia Brooke's strike rate?
- Julia Brooke has won 29 of 316 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Julia Brooke do best at?
- Cartmel by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Julia Brooke?
- Henry Brooke, with 111 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.2%).
- What is Julia Brooke's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 316 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.