What is Patrick Morris's strike rate?

Patrick Morris has won 149 of 2,041 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Patrick Morris do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 73 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Patrick Morris?

Stephen Craine, with 179 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (8.9%).

Is Patrick Morris in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Patrick Morris's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 2,034 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Patrick Morris

2,041 runners in the lifetime window · 221 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.0% of 318 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

149–2,041

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=2,041

475 (23%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=2,034 · 0.77 incl. margin

−746.34

£1 level stake

n=2,041 at SP · −36.6%

£1.07m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,041 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 30.1% when favourite Stephen Craine: 8.9% from 179 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (13.7%, n=73), clear of the yard's 7.3% baseline. It is weakest at Chester (1.5% over 137 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.42). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −194.50 to a £1 stake over 284 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Stephen Craine rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.9%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.5%, n=251) and in Chase races (15.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 36 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.29 across 185 runners (1.6% strike, −150.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Street Life (GB) — 12 wins from 89 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.5%−4.8

n=284 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −194.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.3%−2.0

n=170 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −64.00

Debutants · first career start

3.7%−3.6

n=54 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −7.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.2%−5.1

n=45 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −28.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−0.2

n=113 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −29.38

When favourite

30.1%

n=103 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +0.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.2%−0.1

n=875 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −291.76

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.3

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 13.5% vs 7.3% · n=251

Off a 61-180-day break 1.6% vs 7.3% · n=185

At Chester 1.5% vs 7.3% · n=137

In Chase races 15.2% vs 7.3% · n=33

At Kempton (AW) 13.7% vs 7.3% · n=73

On Heavy going 0% vs 7.3% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,978 144 7.3% −734.09

Chase 33 5 15.2% +17.75

Hurdle 24 0 0% −24.00

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,177 93 7.9% −469.50

Good 293 20 6.8% −89.46

Good to Firm 265 20 7.5% −45.50

Good to Soft 128 5 3.9% −74.38

Soft 113 5 4.4% −65.00

Heavy 36 0 0% −36.00

Firm 29 6 20.7% +33.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 584 38 6.5% −280.46

Newcastle (AW) 256 20 7.8% −105.92

Southwell (AW) 146 13 8.9% −44.87

Chester 137 2 1.5% −110.50

Haydock 96 7 7.3% +49.50

Lingfield (AW) 84 11 13.1% −4.00

Kempton (AW) 73 10 13.7% −5.25

Hamilton 57 4 7% −32.42

Carlisle 54 2 3.7% −28.50

Catterick 45 6 13.3% +20.50

Musselburgh 34 2 5.9% −16.00

Bath 30 4 13.3% +10.50

Redcar 27 0 0% −27.00

Dundalk (AW) 25 1 4% −20.00

Nottingham 24 0 0% −24.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 934 85 9.1% −294.30

Class 5 625 39 6.2% −295.54

Class 4 280 15 5.4% −66.00

Class 3 64 2 3.1% −38.00

Class 2 30 1 3.3% −17.00

Class 7 18 1 5.6% −1.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 35 27.6% 1.12 −6.00

2nd–3rd fav 338 44 13% 0.85 −97.84

4th–6th fav 660 50 7.6% 0.94 −153.50

7th+ in betting 916 20 2.2% 0.70 −489.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 724 51 7% −297.09

Under 6f 532 55 10.3% −0.54

1m – 1m1f 373 21 5.6% −187.84

1m2f – 1m4f 275 14 5.1% −195.12

1m5f – 2m 85 4 4.7% −60.00

2m1f – 2m4f 38 3 7.9% −6.75

2m5f – 3m 10 1 10% +5.00

Over 3m 4 0 0% −4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 101 10 9.9% −14.50

2009 287 19 6.6% −75.92

2010 244 17 7% −124.62

2011 192 19 9.9% −51.25

2012 41 4 9.8% −5.50

2013 23 0 0% −23.00

2014 11 1 9.1% −6.50

2015 27 2 7.4% −7.38

2016 45 1 2.2% −33.00

2017 87 8 9.2% −16.00

2018 80 6 7.5% −38.59

2019 77 4 5.2% −33.50

2020 31 2 6.5% −15.50

2021 38 4 10.5% +64.50

2022 52 4 7.7% −34.62

2023 94 4 4.3% −59.50

2024 159 12 7.5% −82.59

2025 237 19 8% −87.75

2026 215 13 6% −101.12

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,712 127 7.4% −590.71

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 753 53 7% −367.38

11-13 runners 721 41 5.7% −346.25

5-7 runners 322 38 11.8% −46.34

14-16 runners 172 8 4.7% +12.25

17+ runners 46 4 8.7% +3.00

2-4 runners 27 5 18.5% −1.62

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Street Life (GB)from Richard Fahey 89 12 33 27 Apr 26

Hot Team (IRE)from Richard Fahey 60 5 17 29 Sep 25

Top Offer (GB)from Peter Crate 58 4 17 4 Nov 19

Radiator Rooney (IRE)from J G Burns 58 6 18 20 Oct 11

Cruise Tothelimit (IRE) 56 4 18 6 Aug 18

Bell Heather (IRE)from Richard Fahey 48 7 20 25 Aug 21

Brian The Snail (IRE)from Richard Fahey 47 6 15 25 Apr 26

Ask Jenny (IRE)from J G Burns 45 7 17 23 Aug 10

Tasever (GB)from Tim Easterby 42 6 18 20 Oct 26

Golspie (IRE)from Eve Johnson Houghton 42 3 15 29 Sep 26

Wyvern (GB)from Stuart Williams 36 3 10 11 May 26

Your Gifted (IRE)from P J Prendergast · then Lisa Williamson 36 7 16 3 Sep 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 221 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 46 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Fahey (10) and Ian Williams (3); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Lisa Williamson (5) and Dr Richard Newland (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12846695975810

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStephen Craine

9% of all rides
8.9% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Stephen Craine 179 16 8.9% −44.25

James Sullivan 81 5 6.2% −53.92

David Nolan 70 7 10% −33.50

Paddy Bradley 62 6 9.7% −12.25

Ryan Kavanagh 55 5 9.1% −24.92

Connor Murtagh 40 3 7.5% −14.50

Liam Keniry 39 1 2.6% −31.50

Warren Fentiman 38 2 5.3% −20.50

Barry McHugh 35 3 8.6% −13.50

Graham Lee 35 3 8.6% −16.00

Billy Loughnane 34 2 5.9% +0.00

Rhys Elliott 34 3 8.8% −20.92

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

166

Archived wins

£1.24m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Aunty Euro (IRE) — Ulster Oaks Fillies' Handicap (60-90) Down Royal · Jun 2006

£17,903

Modular (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase Tramore (IRE) · Apr 2008

£13,475

Lady Orpen (IRE) — Www.tipperaryraces.ie Race Tipperary · Apr 2006

£13,020

Notable horses

Street Life (GB) Radiator Rooney (IRE) Bell Heather (IRE) Ask Jenny (IRE) Your Gifted (IRE) Brian The Snail (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Hot Streak (IRE) 13.5% · 12–89

Progeny have won 8% of 1,755 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 781. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 153.

Kyllachy (GB) 10.8% · 7–65

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Elnadim (USA) 9.4% · 6–64

Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.

Zoffany (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,762 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Dansili (GB) 6.9% · 4–58

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Le Vie Dei Colori (GB) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,016 runs since 2008 (48 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 16.8% from 137. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.9% from 175.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,376 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,376 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Bajan Bandit (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 13/2

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Tasever (GB)J: David Nolan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 18/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Someone's Wish (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 18/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Delila (IRE)J: Alexandra Egan Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 16/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mythical Isle (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 8/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Masterpiece (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 12/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Golspie (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 5/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Delila (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 40/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Someone's Wish (IRE)J: Mr Jack Loughnane Bridge Llangennech Open Daily Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 10/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Tasever (GB)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 50/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Lessay (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 66/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Bajan Bandit (GB)J: David Nolan Mwh Treatment Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 100/30

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Carwyn (IRE)J: David Nolan Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 28/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Dancingondiamonds (FR)J: Jack Callan Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 33/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Havachoc (GB)J: David Nolan Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 8/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Triggerman (IRE)J: Finlay Bassett Get The Inside Track With Raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Bajan Bandit (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Get The Inside Track With Raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/1

17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Cavalry Call (IRE)J: Miss Grace Barr Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Who Have Ridden 3 Winners Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 66/1

17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Golspie (IRE)J: Mr Lucas Murphy Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Who Have Ridden 3 Winners Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

13 Sep 26 Doncaster Henrythenate (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Land Of Lights Festival At Gullivers Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Morris's strike rate?: Patrick Morris has won 149 of 2,041 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Morris do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 73 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Patrick Morris?: Stephen Craine, with 179 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (8.9%).
Is Patrick Morris in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick Morris's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 2,034 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.